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Daniel Devine

@danjdevine

public opinion, behaviour, attitudes, &c. Associate Prof, @sotonpolitics.bsky.social; Assoc. Editor, @poqjournal.bsky.social & @jeppjournal.bsky.social ColU, Pompey, music, books, & pubs https://djdevine.org

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Latest posts by Daniel Devine @danjdevine

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EPSS Travel Grants for 2026 Belfast conference:

PhD students & junior scholars @ institutions in European countries that are often underrepresented, can apply for full fee waiver & £500 stipend

Apply: lnkd.in/ehXjhCgf
Deadline: March 8, 11:59pm GMT.

More details: lnkd.in/eZTP5sWR

04.03.2026 13:52 👍 31 🔁 37 💬 0 📌 2

The real generational divide

04.03.2026 08:59 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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Late deciders, higher turnout: what the Gorton and Denton byelection taught us about voters High numbers of undecideds may partially explain the late swing to the Greens.

New piece from w/ @hannahbunting.bsky.social & @jess-smith.bsky.social on the Gorton & Denton byelection, and what it might tell us about British politics.

We cover turnout, late-deciding voters, gender gaps & the continuing fragmentation of the party system 🧵

theconversation.com/late-decider...

04.03.2026 08:40 👍 13 🔁 21 💬 2 📌 1

What a cheery paper to work on!

02.03.2026 14:29 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
An image of the schedule with speaker images. You can find the full schedule on tada.cool.

An image of the schedule with speaker images. You can find the full schedule on tada.cool.

🚨 TADA Speaker Series Spring 2026 schedule is here! 🚨

We've assembled a fantastic lineup of researchers exploring the future of survey research in the age of LLMs.

Mar 18 - May 27, online at 17:00 CEST. Join us!

More info & signup: tada.cool

27.02.2026 14:47 👍 36 🔁 20 💬 0 📌 1

That's not too bad for the UK. For the most competitive jobs you could be at >1000 applicants.

02.03.2026 10:21 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Just a flavour, but there are currently four 'permanent' jobs on jobs.ac.uk in politics, and **not one** in the UK.

02.03.2026 09:52 👍 19 🔁 3 💬 2 📌 2

Sorry - I meant current parliamentarian! There of course were. I think Nadia is a likely one but it's a bit unclear from her Wikipedia.

27.02.2026 17:06 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

It's possible that the new Green MP Hannah Spencer is the only parliamentarian who had a manual job immediately before election.

Are there any others?

27.02.2026 16:54 👍 9 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 2

Why a man with a fragile ego and inability to take a loss would choose ACADEMIA then POLITICS as a career is beyond me.

27.02.2026 07:08 👍 63 🔁 9 💬 2 📌 2
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Facing a probable defeat, call into question the process and blame it on your base's outgroup.

27.02.2026 00:14 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I think maybe they were offering good odds. What they have now is what Ladbrokes and Bet365 had last few days. Seems Labour has tanked though.

26.02.2026 23:14 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I'm seeing similar to a few days ago? I put money on a party and at that time Greens were quite favourite followed by Reform and Labour.

It seems Labour's odds have got longer though so assume it's G/R.

26.02.2026 23:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The liberal elite plumbers from the constituency he was contesting

26.02.2026 23:01 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Blog post summarizing my research with Kyra Rodriguez on the class gap!

26.02.2026 21:33 👍 10 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
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The UK emerging into sunshine after months of darkness

25.02.2026 14:12 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

And 'Greens win. Maybe Labour should reconsider their strategy.'

I think a lot hinges on whether/if it goes Green or Reform.

25.02.2026 11:47 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I don't know why, if AI can do all of those things, it can't also just do the question, pre-analysis plan, and the analysis.

23.02.2026 19:24 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Cool. I think @ronjasczepanski.bsky.social has a similar paper? May be wrong (remembering from a workshop a few years ago!)

23.02.2026 11:09 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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So many pub conversations with people exactly like this

23.02.2026 09:42 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Vibes

22.02.2026 14:59 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Although I can sort of understand it, you'd be hard-pressed to not see this as a very generic millennial-terraced-house living room

22.02.2026 14:15 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

In particular, I enjoy there being about 700 years of ??? before I get to a slightly better understanding of this through my (now largely defunct) understanding of Icelandic

bsky.app/profile/coli...

22.02.2026 11:26 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

In another universe I would have studied linguistics instead of politics, so this content is right up my straße.

22.02.2026 11:19 👍 9 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

Come for the intellectual stimulation, stay for the tasty treats

18.02.2026 12:45 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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📢 APPLY NOW!: DPIR seeks to appoint two full-time fixed-term Departmental Lecturers in International Relations - one with expertise in international political economy and one in historical and interpretive approaches and methods.

🗓️ CLOSES: Noon, 18 March 2026: www.politics.ox.ac.u...

18.02.2026 12:28 👍 4 🔁 9 💬 0 📌 0

There's been a pretty large pivot in the last year or two to both more working and a more diligent cohort. I think it's actually better (generally more engaged and mature) but the system isn't built for it. No control over timetable, all on one campus, etc.

18.02.2026 12:36 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

This is true, even at Southampton (typically drawing wealthier students from the south east). I'd probably say the majority of students that I know well enough (e.g., supervise dissertations) have at least part time jobs and a couple work approaching FT hours.

18.02.2026 12:34 👍 6 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 0
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Political Trust - RECSM Research and Expertise Centre for Survey Methodology - UPF

Political Trust Network: Call for papers (Barcelona, October 2026)

The young and fast growing academic 'Political Trust Network' organizes yearly workshops, where scholars of trust can meet up, present papers, and exchange ideas. These workshop have been brilliant, socially and professionally!

17.02.2026 23:20 👍 17 🔁 14 💬 1 📌 1