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Jeff Asher

@jeffasher

Co-Founder AH Datalytics. NOLA kid. Longhorn. Former CIA officer. 2004 Intramural Softball Champion (C-League). Not a criminologist! Newsletter: https://jasher.substack.com/ Jasher@ahdatalytics.com "Some genius, Jeff Asher" - Ann Coulter

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22.06.2023
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Latest posts by Jeff Asher @jeffasher

#NotAllJeffs

10.03.2026 01:49 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

They should just make the whole country out of Aaron Judge

10.03.2026 01:05 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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There Were 14,000 Murders In The United States Last Year +/- a few hundred.

New this week: my best guess is that there were 14,000 murders in the US in 2025. I go through the math for the various ways we can get to that estimate. It's more exciting than it sounds!

jasher.substack.com/p/there-were...

09.03.2026 12:22 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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There Were 14,000 Murders In The United States Last Year +/- a few hundred.

How many murders were there last year? 14,000 down from about 17,575 in 2024, according to @jeffasher.bsky.social, a nationally-recognized crime analyst and co-founder of AH Datalytics. I'm obsessed with his crime analysis Substack.
open.substack.com/pub/jasher/p...

09.03.2026 15:42 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Happy 2nd Gotcha Day to this absurd animal who has brought me love, companionship, and a torn labrum in my hip from being uncontrollable on walks

09.03.2026 23:56 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
The Data Speaks, Part 1: The Declines in Violent Crime
The Data Speaks, Part 1: The Declines in Violent Crime YouTube video by Northwell Health

Question: How much discussion of Derek Jeter's poor defense can you fit into a talk about falling crime nationally?

Answer: Quite a bit!

youtu.be/VClHdmnCU4U?...

09.03.2026 23:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Mickey having a great offseason so far (on top of last year's) just makes the 2022-2024 offseasons spent hanging on to the dying husk of Sean Payton's glory all the more painful.

09.03.2026 22:10 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Kinda wish they hadn't thrown away 3 years trying to hold on to Sean's magic...

09.03.2026 19:03 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

We need a Hall of This Guy Was Good For A Long Time But Wasn't Ever Elite

09.03.2026 18:38 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The Saints punting has been an abject disaster every since they let Gilikin walk and I'm all for fixing it in free agency even if it's probably an overpay.

09.03.2026 17:26 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
There Were 14,000 Murders In The United States Last Year +/- a few hundred.

New this week: my best guess is that there were 14,000 murders in the US in 2025. I go through the math for the various ways we can get to that estimate. It's more exciting than it sounds!

jasher.substack.com/p/there-were...

09.03.2026 12:22 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

They should just break all the city's water mains at once so we have one giant Purge-like boil water advisory, they fix them, and then bam problem solved.

09.03.2026 11:58 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

The year is 1980. The US is at conflict with Iran, gas prices have surged, and the US won the gold medal in hockey. Harrison Ford is a movie star.

The year is 2026. The US is at conflict with Iran, gas prices have surged, and the US won the gold medal in hockey. Harrison Ford is a TV star.

09.03.2026 03:10 πŸ‘ 103 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Dumars for Exec of the Year?

09.03.2026 02:34 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

The Pelicans have a -325 point differential without me present this season and are +20 with me present. And yet the team has done nothing to sign me to any sort of contract.

09.03.2026 01:38 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
09.03.2026 00:16 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The number of teams that got way better the second Troy Weaver left is making me feel good for the 2028-2029 Pelicans

08.03.2026 23:25 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Doubling the price of gas and threatening to restart the draft is a helluva midterms strategy

08.03.2026 23:21 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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Celebrating International Women's Day the only way I know how - Barbie Night at the Pelicans game

08.03.2026 22:59 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
08.03.2026 22:06 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Texas baseball (soon to be #1), Texas women's basketball (just won SEC title game), Texas softball (defending national champs), and Texas men's basketball.

08.03.2026 21:33 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

We have a volleyball team and a baseball team and softball team and a football team and a basketball team and they're all doing great.

08.03.2026 21:16 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Ahem.

SEC champs.

Hook 'em
🀘

08.03.2026 21:00 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

They should mention the fact that she doesn't know how to throw 4 straight balls without leaving one hanging over the middle of the plate.

08.03.2026 17:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Whoa, signing two major league free agents in an offseason?! In this economy?!

08.03.2026 17:16 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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08.03.2026 16:19 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

#LSU sports today

Baseball: Sacramento State 5, LSU 4
WBB: South Carolina 83, LSU 77
Softball: Tennessee 11, LSU 6
MBB: Texas A&M 94, LSU 91

08.03.2026 01:55 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
They Came to Spy on America. They Stayed to Coach Little League. In the wake of the Cold War, some Soviet bloc spies decided their fake American lives weren’t so bad.

NEW, from me: A secret chapter of Cold War history, told here for the first time. A deep cover Soviet Bloc spy in America at the end of the Cold War. The shocking moves by a European intel chief. And the incredible CI chess games by FBI and CIA counterspies.

www.politico.com/news/magazin...

07.03.2026 16:14 πŸ‘ 255 πŸ” 86 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 26
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07.03.2026 14:58 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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07.03.2026 03:31 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0