π Youtube: youtu.be/ht7q6UOYGso
@glezak
I have been interested in weather since the age of 5. In 1987-1988 I discovered that the weather pattern over the NH is cycling, the order in chaos. My goal is to share this passion and help save lives, and also help weather sensitive businesses succeed.
Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW)? Iβm challenging the meteorology community on this β because the evidence shows it should be called Sudden Stratospheric Lowering (SSL), driven from below in the troposphere.
π LinkedIn Article: Forget SSW β Itβs Really SSL: www.linkedin.com/.../garyleza....
Here is another accurate prediction in progress from Weather 20/20. This is a 35-day forecast that is about to verify. Here is a link to a video explanation: youtu.be/gXJBqP1o6fM The accuracy of these severe weather setups and winter storms have been over 90% accurate the past two years.
Weather 20/20 has been over 90% accurate on predicting these severe weather setups weeks to months in advance the past two years, and it looks like we are about to be 1 for 1 this year with our first prediction for next week. Here is the press release: www.einpresswire.com/article/7894...
Severe weather is likely next week, another long range prediction verifying from Weather 20/20. Secure your seat in our webinar and start planning now by getting your hands on this guide. Here is the link: www.weather2020.com/severe-weath...
Severe Weather Alert: Verification and Upcoming Guide Release - Todayβs Severe Weather Risk Over Mississippi Confirms Our Precision Forecasting! This not only verifies our 40-day prediction but also underscores the reliability and effectiveness of the LRC model in forecasting severe weather events.
Dr. Fred Carr suggested over 20 years ago for me to do this analysis, and we now have an LRC index for many cities showcasing the cycling weather pattern. Learn more by becoming a premium member of our Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report: open.substack.com/pub/weather2...
The LRC predicted this historic southern Major Winter Storm. This video is strong evidence and proof of the cycling weather pattern and the predictability. So, for you skeptics out there, watch this and let me know if you have any questions: www.youtube.com/watch?v=emdi... The chart shows the LRC!
It is dry for the kickoff of the Rams/Eagles game. Look at the radar, and as you can see, the first half looks like the weather impacts will be low. Snow may increase during the second half. #NFL #Weather2020 #weatherforecast
I write a report every week and we have dozens of new customers this week. The farmers spend a year following the LRC, then the "lightbulb" goes off and they start using the valuable information. Here is the link: open.substack.com/pub/weather2... #LosAngelesFires #LRC #weatherforecast
Here is a picture from one of the fires from six days ago, taken by David Schlossman's daughter looking out towards Sunset Boulevard. I just completed an in-depth Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report that discusses the LRC, how dry it has been out west, and a playbook of what to expect next.
If you would like to see how we used the LRC combined with other influence on the cycling weather pattern to make this accurate prediction of the recent Major Winter Storm, here is the link: weather2020.substack.com/p/a-major-wi...
One for one! The LRC forecast for 90% probability of a Major Winter Storm impacting Kansas City made weeks ago is verifying. We are making what other meteorologists think is "impossible", possible. High amounts of snow are likely in areas near KC plus other precipitation types.
How does La NiΓ±a influence the pattern? The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is forecast to dip negative. The LRC tells us when and where storm systems will occur. For the meteorologists who want to learn a bit more, here is an in-depth discussion: www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1O8...
There is a significant risk of severe weather over the southern states today. This part of the cycling weather pattern has already produced severe weather risks in the first cycle of this year's weather pattern. When are they likely to return? Take a look: youtu.be/eXgcnYySuQY?...
This part of the pattern is right on schedule per this year's #LRC. This part of the pattern will cycle through in early February, a few days after St. Patrick's Day, and also most importantly around the first week of May! Go to weather2020.com/severe-weath... to learn more and be prepared.
This means that there is a 10% or greater probability that a strong tornado of EF2 strength or stronger is possible within 25 miles of your location in that hatched area. Remember this set up as
Weather 20/20 will have our severe weather predictions for the spring out by early February.
This outlook for significant severe weather, for Saturday, from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) shows the hatched 10% area in yellow. What does this mean?
A Christmas Eve storm will bring some snow to the Lake Tahoe ski resorts and some heavy rain to central and Northern California. It will only clip Southern California with a few showers, mostly north of Los Angeles. #WeatherForecast #LRC
The Global Predictor powered by the LRC shows the most likely Arctic outbreak to be in the middle of next month. #LRC
The LRC is now just about set for the season. We will learn a lot more in the coming days, weeks, and months. What is the Lezak Recurring Cycle? Here is our extensive winter forecast video published just a few days ago: www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQlY...
Is it inaccurate if that cold outbreak does happen as predicted, but it happens two to three days earlier or later? I attached an example for Chicago here. Again, the cycle length of this year's weather pattern is still being defined.
One last thing. If you are analyzing each day for accuracy 100 days out, for example, the Global Predictor may be off by a couple of days. If it shows a cold outbreak, like it shows right now for the middle of January, shown on the attachment here, may be off by one to three days.
The Global Predictor app utilizes the LRC algorithm; the accuracy improves from around mid-January through the next September. Weather 20/20 did have the most accurate hurricane season predictions for the 3rd year in a row as tracked by the Barcelona Supercomputing Center. Art & Science combined!
Chris, to make it a fair analysis, it will be interesting to see your results by next October. The current data is pulling from last year's cycling pattern. Beginning in around two weeks, the forecasts will finally pull from this year's LRC, and thus more accurate.