Ted Miguel's Avatar

Ted Miguel

@tedmiguel

Economics Professor and Director Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA), University of California Berkeley (USA) http://emiguel.econ.berkeley.edu

3,935
Followers
1,236
Following
67
Posts
23.09.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Ted Miguel @tedmiguel

A picture of a USAID forever sign

A picture of a USAID forever sign

spotted in DC ❤️

08.03.2026 01:22 👍 1019 🔁 87 💬 8 📌 1
Post image

Alysa Liu, daughter of a Chinese refugee and pro-democracy activist, brings glory to the USA. 🇺🇸 🥇

20.02.2026 02:35 👍 2568 🔁 429 💬 30 📌 34
Post image

Alysa Liu became the first American woman to win an individual Olympic figure skating gold medal in nearly a quarter of a century when she held off Japan’s Kaori Sakamoto and Ami Nakai on Thursday night. https://wapo.st/3OhVBuj

20.02.2026 05:00 👍 205 🔁 26 💬 8 📌 3

Oakland proud. Congratulations to Alysa Liu on bringing home the gold!

19.02.2026 22:13 👍 2277 🔁 299 💬 41 📌 23
Post image

Congrats to BART rider and Oakland legend Alysa Liu on winning a gold medal at the Olympics and making the Bay Area proud!

19.02.2026 22:21 👍 7604 🔁 1074 💬 46 📌 132
Preview
At her home rink, Alysa Liu a 'hero' for making Oakland golden

www.nytimes.com/athletic/705...

20.02.2026 05:19 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

🔍 Does economic hardship increase cheating?

In a new #CEGAWorkingPaper, CEGA Faculty Co-Director @tedmiguel.bsky.social and colleagues find that people are more likely to cheat when facing economic hardship or large financial incentives to cheat.

📖 Learn more: go.cega.org/WPS256

17.02.2026 21:35 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

We have a super easy letter campaign to save NCAR. Takes 30 seconds to yell at your Congress Critters and you’ll can do it every day!

@standupforscience.bsky.social

fight2win.standupforscience.net/campaign/152...

14.02.2026 15:18 👍 98 🔁 77 💬 2 📌 3
Post image

A study of middle-aged Kenyan adults finds that monthly earnings increase by 1.07 percent per centimeter of increased height, from Wilson King, Edward Miguel, and Michael W. Walker www.nber.org/papers/w34769

05.02.2026 16:04 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1

New Working Paper! 🚨

Taller people earn more, especially in low & middle-income countries

@tedmiguel.bsky.social, Michael Walker, & I study why — using rich longitudinal microdata on 4,000+ Kenyan adults

🧵: 1/5

06.02.2026 16:42 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
5 papers from the Super Bowl of Economics Planet Money went to the annual meeting of the American Economics Association, and we saw some fascinating papers presented there.

www.npr.org/sections/pla...

03.02.2026 15:19 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Uruguay’s Renewable Charge: A Small Nation, A Big Lesson For The World Uruguay built a power grid that runs 99% on renewables—at half the cost of fossil fuels. Here’s how its bold energy overhaul became a global model.

“Uruguay did what most nations still call impossible: it built a power grid that runs almost entirely on renewables—at half the cost of fossil fuels. The physicist who led that transformation says the same playbook could work anywhere—if governments have the courage to change the rules.”

10.01.2026 08:29 👍 11019 🔁 4505 💬 203 📌 342
Preview
Congress Is Reversing Trump’s Steep Budget Cuts to Science

A glimmer of hope for US scientific research:

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/10/s...

11.01.2026 01:00 👍 13 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

Working in open science or meta-research? Present at the BITSS Annual Meeting in Berkeley! One of the leading conferences in this space.

06.01.2026 00:39 👍 7 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0

If you are a resident of California, the state now has a portal where you can demand deletion of your personal data from 500+ registered data brokers with a single request form, for free.

consumer.drop.privacy.ca.gov

02.01.2026 02:26 👍 11742 🔁 5192 💬 277 📌 362
Preview
2025: Year in Review Political and economic divergence on the Continent continues apace

Africa in 2025: A Review: open.substack.com/pub/kenopalo...

01.01.2026 19:53 👍 9 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
Laura Saavedra-Lux presenting her research at the 2025 WIDER Development Conference in Helsinki, Finland.

Laura Saavedra-Lux presenting her research at the 2025 WIDER Development Conference in Helsinki, Finland.

Panelists on stage at the 2025 WIDER Development Conference in Helsinki, Finland.

Panelists on stage at the 2025 WIDER Development Conference in Helsinki, Finland.

Patricia Justino speaking at a fireside chat at the 2025 WIDER Development Conference in Helsinki, Finland.

Patricia Justino speaking at a fireside chat at the 2025 WIDER Development Conference in Helsinki, Finland.

Nobel Laureate Abhijit Banerjee speaking at WIDER Annual Lecture in 2025.

Nobel Laureate Abhijit Banerjee speaking at WIDER Annual Lecture in 2025.

Earlier this year, we hosted the 2025 WIDER Development Conference in Helsinki, celebrating #WIDER40!

Themes on growth, equity, and innovative solutions, the conference united leading minds to tackle global challenges. Looking forward to 2026 in New Delhi! #2025recap

28.12.2025 17:10 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

We found that Wisconsinites that grew up around smelt mines during the 1940s had steeper rates of cognitive decline in later life. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35146115/

26.12.2025 16:35 👍 21 🔁 11 💬 0 📌 1
Preview
On Mount Fuji, summit udon is a lifesaver Climbing Mount Fuji is a test of strength and stamina. Steaming bowls of curry udon await climbers who make the overnight hike.

At the summit of Mount Fuji, hot bowls of udon soup await climbers. Many swear that the exhaustion makes the food taste better at 12,400 feet. Could a bowl of noodles and an unforgettable sunset justify the climb?

25.12.2025 22:00 👍 50 🔁 12 💬 8 📌 1
Post image Post image Post image Post image

What would it cost to end extreme poverty?

"We estimate that reducing the poverty rate to 1% ... would cost $170B nominal per year."

"The results correspond to a cost of (approximately) ending extreme poverty of roughly 0.3% of global GDP."

22.12.2025 13:15 👍 114 🔁 50 💬 4 📌 4
Post image

The networks of economists who frequently show up in the Economic Report of the President.

What stands out to you?

22.12.2025 13:51 👍 29 🔁 6 💬 6 📌 1
Figure shows the number of firms registered with Ukrainian owners. Data from the National Court Register (KRS) and Central Register and Information on Business Activity (CEIDG).

When Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, over a million Ukrainian refugees fled to Poland. This column shows that far from displacing local businesses, these refugees sparked an entrepreneurial boom. Ukrainians started nearly 39,000 firms in just two years. In addition, every 10% increase in Ukrainian firm registrations triggered a 2.3% rise in Polish entrepreneurship. Survey data reveal two mechanisms driving this multiplier effect: Ukrainian businesses inspired Polish entrepreneurs to launch similar ventures, and Ukrainian firms created new supply chain opportunities with local partners.

Figure shows the number of firms registered with Ukrainian owners. Data from the National Court Register (KRS) and Central Register and Information on Business Activity (CEIDG). When Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, over a million Ukrainian refugees fled to Poland. This column shows that far from displacing local businesses, these refugees sparked an entrepreneurial boom. Ukrainians started nearly 39,000 firms in just two years. In addition, every 10% increase in Ukrainian firm registrations triggered a 2.3% rise in Polish entrepreneurship. Survey data reveal two mechanisms driving this multiplier effect: Ukrainian businesses inspired Polish entrepreneurs to launch similar ventures, and Ukrainian firms created new supply chain opportunities with local partners.

Pierre-Louis Vezina, Cevat Giray Aksoy, and Piotr Lewandowski show that, far from displacing local businesses, Ukrainian refugees in Poland sparked an entrepreneurial boom as they inspired Polish entrepreneurs and created new supply chain opportunities.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

19.12.2025 09:21 👍 38 🔁 19 💬 0 📌 3
Preview
P B Mehta writes: MNREGA was the ground beneath our feet. It’s slipping away One of the principal arguments advanced against the MGNREGA is that it raises wages. This concern underlies the clamour to restrict the scheme to the agricultural off-season. But in the context of the...

The Govt of India is dismantling the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act, and that's a real shame.

19.12.2025 13:08 👍 12 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
Time series of global temperature anomalies from 1980 to present with predictions for 2025 (made in Dec 2024), and 2026, along with the YTD estimate for the 2025 (with only one month to go).

Time series of global temperature anomalies from 1980 to present with predictions for 2025 (made in Dec 2024), and 2026, along with the YTD estimate for the 2025 (with only one month to go).

Scientists are supposed to be happy when their predictions are skillful, right?

Why do I not feel happy?

19.12.2025 14:10 👍 587 🔁 153 💬 16 📌 8
Post image

In other words, the research literature suggests a much better basis for modern policy:

1. Labor wealth is a scarce, strategic asset
2. Skilled emigration an *investment* in a global network
3. Aid should help manage, not stop, migration
4. Migration is at the heart of successful development

18.12.2025 17:32 👍 88 🔁 25 💬 1 📌 1
Post image

Less-educated labor is not broadly abundant anymore. In much of the world, the *native* working-age population will collapse over the next 20 years.

The global divide is not 'developing' and 'developed', but peope-poor vs. people-rich.

18.12.2025 17:32 👍 69 🔁 21 💬 1 📌 2
1. Less skilled labor is abundant.
2. Skilled emigration is a brain drain.
3. Development substitutes for migration.
4. Migration substitutes for failing development, but doesn't cause development.

1. Less skilled labor is abundant. 2. Skilled emigration is a brain drain. 3. Development substitutes for migration. 4. Migration substitutes for failing development, but doesn't cause development.

The International Monetary Fund asked me to review the literature on migration economics to draw lessons for low-income countries.

In a new @iza.org paper, I argue that policy for the 21st century must discard four outdated ideas.

www.iza.org/publications...

🧵 thread—>

18.12.2025 17:32 👍 223 🔁 108 💬 2 📌 14

📣What does life look like for the Ugandan women who were taken as children by the Lord Resistance Army in the 80s, 90s and 2000s, & are now adults raising families of their own? 📣

➡️ New @CGDev blog post, on our study @alessandracassar.bsky.social @eeshani.bsky.social @mirandainez.bsky.social

18.12.2025 23:45 👍 6 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 1

All early-career researchers are welcome to apply! RT2 is designed for researchers in the social and health sciences, with particular emphasis on economics, political science, psychology, and public health, who use quantitative or mixed methods. @cega-uc.bsky.social @tedmiguel.bsky.social

15.12.2025 19:44 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Honoring the Life and Work of Kate Ho - Princeton University - Department of Economics

Princeton Economics (short) obituary for Kate Ho, great researcher, teacher, mentor and all around right guy. economics.princeton.edu/news/honorin...

13.12.2025 18:29 👍 12 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0