FAQ: Expert Survey on Progress in AI methodology
Context
I run a big, careful survey of AI researchers, asking what they think the future AI will bring. They think ~5% very bad outcomes. People sometimes attribute this to the survey methodology being bad. It isn't—here's a detailed response to key criticisms.
aiimpacts.substack.com/p/faq-expert...
05.11.2025 00:00
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Many humans being powerless is a familiar situation, but we think like there's some law against every human being powerless. That changes if you introduce a new species with superior performance at everything.
30.01.2025 23:21
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Transcription software creates a better record of what I say when I'm experiencing transcription software than is ideal
20.01.2025 19:08
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If I lie down and close my eyes, I often get right to sleep. However, doing so sounds dreadful: I want to live! There are a handful of kinds of living that actually make me sleepy though, and one of them is mathy puzzles you can do in your head. Anyone have good ones?
20.01.2025 05:52
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I happened to choose this day to try all the social media. You were the first person on here I recognized. I'm hoping this place is companionable.
20.01.2025 05:18
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