So the civilized world today has only the experience of the Ukrainian army — and this is invaluable experience. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
10.03.2026 07:38
👍 4
🔁 1
💬 0
📌 0
So the civilized world today has only the experience of the Ukrainian army — and this is invaluable experience. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
To win—and even to survive—it is necessary to change the optics of war. blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-optics-o...
As long as Russians believe that the statehood of Ukraine should be liquidated, and the Ukrainian people — canceled, the conflict will continue on several levels of escalation, even if Moscow lacks the strength for intensive military actions.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
Illusion can win elections and dominate social media frenzies, but it can never truly prevail. Life will always defeat both death and lies. And you would do well to stand on its side — if you wish to survive and not lose yourself. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
In reality, such negotiations do not bring peace closer—they only push it further away, because they allow the administration to refrain from applying greater pressure on Russia under the pretext of fearing to “block” the simulated “peace process.”
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
Not threaten Ukraine and Russia with pressure in four months, but put pressure on Putin now. Apply pressure in such a way that the Russian president is left with no alternative but to stop waging war, killing, and shelling. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
The Davos Forum forced everyone to lay their cards on the table. It showed that European leaders are beginning to grasp the reality. But understanding is one thing—action is another. The answer to the challenge of Davos 2026 must be real action. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
This means that instead of seeking meaningless dialogue with Putin, pressure on Russia must be increased. It means not boasting about the absence of aid to Ukraine, but strengthening this assistance – particularly by reinforcing air defense. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
So, when Putin is spoken to in the language of pressure, sanctions, and the destruction of his energy companies—he understands.
When he sees attempts to negotiate with him—he launches the "Oreshnik" near European borders. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
I don’t think it’s an exaggeration to say: 2026 will be a year of deep political and economic uncertainty. And perhaps a year of global catastrophes.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
And I truly don’t understand why this part of the Russian émigré community should be called an “opposition.” In reality, this is just a symbiosis of FSB agents and useful idiots.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
And perhaps it is precisely in Putin’s unwillingness to acknowledge the economic realities of the coming years that the answer lies to the question of whether the war can be ended.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
We now live in a world where leaders understand only power and learn only from their own mistakes—if they learn at all. This isn’t a new chapter in human history. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
Nevertheless, it can be stated with some confidence that 2026 will be a year not so much of resolution, but of a gradual winding down of the war.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
This means that if the Russians do not abandon their demands, which cannot be implemented into Ukrainian legislation, negotiations will inevitably reach a deadlock — which, of course, is what Putin wants, but not Trump.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
It was the impunity of evil — its triumph, its popularity, its power not only to defend itself but to judge others — that demonstrated the terrible truth: a maniac and a murderer only need to defeat another maniac to succeed. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
As we know, in 2014 Putin had to put his large-scale annexation plan on hold. His 2022 blitzkrieg also failed — but that does not mean he abandoned his plan. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
The real test will come when — or if — this system breaks. If Russia, after four years of war under these “rules,” stops paying and starts drafting en masse again, the societal reaction will be very different. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
But Trump is underestimating Putin. For the Russian president, any concession by his opponent is a sign of weakness — and a cue to press harder.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
But in truth, the entire period from 1914 to 1945 was a single war period — with two massive eruptions. It wasn’t four years. It was thirty.
And now, we are living through a similarly extended wartime era in the history of Europe — and the world. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
But now — from Putin himself — we know for sure that we need to stop not just the war, but the genocide approved and sanctioned in the Kremlin. That is why the pressure on Russia must increase open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
peace plans that humiliate Ukraine and reward Russia for its brutal and unprovoked aggression only encourage Putin to continue the war open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
Because let’s be honest: if someone truly wants peace, they agree to a ceasefire.
Then they sit down to talk.
Putin has refused a ceasefire.
That refusal is not just a policy choice — it’s a signal. It tells us everything we need to know.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
The longer Donald Trump refrains from such leadership, the clearer the risk that the world will slide toward large-scale war. In that scenario, given contemporary realities and technological changes, the U.S. risks becoming not just an arbiter but a battlefield. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
The managed escalation is no longer about Ukraine alone. It is about remaking the balance of power, one humiliation at a time. And with each red line crossed, Putin’s confidence grows — matched only by the West’s silence. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
That is why I say — without exaggeration — that the frontline which will run for years between Ukrainian and Russian armies is not only a military boundary. It is also becoming the civilizational border of China. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
Donald Trump’s return to the White House is itself a precondition for a major war. He is dismantling the system of alliances that for decades restrained chaos.
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
The information campaign surrounding the resignation of Dmitry Kozak from the Russian presidential administration once again exposes the vulnerability of both Ukrainian and Western media spaces to Kremlin manipulation. open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
Which means that if it turns out the West lacks an effective judiciary—the judiciary, not just free media—then disobedient journalists will soon disappear not only from Trump’s press conferences but from America
open.substack.com/pub/portniko...
