Sukru Cildir

Why are Middle Eastern governments lobbying against a US attack on Iran? Threat perceptions have changed. Qatar, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Egypt all wish to avoid a war that would bring even more upheaval to the region.

For Middle Eastern leaders, the threats have changed: the greatest risks are now an expansionist and aggressive Israel, and the chaos of a potentially collapsed Iranian state. https://bit.ly/4co1gJl

The US capture of President Nicolás Maduro – and attacks on Venezuela – have no justification in international law This may be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has abandoned the core values that united them for the past century, writes the head of Chatham House’s International Law Programme.

The US operation to capture Nicolás Maduro may well be the moment when Western Europe realizes that the US has decisively abandoned the core values that united them for the past century.

China’s leaders’ meeting confirms Xi’s authority and shows technological self-reliance is now the priority At the Fourth Plenum of the Communist Party of China’s leadership, President Xi Jinping outlined a bold shift in China’s economic development model under its next Five-Year Plan.

The sheer scale of the reshuffle at the top of the People's Liberation Army once again underscores Xi Jinping’s unchallenged authority at the height of China’s political hierarchy.

Israel has replaced Iran as the biggest security threat to the Gulf states | Sanam Vakil As the US waits on the sidelines, Israel’s actions – as evidenced by the attack on Doha – are becoming increasingly audacious, says Sanam Vakil, director of Chatham House’s Middle East and North Afric...

Arab states in the Middle East are concluding that Israel is now the biggest threat to stability in the region.

Read Sanam Vakil's (@chmenap.bsky.social) analysis following Israel's airstrike against Hamas leaders in Qatar in @theguardian.com ⤵️

Independent Thinking: Will China lead a post-American world? China is advancing where the US is retreating. James Kynge and Samir Puri join Bronwen Maddox on Chatham House’s weekly podcast.

China is advancing where the US is retreating. James Kynge and Samir Puri join Chatham House’s weekly international affairs podcast.

Apple: apple.co/3KjBxp5
Spotify: bit.ly/4mcpnLY

Listen in full⤵️

The Israel-Iran War and Chinese Status in the Middle East Ever since the Israel-Iran cease fire took hold, I’ve been seeing a steady stream of articles with a focus on China’s diminished status in the Middle East, as if suddenly everyone in MENA collectively...

open.substack.com/pub/chinamen...

Gülriz Şen: “İran ile ABD Nükleer Görüşmelere Yeniden Dönebilir” TEPAV - Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma Vakfı

Türkiye’nin en yetkin İran uzmanlarından Dr. Gülriz Şen ile İsrail-İran Savaşı’nı ve olası sonuçlarını konuştuk.

Gülriz Şen: “İran ile ABD Nükleer Görüşmelere Yeniden Dönebilir”

tepav.org.tr/tr/haberler/...

Unravelling of the trade legal order: enforcement, defection and the crisis of the WTO dispute settlement system url:https://academic.oup.com/ia/article/101/3/1103/8100243

The U.S. set the global order after WWII. Trump has other plans From the ashes of World War II, President Harry Truman helped create global institutions that have defined international order. President Trump is moving aggressively to scale back that U.S. role.

“This is the appetizer course as far as Vladimir Putin is concerned. He wants the entire meal."

Carnegie’s Stewart Patrick weighed in on President Trump’s willingness to underestimate adversaries – including Putin – for @npr.org: www.npr.org/2025/05/01/n...

Trump’s 100 days have been like no other But the scale and shock of the president’s policymaking threatens to undermine his primary foreign policy objective: maintaining an advantage over China.

Markets have served as a constraint on Donald Trump, most directly by threatening to push up interest rates or the cost of government borrowing, forcing the president to back down.

The Rise and Fall of Great-Power Competition Trump’s new spheres of influence.

“What Trump wants is a world managed by strongmen who work together—not always harmoniously but always purposefully—to impose a shared vision of order on the rest of the world,” writes Stacie Goddard.

On ‘liberation day’, President Trump revealed America’s strategic vulnerabilities By exempting certain critical minerals from his latest tariffs, Trump has demonstrated the fragile interdependence underpinning modern industrial economies – and provided a wake-up call for the EU and...

By exempting critical minerals from his tariffs, Donald Trump has demonstrated the fragile interdependence underpinning modern economies – and provided a wake-up call for the EU and UK.

As Ikenberry (2017) noted, previous world orders in ancient and modern periods were subverted by external, hostile revisionist powers. But, for this time, the President sitting in the Oval Office, does his best to devastate the global order the US created. www.jstor.org/stable/44823...

‘Ghost of Jakarta’ Haunts a Fragile Oil Market Crude prices have yet to reach bottom after the Saudis pushed for production increase.

COLUMN: The economy is slowing down - and Saudi Arabia is hiking oil output to teach a lesson to OPEC cheaters.

Cynical oil investors should be forgiven for having a case of déjà vu: it happened too in 1997, and it ended badly for prices.

@opinion.bloomberg.com

www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

My latest article in International Spectator: “US Structural Power and Oil: Debilitating the Iranian Oil Industry" www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....