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Rick Newman

@rickjnewman

Founder, The Pinpoint Press, www.thepinpointpress.com, now serving #ModerationNation. Author of Rebounders +3 others. Ikon pass. Heirloom tomatoes. Puzzles. Occasional haiku.

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Latest posts by Rick Newman @rickjnewman

Preview
The bomb count in Iran is the Pentagon’s new “body count” US military commanders are bragging about all the bombs dropped on Iran. That's not the same as winning.

In Vietnam the US govt used the "body count" to demonstrate success

In Iran in 2026 they're using the bomb count

We're winning the numbers war!

But not the political war--or the oil war

Vietnam lesson forgotten

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

11.03.2026 20:41 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Tariff inflation out, oil inflation in Inflation was benign in February, but the Iran war and surging cost of energy are the story now.

There was little tariff-related inflation in the Feb CPI report

But oil inflation from the Iran war could end up worse than tariffs

Trump knows what he is doing, right?

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Charts by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

11.03.2026 15:42 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Trump sacrificed his favorite affordability brag A new forecast for oil prices suggests gasoline could hit $4 per gallon as this year's midterm elections approach. 😧

New forecasts for oil prices suggest gasoline could be close to $4 per gallon approaching the November midterms

Cheap gas was Trump's best affordability brag

His Iran war ended that

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Charts by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

10.03.2026 20:59 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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3 dramatic scenarios to watch for in Iran A commando raid to seize 1,000 pounds of buried uranium is the stuff of fanciful movies. Here's a more likely development.

In his March 9 press conference, Trump said, "we're gonna go further" in the #Iran war

What does he mean?

3 possibilities--and a commando raid probably isn't one of them

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Charts by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

09.03.2026 22:47 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Pinpoint Markets: Traders price in a longer Iran war The biggest wild card in markets right now is how long the Strait of Hormuz will be closed to oil-tanker traffic.

Traders are now pricing in a longer #Iran war

As it looks like #oil tankers will avoid the Strait of Hormuz indefinitely

What will get the oil moving again?

Answer is at The Pinpoint Press

Charts by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

09.03.2026 17:32 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Pinpoint Intel, 03.07.26: What’s going wrong in Iran, in Trump’s trade wars, and in the job market Plus, regime change in Cuba

1,000 things happened this week

5 you need to know:

~ What's going wrong in the #Iran war and the Trump economy

~ New Trump tariff lawsuit 👏

~ Next leader of Iran

And more

With chartapalooza by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

Your Pinpoint Intel Brief ~

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

07.03.2026 20:39 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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3 new worries about oil prices and the Iran war With tankers unable to move Persian Gulf oil, some nations are starting to cut production

Trump and his macho warriors obviously didn't prepare for oil tankers getting stranded with they launched the #Iran war

3 new worries about #oil prices

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

06.03.2026 20:36 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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The Trump economy slips into reverse The economy is losing jobs at an accelerating pace. Thank tariff and other Trump policies.

The Trump economy slips into reverse

~ Employers cut 92,000 jobs in Feb

~ Inflation still too high

~ Iran war raising energy prices

And Trump calls this a "roaring economy"

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

06.03.2026 15:54 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Weekly WTF: A winning bet against Kristi Noem, stunning autopen verdict Plus, there’s a new worst Trump Cabinet Secretary!

This stuff actually happened:

~ Noem thanks Trump for demotion

~ Putin applies to be peace moderator

~ "AK Guy" gets closer to Congress

~ Stunning autopen verdict

~ Plus, there's a new worst Trump Cabinet member!

Your Weekly WTF

From The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

05.03.2026 23:18 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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We’re watching the demise of oil as a weapon The Iran war has pushed oil prices up, but nowhere near the oft-predicted triple-digit levels that could cause a global recession.

I looked up forecasts for #oil prices in the event of a war with #Iran

~ $200 per barrel 😱

Reality: Around $84, and that could be the peak

This is the de-weaponization of oil 👏👏👏

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

05.03.2026 17:00 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Judge the Iran war on the outcome, not on your view of Trump If Iran becomes a more moderate country, it will be a huge win. Even if Trump is the one who does it.

Hate #Trump? No problem

But the #Iran war might still end up a win

Judge the Iran war on the outcome, not on your view of Trump

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

04.03.2026 17:12 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

Ha tell that to LNG buyers in Asia, they're the real biggest losers

04.03.2026 17:11 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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How Trump gets out of his Iran war Rising oil prices will get Trump's attention--and watch for him to redefine "regime change"

Markets are trying to guess if Trump's #Iran war will be long or short

Here are 4 factors that will determine when the war end

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

03.03.2026 15:48 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Markets are fine with the Iran war (so far) Skip the hype about "soaring" oil prices. Market reaction to the Iran war is nowhere near worst-case.

An #oil price "surge?"

Actually, a nothingburger

Market reaction to #Iran war is about as positive as anybody could hope for

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

02.03.2026 17:10 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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What mattered this week: Trump's Iran war, a new stock-market bogeyman Plus, Trump’s tariffs mock his "affordability" concerns

Busy week. What really mattered?

Here's the list: What to watch in the #Iran war, new AI bogeyman, #Epstein-Trump missing link

With the wry analysis you expect from The Pinpoint Press

And chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

01.03.2026 14:57 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The craziest part of Trump’s Iran war Trump wants ordinary Iranians to take over their government. That could be a suicide mission.

The United States will win the military war with #Iran

But Trump's call for regime change is a long shot

Trump has become a military adventurer willing to take much bigger risks that the man who campaigned for president in 2024

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

28.02.2026 19:49 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Weekly WTF: Dept. of Drone Farce Plus, the "sexy pic" Congressman, the gold medal for crassness, and pizza intel

This stuff actually happened:

US government shoots down its own drone

Rep @TonyGonzales4TX stays in primary race despite gruesome scandal

Cocaine surge on Nantucket

And more

Your Weekly WTF

From The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

27.02.2026 19:28 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Might be worse if Iran counterattacks oil infrastructure in the region, moves against the Strait of Hormuz or gets lucky attacking a US ship

27.02.2026 14:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Windy speech shows Trump stuck in neutral His record-long State of the Union speech contained almost no new ideas

If you skipped Trump's windy State of the Union speech, smart move

Here's the only analysis you need

Unlike Trump's speech it gets to the point and respects your time! 😀

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

25.02.2026 14:56 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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These are the risks if Trump attacks Iran Trump claims a war with Iran could be "easily won." That's only true if he's willing to accept American casualties, soaring oil prices and possible chaos in a major Middle Eastern country.

Trump says a US war with #Iran would be "easily won"

That's crazy!

Here are the risks

Also this is why I'm making the contrarian bet that Trump won't attack Iran

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

24.02.2026 18:21 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

The average length of a State of the Union speech since 1964 is about 58 minutes. Guess where Trump lands....

Latest from The Pinpoint Press, chartwork by
@dfostergraphics.bsky.social

#SOTU

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

24.02.2026 15:47 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Beneath the chaos, Trump is losing on tariffs Regardless of what Trump threatens, the average tariff rate is coming down and Trump is losing leverage in his trade war with the world.

Trump's trade war is so chaotic that he said the new "global" tariff would be 15% but when it went into effect it was 10%

Totally confused? @dfostergraphics.bsky.social and I have you covered

Where the trade war stands, plain English version!

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

24.02.2026 14:31 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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What mattered this week: Tariff uproar, slowing economy, dead housing market Plus, what Trump will say in the upcoming State of the Union speech

Trump's tariffs are pure chaos ~ But it's actually getting better

New "global" tariff not as bad as now-illegal emergency tariffs

Plus global tariff might be illegal too

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With nice chartwork by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

23.02.2026 18:54 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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What mattered this week: Tariff uproar, slowing economy, dead housing market Plus, what Trump will say in the upcoming State of the Union speech

Too busy to catch the latest news?

Here's a short list of what mattered this week:

~ Old tariffs out, new tariffs in
~ Moribund housing market
~ What to expect in Iran

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With charts by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

21.02.2026 14:49 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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The Supreme Court did Trump a favor by killing his emergency tariffs The high court basically imposed a tax cut by killing the majority of Trump's tariffs. Why would anybody complain?

The Supreme Court basically enacted a tax cut by killing Trump's emergency tariffs

Doesn't he love tax cuts? Shouldn't he be happy? 🙄🙄🙄

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

Chart by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

20.02.2026 18:46 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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The Weekly WTF: Spank the economists! Plus, another backfire at CBS, former Prince Andrew finally looks humbled and the Iran war will be starting any minute.

The Weekly WTF: Spank the economists!

Plus: Prince Andrew finally looks humbled

CBS unwittingly produces a windfall for Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico

And why you should bet against a US-Iran war

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

19.02.2026 23:00 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The latest stock market buzzword you might want to know The "HALO trade" is an antidote to AI mania. That doesn't mean every investor should jump in.

Do you understand the #HALO trade?

This is the latest investing trend

Explained for normies

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

With charts by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

19.02.2026 17:42 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Why I started gambling on the news I'm using prediction markets to put money on Kristi Noem's fate, the job market, and Trump's state of the union speech.

When will #KristiNoem leave her job? What will Trump say in his state of the union speech?

I started betting on the news on @Kalshi

Here's why ~

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

18.02.2026 15:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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What mattered this week: The Kristi Noem clown show, ailing stocks, the revenge of greenhouse gases Plus, the coming debt crisis

Losing track of the headlines?

I’ve got you covered

5 things that mattered this week ~

~ Noem clown show

~ Stock selloff explained

~ Revenge of the greenhouse gases

And just a bit more

Charts by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

Latest from The Pinpoint Press

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

14.02.2026 14:42 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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An encouraging inflation report won’t satisfy anybody The inflation rate is almost back to normal, but President Trump has done almost nothing to bring costs down.

Trump says the latest inflation report amounts to "more winning"

Anybody agree?

For the last five years:

Rent up 28%

Food prices up 27%

Transportation up 30%

Utilities up 41%

It's all at The Pinpoint Press + great charts by @dfostergraphics.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/ricknewm...

13.02.2026 17:31 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0