Recently accepted by #QJE: “The Future in Mind: Aspirations and Long-Term Outcomes in Rural Ethiopia,” by Bernard, Dercon (@gamblingondev.bsky.social), Orkin, Schinaia, and Taffesse (@astaffesse.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Recently accepted by #QJE: “Insuring peace: Index-based livestock insurance, droughts, and conflict,” by Gehring (@kaigehring.bsky.social) and Schaudt (@paulschaudt.bskz.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
🆕 African agriculture's underappreciated supply side
Today on VoxDevTalks, @hopecm.bsky.social (UIUC) discusses how understanding the risks, incentives, and constraints faced by agro-dealers is essential for sustained productivity gains: voxdev.org/topic/agricu...
Excited to share a new R package: 𝗵𝗲𝗮𝘁 🌡️
`heat` makes it easier to work with climate or other gridded data in applied research, providing a comprehensive + optimized set of tools to compute environmental exposures for admin boundaries or points from gridded/point data.
github.com/echolab-stan...
What would it cost to end extreme poverty?
"We estimate that reducing the poverty rate to 1% ... would cost $170B nominal per year."
"The results correspond to a cost of (approximately) ending extreme poverty of roughly 0.3% of global GDP."
Hola Arepa is also serves excellent food!
Did you hear the USDA plans to cease data collection for the CPS Food Security supplement? We have a blog post to give you more information. If you want to sign a letter asking for data collection to continue, see the threaded opportunities below. blog.popdata.org/food-securit...
Evidence from the same context + the same team (now adding @JeffBloem) that while depression ⬆️ among women in the perinatal period in S Africa, exposure to the grant during the perinatal period eliminates this increased risk
www.dropbox.com/scl/...
🆕 Intensification or expansion? A new approach to measuring agricultural change
Today on VoxDev, @jeffbloem.bsky.social (@ifpri.org) & Clark Lundberg (San Diego State University) discuss the impact of agricultural technology adoption on deforestation in Nigeria: voxdev.org/topic/agricu...
Icymi. . .@ifpri is on fire in the latest issue of JDE (well, soon-to-be the Jan 2026 issue of JDE) with six separate papers from 7 different researchers
… Women disproportionately move from primary production to downstream, consumer-facing retail and food service, whereas men migrate to better-paying midstream jobs, increasing gender pay inequality within the value chain."
From the abstract, "As incomes grow, labour exits primary production while downstream agrifood value chain segments maintain a steady economy-wide employment share—offering jobs that pay better than farm work…
In a new paper published in Nature Food, Jing Yi, Shiyun Jiang, Dianna Tran, Miguel Gόmez, Patrick Canning, Christopher Barrett, and I show evidence of shifts in agrifood value chain employment and compensation amid the structural transformation process.
This traditional narrative, however, ignores whether workers exit agrifood value chains entirely or merely migrate within them.
Anyone who has studied development economics has learned about the structural transformation of national economies that occurs amid the development process. The traditional narrative emphasizes intersectoral labour reallocation out of agriculture and into manufacturing and services.
🆕 #Blog Nature’s ‘double dividend’ from agricultural technology adoption
🖋️ By @jeffbloem.bsky.social.
🔗 Read the full story here: on.cgiar.org/4oR3GUA
@cgiar.org
New on the @ifpri.org blog today: “Nature’s ‘double dividend’ from agricultural technology adoption” www.ifpri.org/blog/natures...
The #WEFIDEV #webinar series is back this fall!
We are looking for *preliminary or early-stage work* in #Finance and #Development to be presented
We also aim to have a session devoted to job candidates in finance and development on the market this fall
Submit:
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
New on the Engendering data blog: “Sources of bias when measuring women’s empowerment in fragile and conflict-affected settings: a story of four case studies”
gender.cgiar.org/news/sources...
This graphic illustrates the distribution of the labor force across different sectors—agriculture, industry, and services—based on income levels of countries in 2023. On the left, there is a stacked bar representing low-income countries, where 59% of the workforce is in agriculture, 10% in industry, and 31% in services. Next, the lower-middle-income group shows a breakdown of 40% in agriculture, 23% in industry, and 37% in services. The upper-middle-income countries have 21% in agriculture, 28% in industry, and 51% in services. Finally, in high-income countries, only 3% of the labor force is in agriculture, with 23% in industry and 74% in services. The title highlights the trend that higher-income countries have fewer agricultural workers and a greater proportion involved in industry and services. The footer indicates the data source is the International Labor Organization (2025)
In low-income countries, most people work in farming; in richer countries, they work in services
Really excited to have this paper published in the JDE! Available online today, blog post and more coming soon…
“Agricultural technology adoption and deforestation: Evidence from a randomized control trial” co-authored with Clark Lundberg
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Literally joined this platform (finally) to share this AEDE blog. If you are not heartbroken at the scale of child suffering in Gaza, you are not paying attention. Call your federal rep — at the very least. u.osu.edu/aede/2025/07...
Now available online at JESA: “Survey ordering and the measurement of welfare” with Wahed Rahman and Marc Bellemare
#openaccess link here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
We summarized our findings on how farmer-herder conflict influences the labor allocation of agricultural households in this @voxdev.bsky.social piece.
Here is a link to a longer thread on the paper, recently published in the JDE: bsky.app/profile/jeff...
🆕 How climate-induced conflict is shaping rural Nigeria
Today on VoxDev, @jeffbloem.bsky.social @ifpri.org, Amy Damon (Macalester College), David Francis (World Bank), Harrison Mitchell @ucsandiego.bsky.social show how repeated exposure to violence shifts labour patterns: voxdev.org/topic/energy...
🆕 🗞️ Income aspirations and migration: Evidence from rural #Tajikistan
🖊️ By @jeffbloem.bsky.social, Isabel Lambrecht, and Kamiljon Akromov.
🖱️ Learn more here: doi.org/10.1177/0197...
@cgiar.org
It's blog week around here. Here's a piece on work with @kateambler.bsky.social @jeffbloem.bsky.social @mehrabbakhtiar.bsky.social & Eduardo Maruyama on financial innovation in agrifood systems, part of the new @ifpri.org series on Financing Food Systems Transformation www.ifpri.org/blog/four-le...
Happy to see this paper finally published and available online today! More things coming soon that build on this project, so stay tuned…
with co-authors Saweda Liverpool-Tasie, Andrew Dillon, and Serge Adjognon www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
