Congratulations Thomas
Congratulations Thomas
You need to bring in the same toolkit as in studies that try to establish causality without randomization.
I know it sounds unfair, but I donโt make the rules. These situations are instances of post-treatment bias, if you want to read up on it as a psychologist:
Babbage, 1830, discussing the problem that scientists selectively report findings that they want to be true.
Confirmation bias is a strong human tendency. This is why we need to design science in a way that prevents conformation bias from leading us away from the truth.
Have I ever mentioned how surreal it is to be an Editor-in-Chief of a journal called Vaccine right now?
www.science.org/content/arti...
Itโs pretty wild, at least by typical academic journal editorial office standards.
Die, Dichotomy.
www.linkedin.com/pulse/die-di...
A brief post encouraging you to read the original paper with @erik-van-zwet.bsky.social and @f2harrell.bsky.social .
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
Guinea-Bissau suspends a US-funded vaccine trial as African scientists question its motives www.nature.com/articles/d41...
course schedule as a table. Available at the link in the post.
I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students.
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
If you are interested in our critical study of NSE RCT trials from the group mentioned, see www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
CDC funds controversial hepatitis B vaccine trial in African newborns | Science | AAAS www.science.org/content/arti...
# Bayesians are to frequentists as vegetarians are to murderers I have close friends who do not eat meat, for moral reasons. It's not that they find meat disgusting. In fact, they find it delicious. Instead they regard meat as murder. And yet we continue to be friends. I myself do not think meat is murder. I regard it in fact as an ordinary and normative part of human society. It's so commonplace. How could it be murder? This sort of moral incompatibility is commonplace. Vegetarians and vegans have to put up with assholes like me all the time. They are surrounded.
When I take train journeys, I sometimes write things. Things that I probably shouldn't publish
Subscribe to @theatlantic.com
And always read @anneapplebaum.bsky.social
Preregistrations without Code do not Prevent P-Hacking: You can increase your chances for a significant finding in the absence of real effects even with correlations and t test despite having preregistered your hypothesis (e.g., simply changing arguments in the functions).
doi.org/10.31222/osf...
S-Values are much more interpretable than P-values, yet adoption seems near impossible. I wonder what it would take to make the leap? #statssky #episky #rstats #statistics
... and our paper is available here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
What is the most profitable industry in the world, this side of the law? Not oil, not IT, not pharma.
It's *scientific publishing*.
We call this the Drain of Scientific Publishing.
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Background: doi.org/10.1162/qss_...
Thread @markhanson.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy ๐
How can we reform science? I have some ideas. But I am not sure youโll like them, because they donโt promise much. elevanth.org/blog/2025/07...
That's the Ortega hypothesis
Forsker: Nyt udspil lover risikovillig forskning โ men systemet hรฆmmer potentialet - Altinget
www.altinget.dk/forskning/ar...
Forsker: Debatten om frie og bundne midler er blevet en skyttegravskrig - Altinget
www.altinget.dk/fonde/artike...
Against Publishing: universonline.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Preprints are read, shared, and cited, yet still dismissed as incomplete until blessed by a publisher. I argue that the true measure of scholarship lies in open exchange, not in the industryโs gatekeeping of what counts as published.
Did humans evolve to 'protect' women?
traditionsofconflict.substack.com/p/did-humans...
This only happens to you once
Simonsohn has now posted a blog response to our recent paper about the poor statistical properties of the P curve. @clintin.bsky.social and I are finishing up a less-technical paper that will serve as a response. But I wanted to address a meta-issue *around* this that may clarify some things. 1/x
Who can stop โbadโ research? Researchers and universities? Funders before itโs funded? Funders after itโs funded? Journals before itโs published? Journals after itโs published? Policy makers when using research?
There is, I believe, only one correct answer to this problem.