Underappreciated fact:
The paths and positions of the cable damages around New Years 2026 were to most of Estonia's internet backbone routes.
Had it fully succeeded/happened by accident (lol) Estonia would have been left with a crippled connectivity.
New analysis of China’s ‘Q-ship’ with containerised weapons -> www.hisutton.com/Chinese-Q-Sh...
It’s not what many people think.
* history of containerized weapons on merchant ships
* the drone carrier angle
* the implications for a potential war in Asia
On the last day of the year, another cable damaged in the Gulf of Finland.
The Finnish Border Guard reports that a ship has been taken into custody.
The incident is not good news. The Finnish response is.
We've not seen the last of these suspicious cable cuts.
Here’s some of our earlier work on this topic (from 2023). Despite sanctions, grain and other materials are still being exported from occupied ports www.bellingcat.com/news/2023/08...
What constitutes an act of war these days?
The people defining this crucial issue are...underwriters.
The trial of Serhii K will be of enormous significance for them - and indeed for everyone.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/09/17/n...
(Me @foreignpolicy.com. Gift link.)
It has been published: the Joint Committee on the National Security Strategy's report on undersea cables.
It was a privilege to be involved in the inquiry and see some of my suggestions picked up by the committee.
publications.parliament.uk/pa/jt5901/jt...
I am stat testing, plotting and visualizing a newish ongoing attack on navigation in at least this area.
Major post will follow, but I am too excited so here is a preview.
Questions later!
New insight article:
RFA Proteus begins operations as seabed warfare threats increase
www.navylookout.com/rfa-proteus-...
***UPDATE***
Right now, the Chinese landing trials involving the new 'Shuiqiao' Class Landing Barges is underway with two ferries in unloading position and another cargo vessel nearby.
Positions revealed by AIS #OSINT
The French Navy (Marine Nationale) conducted a set of trials with Exail’s DriX USV off the coast of Toulon and tested it in the latest “Dragoon Fury” unmanned systems exercise 🇫🇷
www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2...
Thanks to ABC (Australia's National Public Radio) for having me back on air to discuss submarine cable communications and their vulnerabilities.
www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...
Russia is using vessels from its “ghost fleet” — hundreds of aging commercial ships with obscured ownership — to send military equipment to Libyan strongman Khalifa Haftar, leaked documents from a European Union naval mission reveal.
Read the story:
Scottish Labour’s deputy leader Jackie Baillie has warned that the UK must not compromise its security as the global order shifts, citing the potential threat of Russian forces in the North Sea.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/baillie-warn...
Several European Public Broadcasting companies ran joint investigation:
60 suspected or confirmed russian hybrid attacks against European countries in 2024-2025. (80 cases were reviewed)
Over time increasing risks and signs of more violent methods being used.
人口動態的に将来的に量的軍拡が厳しい上にホワイトハウス在住のボケ老人がアメリカへの信頼値を削り続ける一方で西欧をあまり信じていないポーランドは独自核保有は本気で考えてそう…ただ短期的にはフランスの欧州核抑止に協力するのが抑止力向上の道であることは間違い無いんだよな
ポーランドがさまざまな障害を乗り越えられるとしても、核兵器を開発・製造するのに一体何年かかるのだろうか？ドイツよりもフランスの核兵器を受け入れやすいポーランドが、ASMPを搭載するフランスのラファール飛行隊を自国内に展開するための航空基地新設や空中給油機の新規に導入するなどが現実的な路線じゃないだろうか？先日のA330 MRTT導入打診を考えると、まずはやはりフランスの核抑止力を各国に展開しやすい環境を整えるべきだと思う。何も欧州諸国全てが核武装、大陸軍の編成、アルマダを創設する必要はなく、適材適所を強くすればいい。
Inside Russia's shadow war in the Baltic Sea - a series of suspected sabotage incidents has exposed the vulnerability of Europe’s undersea infrastructure
ig.ft.com/baltic-sea/
Rearmament: Time for the British left to take a stand - either you're for it or against it... https://htsf.substack.com/p/rearmament-time-for-the-left-to-take?utm_campaign=post&showWelcomeOnShare=true
The Philippine Navy eyes long overdue armament, sensor, and communication upgrades for the Tarlac-class landing platform docks 🇵🇭
Story by @aaronmatthewil.bsky.social
www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2...
My dispatch from the Black Sea and a Ukrainian patrol boat that shoots down Russian drones. I also spoke to the vice admiral who sank the Moskva warship. "When Kyiv had a university Moscow was a bog & home to croaking frogs," he said. Pix: @alessiomamo.bsky.social www.theguardian.com/world/2025/m...
何が悲しいって今の悲惨っぷりが好転する見込みもないんだよなあの国
＞RP
私はイギリスの戦略原潜だけでなく、海軍全体の状況も心配しております。
ACUA Ocean has marked a key milestone in the development of its autonomous unmanned surface vessel (USV) technology with a naming ceremony for the USV-Pioneer at Turnchapel Wharf, Plymouth, according to a press release.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/?p=57340
1/
The building blocks of European defense are the national capabilities.
I don't see a whole of Europe approach as likely, nor a viable alternative, but instead that like-minded countries come together forming blocks, coordinating plans, investing together when possible.
A Russian flagged cargo vessel is driving back and forth across C-Lion1 comms cable and Nord Stream disused pipelines since last night.
She is 22 miles off the coast of Gotland and close to the only east-facing port facilities. There has been anti-naval activity N and S of the position during day.
Map showing the position of the Russian vessel Yantar, in the Irish sea on 14 November 2024. While I can't rule out that they did the AIS equivalent of "butt dialing", it seems odd that for the four minutes or so they enabled AIS (over the entire day) - they were right beside a gas pipeline. Sin é.
Fadó, fadó...
(unwinding from everything by playing with QGIS again)
Polish study suggests ships are conducting GPS jamming operations in the Baltic
splash247.com?p=220382
Jack Watling and I take a look at what the requirements might look like for a European force in Ukraine. We find that this not an insurmountable task, but will require proper resourcing and difficult political choices. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/2025/03/will...
