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Elaine Spiller

@elainespiller

Professor of applied math and statistics.

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05.03.2025
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Latest posts by Elaine Spiller @elainespiller

Welcome to Wisconsin!

13.03.2026 22:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I am looking for a quote I saw ages ago - I'm having trouble finding it again. It was something about how burnout is partly the phantom limb pain of where your coworkers used to be (reflecting deep staffing cuts to maximize profits that then leave more work for the 'survivors,' plus the grief).

13.03.2026 12:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 26 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

As someone who went on the Internet for the first time in the early 90โ€™s, I fucking loved the Internet. It has given so many things in life, and afforded me so many incredible experiences.

And to see it, and technology in general where they are today is kinda soul crushing.

13.03.2026 02:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 3909 ๐Ÿ” 796 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 65 ๐Ÿ“Œ 85

The Trump WH is starting to reap what it has sown in terms of screwing over counterparties:
-Iran can't trust a negotiated settlement so why reach one?
-Ds in Congress can't trust Trump to follow the law so why bargain w/him?
-Universities see past deals leading to future shakedowns so why make one?

12.03.2026 15:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 1587 ๐Ÿ” 401 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 35 ๐Ÿ“Œ 39

I keep seeing people ask about the 25th Amendment.

Guys. His entire Cabinet is walking around in shoes that donโ€™t fit because theyโ€™re scared to take them off.

The 25th is never happening.

12.03.2026 11:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 35382 ๐Ÿ” 8394 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1373 ๐Ÿ“Œ 519

National Science Foundation: $9 billion total in FY2026

12.03.2026 19:48 ๐Ÿ‘ 624 ๐Ÿ” 223 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Preview
a woman in a red dress is smiling with the words that 's not real life above her Alt: a woman in a red dress is smiling and says "That's not real life"

In case * flails arms at everything happening in the world right now * didn't definitely prove we are living in The Matrix, Bam Adebayo's 83 game did.

11.03.2026 03:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

I loved writing this because I love this movie: Places in the Heart. And I love the illustration by @briannaduggan.bsky.social !

10.03.2026 16:48 ๐Ÿ‘ 68 ๐Ÿ” 16 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

If youโ€™re roughly my age, itโ€™s wild to reflect on the optimism for the future Americans felt when Obama was elected โ€” young Americans spontaneously took to the streets to celebrate! โ€” and contrast with what we face today. The falloff over the past 18 years is hard to process.

09.03.2026 15:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 30361 ๐Ÿ” 5142 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1722 ๐Ÿ“Œ 473

I get yelled at for saying this but for many hundreds of years people went to university not to get diplomas or be employable but because immersion in the humanities was considered foundational to a good life, and school must return to its original purpose: the joy of learning.

08.03.2026 00:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 12757 ๐Ÿ” 2779 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 233 ๐Ÿ“Œ 195
Statement of Cardinal Blase J. Cupich, archbishop of Chicago, โ€œA Call to Conscienceโ€ - Statements - Archdiocese of Chicago - AoC Portal As more than 1,000 Iranian men, women and children lay dead after days of bombardment from U.S. and Israeli missiles, the official White House X account on Thursday evening posted a video of scenes fr...

Please please read this from the archbishop of Chicago

www.archchicago.org/statement/-/...

08.03.2026 03:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 5773 ๐Ÿ” 2248 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 166 ๐Ÿ“Œ 159
Post image

Couldn't agree more.

07.03.2026 13:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 1326 ๐Ÿ” 322 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 24 ๐Ÿ“Œ 18

"Have I Got News For You" is one of the only things keeping us sane ๐Ÿ™

07.03.2026 04:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

"SHIT"
"FUCK"
"NO"
"FUCK"
"SHIT"
"FUCK"

06.03.2026 11:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 5884 ๐Ÿ” 2034 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 60 ๐Ÿ“Œ 101

Yes. And we have to talk about this now, because talking about it is the first step to making it seem like a callous crime rather than a surprising emergency.

07.03.2026 02:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 3766 ๐Ÿ” 1262 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 69 ๐Ÿ“Œ 23
Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success.

Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302

Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success. Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302

The data is in: the NIH goalposts have shifted.

What were once almost certain fundable scores have become coin flips and what used to be likely grants have become aspirational, leading to fewer awards.

Another manifestation of how HHS policies have led to fewer awards and less science.

07.03.2026 01:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 689 ๐Ÿ” 422 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19 ๐Ÿ“Œ 62
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MASSIE: โ€œIran is not Venezuela. The Ayatollah was not a president. He was a religious leaderโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ & ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ turned him into a martyr, expended billions, 6 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ families must now lay to rest their sons & daughters. And for what? This administration can't even give us a straight answer.โ€

06.03.2026 04:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 19841 ๐Ÿ” 6086 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 557 ๐Ÿ“Œ 238

Itโ€™s tiring that we are increasingly stuck organizing our intellectual lives around arguing for the value of having an intellectual life

05.03.2026 20:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 629 ๐Ÿ” 111 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

Him and Steve Miller Band's Steve Miller and Steve's dad, Steve Miller.

05.03.2026 19:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ah, that's gonna make Steve real sad ๐Ÿ˜”

05.03.2026 18:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Samsies for Stephen Millers. The good Steve(n) Millers use a v.

05.03.2026 18:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If someone continually says demonstrably racist stuff or engages in obvious antisemitism, the fact that their private lives contradict their public statements is not, in fact, a point in their favor.

05.03.2026 15:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 878 ๐Ÿ” 57 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 20 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

The woke liberal cucks at Anthropic cut us off from using Claude right before we were going to ask it to generate a reason why we're invading Iran.

by Pete Hegseth

04.03.2026 15:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 728 ๐Ÿ” 117 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

It's time to fire Doc. Yesterday they lost by 23 to a now 1-9 in the last 10 Bulls who are actively trying to tank their season.

03.03.2026 02:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Dr. Manhattan from Watchmen, sitting alone on the surface of Mars.

Dr. Manhattan from Watchmen, sitting alone on the surface of Mars.

It is 1991. I am 15 years old. The US has gone to war in the Middle East.

It is 2003. I am 27 years old. The US has gone to war in the Middle East.

It is 2026. I'm too old for this shit. The US has gone to war in the Middle East.

28.02.2026 16:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 1271 ๐Ÿ” 379 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 23 ๐Ÿ“Œ 19

Just remember, the bedbugs are Bret Stephens

02.03.2026 13:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 24 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Today should be your 38th birthday..
When you lose your son you lose more than a child you lose a piece of your heart and your joy. Life is forever altered, and nothing can ever fill that space. Yet in my soul, he remains, my precious boy, forever loved. His laughter, his smile, and his love are woven into who I am. My love for him will never fade. Yor are my pride and my joy - you've made a change that cannot be broken..

Today should be your 38th birthday.. When you lose your son you lose more than a child you lose a piece of your heart and your joy. Life is forever altered, and nothing can ever fill that space. Yet in my soul, he remains, my precious boy, forever loved. His laughter, his smile, and his love are woven into who I am. My love for him will never fade. Yor are my pride and my joy - you've made a change that cannot be broken..

Alex's mom on his 38th birthday.

02.03.2026 00:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 21330 ๐Ÿ” 5345 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 471 ๐Ÿ“Œ 316

Last week in class we talked about the possibility of an imminent war w/Iran. Most of my undergrads barely had it on their radar. I talked abt the GWOT wars & the lessons (not) learned. By the end of the class they were also pretty dismayed and many were filled w/ dread.

02.03.2026 02:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 26 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Oh, I see a lot of Zach Braff.

01.03.2026 03:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
A shallow bowl of onion and cheese enchiladas in a red chili sauce with sprouts, sour creme, and homemade spanish rice. The bowl is on a gray metal coffee table near a colorful coaster and an open poetry anthology.

A shallow bowl of onion and cheese enchiladas in a red chili sauce with sprouts, sour creme, and homemade spanish rice. The bowl is on a gray metal coffee table near a colorful coaster and an open poetry anthology.

Sometimes my sweetie makes me enchiladas, and that's when I love him the most

01.03.2026 02:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0