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CognitiveMisery

@schokoyoko

Political Data Science | Marketing | Psychology

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16.12.2024
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Latest posts by CognitiveMisery @schokoyoko

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Here's a peek at our new Social Media Research Toolkit, a curated collection of more than 50 social media research tools. This toolkit is unique in that it only features tried and tested tools that have been used in peer-reviewed academic studies. (ETA Jan 5, 2026) #academicsky #comsky

11.12.2025 21:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 44 ๐Ÿ” 23 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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How do German MPs debate wealth taxation on social media?

Although wealth in Germany is distributed very unequally and taxation could address this, the topic rarely features in public debate. This was our starting point for examining politiciansโ€™ FB, Insta, and X posts from the past nine years ๐Ÿงต1/5

12.11.2025 09:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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I hear a lot about misinformation as a "symptom" of "distrust". Here we test this & find that while trust is important, it doesn't buffer: misinfo isn't mitigated by high trust. Both misinfo & distrust *independently* predict vaccine denial. It's a disease of its own!

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

30.10.2025 08:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 72 ๐Ÿ” 37 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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Topical Negative Campaigning Under Spatial Pressure: Party-Level Strategies for Attacks Across Multiple Issues This paper investigates how spatial party competition shapes topical negative campaigning during Germany's 2021 federal election. We define topical negative campaigning as attacks on opponents that...

๐Ÿ“ข New Publication Alert!

Thrilled to share our latest article with @jasminriedl.bsky.social & Johannes Steup
๐Ÿ‘‰ Topical Negative Campaigning Under Spatial Pressure: Party-Level Strategies for Attacks Across Multiple Issues
๐Ÿ”— doi.org/10.1080/0964...

06.10.2025 08:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Paper abstract: Are some political preferences more costly to express? In this study, we investigate the extent to which individuals face social exclusion for showing far-right political beliefs. We run a field experiment in Madrid where confederates initiate an interaction with random passers-by. We randomize whether the confederate wears a neutral (white) t-shirt or a t-shirt of different parties. Results show that passers-by are more likely to avoid interacting with confederates wearing the t-shirt of a far-right party (Vox). This finding holds both when we compare this condition against the neutral t-shirt one or the ones where confederates wear a t-shirt of other parties. Analyses of heterogeneity show that this effect is particularly strong in a left-wing neigbourhood. These findings contribute to theories about peer pressure and social punishment, providing evidence of how those processes can extend to the expression of different political views. They provide new insights into the micro-level mechanisms that underpin broader political trends, particularly the rapid and sometimes unexpected electoral growth of far-right parties.

Paper abstract: Are some political preferences more costly to express? In this study, we investigate the extent to which individuals face social exclusion for showing far-right political beliefs. We run a field experiment in Madrid where confederates initiate an interaction with random passers-by. We randomize whether the confederate wears a neutral (white) t-shirt or a t-shirt of different parties. Results show that passers-by are more likely to avoid interacting with confederates wearing the t-shirt of a far-right party (Vox). This finding holds both when we compare this condition against the neutral t-shirt one or the ones where confederates wear a t-shirt of other parties. Analyses of heterogeneity show that this effect is particularly strong in a left-wing neigbourhood. These findings contribute to theories about peer pressure and social punishment, providing evidence of how those processes can extend to the expression of different political views. They provide new insights into the micro-level mechanisms that underpin broader political trends, particularly the rapid and sometimes unexpected electoral growth of far-right parties.

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I am very excited to share a new working paper coauthored with @amaliaab.bsky.social.

Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences.

osf.io/preprints/os...

1/8

09.05.2025 15:39 ๐Ÿ‘ 102 ๐Ÿ” 23 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

... and cool work btw^^

09.05.2025 14:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Love the plots ๐Ÿ˜Š

09.05.2025 14:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Wer wen bei der Bundestagswahl 2025 wรคhlte Welche Wรคhlergruppen stimmten fรผr welche Partei? Bei wem machten Mรคnner und Frauen ihr Kreuz? Wer lag bei jungen Menschen vorn und wer bei รคlteren? Ein รœberblick auf Basis der Daten von infratest dima...

Interaktive รœbersicht รผber Wรคhlersegmente und Parteibindung bei der #Bundestagswahl2025. Interessant, dass
๐Ÿ‘‰AfD mit Abstand bei Arbeitern und Menschen in schlechter finanzieller Lage zu punkten scheint.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Frauen tendenziell eher links wรคhlen, Mรคnner eher rechts

๐Ÿ‘‡
www.tagesschau.de/inland/bunde...

07.03.2025 21:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Wahlwerbung bei Meta fรผr #Bundestagswahl2025.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Deutliche Unterschiede zwischen Parteien hinsichtlich Reichweite/Kosten
๐Ÿ‘‰ 9mio+x Ausgaben nur an Meta; effektivitรคt (auch aufgrund mangelnder Transparenz) unklar

๐Ÿ‘‡
www.tagesschau.de/investigativ...

07.03.2025 21:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I'm working on a starter pack... its focus is Information Warfare, Covert Ops and Propaganda... trying to fill gaps on existing lists of 'disinfo' experts and bring in a wider sweep of experts on covert ops & information warfare, broadly defined. go.bsky.app/7NTCqKZ

27.12.2024 00:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 656 ๐Ÿ” 208 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 69 ๐Ÿ“Œ 36

I have updated the starter pack of Europe-based misinformation researchers. Enjoy: go.bsky.app/36RdG8Z

27.12.2024 00:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 70 ๐Ÿ” 26 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Causal inference on human behaviour - Nature Human Behaviour In this Review, Drew Bailey et al. present an accessible, non-technical overview of key challenges for causal inference in studies of human behaviour as well as methodological solutions to these chall...

A few papers I think worth reading. Mostly open access.

Causal inference is hard:

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

17.12.2024 01:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 163 ๐Ÿ” 52 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10 ๐Ÿ“Œ 6