Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social):
Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.
Fantastic work at APSR. At some point we’ll have to collectively acknowledge that Yamil is about as close as academia gets to a rockstar
In new research, Dan Cassino finds that support for Trump influences how American men feel about their own masculinity. Between 2018 and 2025, Trump supporting men were more likely to feel even more masculine or to feel that they were as masculine as they could be. blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
Very excited to see this paper out in the world! Across 3 rounds of interviews with white Minnesotans, I show that white id varies and responds dynamically to shifts in context. Many whites have low id but vary in how they interpret whiteness—as providing them dis/advantages. 1/7
NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!!
#Recontextualizing #Whiteness: Understanding White Identity in the Era of #Black #Lives #Matter
By @genevavalerie.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
As Rep. Jayapal says, our reporting has found that these aren’t isolated incidents. Last October, we tallied more than 170 cases of U.S. citizens detained by immigration agents.
Here’s that investigation she’s referring to:
"The research suggests that generalizations about human behavior are often flawed because they rely on samples composed largely of White individuals."
go abhay!
Peep this from @anthlittle.bsky.social & @tompepinsky.com. We CAN learn even from biased estimates if we do exactly what @stablemarkets.bsky.social is saying.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....
Interested in the accuracy of primary polls?
In this paper (URL in the replies), 3 co-authors & I detail the polling failures in the 2023 Philadelphia Democratic mayoral primary, where virtually none of the polls showed Mayor Parker winning. (Spoiler alert: I said "Mayor.")
I also had this come out in 2025 :)
Immigrants Against Immigration: British Ethnic Minority Brexit Voter Attitudes to Immigration - cup.org/3WPrz1S
🧵on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about...
🚨 Do synthetic samples look like human samples?
We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics...
From our latest issue: Group Prototypicality and Boundary Definition: Comparing White and Black Perceptions of Whether Latinos Are American by ANGIE N. OCAMPO-ROLAND. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
From our latest issue: Partisans of Color: Asian American and Latino Party ID in an Era of Racialization and Polarization by EFRÉN PÉREZ, JESSICA HYUNJEONG LEE, GUSTAVO MÁRTIR LUNA. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
From our August Issue: Exposure to Mass Shootings and Voting Directly on Gun Policy by G. AGUSTIN MARKARIAN and BENJAMIN J. NEWMAN. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
From our November Issue: Fickle Prosociality: How Violence against LGBTQ+ People Motivates Prosocial Mass Attitudes toward LGBTQ+ Group Members by MARCEL F. ROMAN and JACK THOMPSON www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
New paper accepted at Comparative Politics! "From Citizen Input to Elite Legitimation" comes from my fieldwork interviews with constitution-makers in Chile and Cuba. You can read the most recent draft here 🔗 mattjmartin.com/research/wor...
New essay, "Abolition in Three Movements" in the Prison abolition and political theory critical exchange in Contemporary Political Theory. Really proud to be in conversation with these brilliant thinkers. Shoutout @amc-etc.bsky.social for organizing.
Check it out: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
🚨 New WP w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social on OSF
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
We usually think that social identities precede preferences
We show the reverse is also true: people update their social identities to match their immigration preferences
Focus: class identity in 🇬🇧 + Christian identity in 🇮🇹
Good to get current with @stevelevitsky.bsky.social today, talking protest, politics, social capital, and more. Video here:
🚨 New paper out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social 🚨
Do the public hold meaningful attitudes? Using the case of abortion policy preferences, we provide strong evidence that policy prefrences can be coherent, stable over time, and causally explain vote choice.
doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
1/ Sorry for double-posting from X. Sharing a new working paper for the Year of the Horce 🐎:
"An AI-assisted workflow that scales reproducibility in empirical research" (bit.ly/repro-ai) w/ Leo Yang Yang
Niambi M. Carter and Monique L. Lyle honor Dr. Paula McClain’s pioneering work and legacy in “From Question to Canon: Celebrating Dr. Paula D. McClain and the 30th Anniversary of Can We All Get Along? Racial and Ethnic Minorities in American Politics,” in @pspolisci.bsky.social. buff.ly/bPCSDeQ #BHM
Check out research article by Jasmine English, Ariel White, and Laurel Eckhouse on “How Police Behavior Shapes Perceptions of Protests: Evidence from Black Lives Matter,” in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social. buff.ly/PNVFeiJ #BHM #BLM #polisky
Thrilled to see our paper abt comparative factional conflict out!
yeah I was excited by that as well reading through :D
Some words of mine are featured in Thomas Edsall's new opinion essay on how Trump is undermining his multi-racial coalition www.nytimes.com/2026/02/17/o...
When Experience Meets Environment: Professional Backgrounds, Court Composition, and Decision-Making in Immigration Court Sara Heridia Matthew Martin Research on judicial behavior has long recognized that professional backgrounds shape decision-making, but often treats these effects as uniform across institutional contexts. Focusing on U.S. immigration courts, we argue that understanding how professional experience influences judges requires attention to the specificity of prior socialization and the courts where judges currently sit. Analyzing more than 500,000 decisions by 502 immigration judges from 2015–2018, we disaggregate backgrounds by domain and examine how court composition moderates individual effects. Immigration-specific experience matters: former ICE attorneys grant relief at lower rates than other prosecutors; nonprofit immigration defense attorneys grant at higher rates than other defense attorneys. These background effects, however, are conditional on context — they are most pronounced in professionally heterogeneous courts and attenuate in prosecutor-dominated courts, where local norms absorb or suppress prior socialization. Professional background shapes judicial heuristics, but institutional environment determines whether those heuristics distinguish judges from their peers.
How do professional backgrounds influence immigration judges? New WIP w/ Sara Heridia: Former ICE attorneys are more restrictive, former nonprofit imm lawyers more permissive—but both effects fade in prosecutor-heavy courts, where local norms absorb differences. 🔗 mattjmartin.com/research/wor...
Out now in @politicsgenderj.bsky.social! Here’s my analysis of how anti-trans feminists and traditionalists manage their competing commitments in their shared politics of transphobia. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
