Elizabeth

We'll have to wait a whole week to see. Peel is much lower. I can't figure it out.

Wastewater signals for Peel Region ON. March 6, 2026. Covid dips at about 10 viral load (copies per mL) and RSV is a bit higher at 11. Flu B decreasing to almost nothing. Have a look at Toronto.

Wastewater signals for Toronto ON. March 6, 2026. Covid skyrockets at about 81 viral load (copies per mL). Highest in the reporting period of more than a year. RSV at about 6. Flu B less than that at maybe 2.

Peel Region and Toronto. Next door neighbours with vastly different wastewater values.

Click on the link for all regions of Canada.

wwater.ca/Ontario

Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update March 6, 2026 😷 % positivity Covid 7.0 Flu 3.0 RSV 7.4 Entero/Rhinovirus 4.1 Parainflu 2.8 Seasonal coronavirus 9.5

Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update March 6, 2026

😷

% positivity
Covid 7.0
Flu 3.0
RSV 7.4
Entero/Rhinovirus 4.1
Parainflu 2.8
Seasonal coronavirus 9.5

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...

This image shows gauges with the Feb 28 - Mar 13, 2026 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, and territories. From left to right: Canada: HIGH - 6.7 Alberta: HIGH - 6.5 British Columbia: MODERATE - 4.4 Manitoba: VERY HIGH - 10.0 New Brunswick: HIGH - 7.1 Newfoundland & Labrador: MODERATE - 4.7 North: HIGH - 6.7 Nova Scotia: HIGH - 6.0 Ontario: HIGH - 7.7 Prince Edward Island: MODERATE - 4.9 Quebec: HIGH - 6.6 Saskatchewan: HIGH - 8.1 A text box reads: 'The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red).'

Canadian COVID Forecast: Feb 28 - Mar 13, 2026

SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: MB
HIGH: CAN, AB, NB, North, NS, ON, QC, SK
MODERATE: BC, NL, PEI

About 1 in 99 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

Canadian COVID Forecast. Feb 28 - Mar 13, 2026. Ontario: High 7.7 (increasing). About 1 of every 82 people is infected. 261,400 - 323,300 infections this week.

COVID forecast for Ontario: February 28 to March 13, 2026.

@moriartylab.bsky.social

Many thanks to Tara Moriarty and crew.

Covid ⤴️ 😷

Click on the link below to find your province or territory by using the tabs on the left of the page.

lookerstudio.google.com/embed/report...

Wastewater Virus Signals graph for Ontario

#Ontario #wastewater graph updated with February 15 data
- London, Peel, Toronto updated: wwater.ca/Ontario
- Also updated: AB, BC, MB, NB, PEI, QC, SK, YT

wwater.ca

Source: health-infobase.canada.ca/wastewater/

Wastewater virus signals for Peel Region. Downward trend for Covid at about 19 viral load (copies per millilitre) this week. It's about what the low average generally is any time of year (roughly). RSV is still strong at about 10.

Wastewater virus signals for Toronto. Covid is still high but lower than last week's peak at about 44 down from 47 viral load (copies per millilitre). It's about what the low average generally is any time of year (roughly). RSV is continuing up at about 10.

Updated wastewater surveillance report for Peel Region and Toronto. Again, mystified why next door neighbours have such different values.

wwater.ca/Ontario

% positivity Covid 7.5 Flu 2.8 RSV 7.4 Entero/Rhinovirus 4.7 Parainfluenza 0.7 Seasonal coronavirus 8.6

Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update February 27, 2026

All ⤴️

% positivity
Covid 7.5
Flu 2.8
RSV 7.4
Entero/Rhinovirus 4.7
Parainflu 0.7
Seasonal coronavirus 8.6

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...

London ON is heading in the right direction. Let's hope it continues that way.

Ah, wastewater sampling has such limitations. A single point in time. Or is it an average of multiple samples?

Why is there such a discrepancy between Peel and Toronto (next door neighbours)?

% positivity Covid 7.2 Flu 2.9 RSV 7.7 Entero/Rhino 4.2 Parainflu 1 Seas human coronavir 6.8

Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update February 20, 2026

All ⤴️

% positivity
Covid 7.2
Flu 2.9
RSV 7.7
Entero/Rhinovirus 4.2
Parainflu 1
Seasonal coronavirus 6.8

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...

Hello everyone, the forecast model needs more work at this time.

That means we have to cancel this week's release.

Next Forecast will be available in two weeks and we'll resume our usual schedule.

Peel Region waste water: Covid keeps jumping around but RSV is determined to make its mark!

You know what to do: 😷💉💨

wwater.ca/Ontario/Peel...

Canadian COVID forecast Jan 31 - Feb 13, 2026. ONTARIO. Very high. 14.5 and increasing. About 1 of every 106 people is infected.

** This forecast changed midway during the time period for some reason. **

COVID forecast for Ontario: January 31 - February 13, 2026.

Click on the link below to find your province or territory by using the tabs on the left of the page.

lookerstudio.google.com/embed/report...

We're a bit delayed with the forecast.

Please check back tomorrow for an update.

* * *

Notre prévision est retardée.

Veuillez revenir demain pour une mise à jour.

Making others happy!

What the heck London ON? The other municipalities have the decency to throw some troughs in among those peaks. But 4 points each higher than the previous? 😷

wwater.ca/Ontario/London

Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update February 13, 2026 % positivity Covid 6.8 Flu 2.6 RSV 7.4 Entero/Rhinovirus 4.3 Parainflu 0.8 Seasonal human coronavirus 6.1

Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update February 13, 2026

% positivity
Covid 6.8
Flu 2.6
RSV 7.4
Entero/Rhinovirus 4.3
Parainflu 0.8
Seasonal human coronavirus 6.1

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...

Wastewater Virus Signals graph for Ontario

#Ontario #wastewater graph updated with January 25 data
- Peel updated: wwater.ca/Ontario
- Also updated: AB, QC

wwater.ca

Source: health-infobase.canada.ca/wastewater/

Graphic shows words and numbers: Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update February 6, 2026 % positivity Covid 6.1 Flu 2.9 RSV 7.6 Entero/Rhinovirus 3.5 Parainfluenza 0.8

Ontario Public Health respiratory virus update February 6, 2026

% positivity
Covid 6.1
Flu 2.9
RSV 7.6
Entero/Rhinovirus 3.5
Parainfluenza 0.8

Masks, vaccination, ventilation and staying home when sick help to reduce spread.

www.publichealthontario.ca/en/Data-and-...

Thank you to all who donate their precious time to crunch the numbers and provide these vital Covid forecasts for all of Canada. We appreciate you.

Safe Care Ontario Advocating for universal masking protections in healthcare and other mitigation tools. Airborne pathogens like SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes the COVID-19 disease, pose a risk to EVERYONE's health ...

COVID outbreak risk remains in #ONhealth hospitals without layers of protection.Universal masking in ALL areas of #Ontario hospitals is essential for safe healthcare access.

Let regional decision-makers know this is a priority.

@safecare.initiative.works

Take action: safecare.initiative.works

Wastewater Virus Signals graph for Ontario

#Ontario #wastewater graph updated with January 18 data
- Peel updated: wwater.ca/Ontario
- Also updated: AB, NL, QC

wwater.ca

Source: health-infobase.canada.ca/wastewater/

Canadian Covid Forecast. Jan 31-Feb 13, 2026. ONTARIO. Severe 15.7 (increasing). About 1 of every 82 people is infected.

@moriartylab.bsky.social

Many thanks to Tara Moriarty and crew.

Covid ⤴️ 😷

COVID forecast for Ontario: January 31 - February 13, 2026.

Click on the link below to find your province or territory by using the tabs on the left of the page.

lookerstudio.google.com/embed/report...

Always grateful! Thank you so much.

We're a bit delayed with the forecast.

Please check back tomorrow for an update.

Smart.

Yeah I remember the days when they wanted people to trade in their N95s for a baggy blue. Um no way. Put the baggy blue over top to satisfy the absurdity.

Good! Thanks for posting.