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Ed Arnold

@edrusi

European Security at RUSI - NATO, JEF, Arctic and High North security. All views my own

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Latest posts by Ed Arnold @edrusi

Doubt much of the electorate have noticed but the mess Badenoch and Farage have got into over Iran shows just how beatable they are.

11.03.2026 13:32 πŸ‘ 328 πŸ” 76 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 2
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Ukraine retakes most Russian-held areas in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after weeks of counterattacks Ukraine has nearly liberated the remaining Russian-occupied parts of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after several weeks of counterattacks in the part of the front line where Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk Obl...

Ukrainian forces have pushed Russian troops out of most occupied areas in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast after several weeks of counterattacks along the section of the front where Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia oblasts meet.

10.03.2026 16:34 πŸ‘ 331 πŸ” 77 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 6
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β€˜Tony Blair hasn’t learned from the Iraq War – but Keir Starmer has’ | The News Agents Tony Blair says Keir Starmer should have given Donald Trump his full backing for the war in Iran. The News Agents, however, say Blair doesn’t know what he’s talking about.

"Tony Blair is apparently pissed off that his words came out."

Blair says Keir Starmer should be backing Trump's war in Iran – but does he want to be part of a conflict no one really understands "the point or purpose" of?

www.thenewsagents.co.uk/article/tony...

09.03.2026 19:00 πŸ‘ 68 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 18 πŸ“Œ 3

Just fascinating to see Blair, a man whose reputation was ruined by the Iraq war, advocate joining a war that is exponentially stupider and more chaotic. How is it possible to learn nothing from the worst mistake of your life?

08.03.2026 11:56 πŸ‘ 4228 πŸ” 779 πŸ’¬ 288 πŸ“Œ 80
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Fixed the headline

06.03.2026 09:30 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

That also astonished me when checking. The Strategic Dialogues were:

2021: Raab - Maas
2022: (meeting postponed over snowstorm)
2023: Cleverly - Baerbock
2024: Cameron - Baerbock
2025: Cooper - Wadepfuhl

So Baerbock was the only minister to make two Strategic Dialogues, whereas Lammy made none.

06.03.2026 08:04 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Which could also be any war the US and West has been involved in over the last 30 years

05.03.2026 15:32 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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You’ve failed us on Iran, Middle East allies tell UK Bahrain and the UAE join Cyprus in criticising Sir Keir Starmer’s slow response to Tehran’s retaliatory strikes

Bonkers. "One western official said that the proposal to send the ship [HMS Dragon] did not cross the desk of the chief of defence staff until 9.30am on Tuesday β€” four days after the war started and nearly two days after RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus was hit" www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/a...

05.03.2026 10:13 πŸ‘ 62 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 4
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Webinar: RUSI Experts on the Conflict in Iran & its Global Security Implications A briefing and Q&A with a panel of RUSI experts, discussing the implications of the evolving conflict in Iran.

Join us on 9 March for expert insights on the evolving conflict in Iran.

RUSI Members will hear from a panel of RUSI researchers and fellows and get the chance to ask them questions.

Not a RUSI Member? Join today: https://bit.ly/3siJl1P

05.03.2026 10:28 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Please to provide evidence to the Defence Committee on the Arctic and High North yesterday. I'm convinced that a war between NATO and Russia will likely originated there and so it needs to be given our full attention.

04.03.2026 09:01 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The willingness of major European states such as Britain and France to send their military forces to actively defend counties in the Middle East but not to defend Ukraine shows how Europe has a distorted sense of its own interests.

04.03.2026 08:35 πŸ‘ 821 πŸ” 236 πŸ’¬ 35 πŸ“Œ 15

More evidence of Europeans happy to protect other partners but not Ukraine

Watch: British F-35 scores first recorded combat kill

www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

03.03.2026 20:29 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I mean, it is ludicrous that πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ did not do this sooner...

03.03.2026 16:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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NATO Secretary Mark Rutte: "The commander in chief, the leader of the free world, President Donald J Trump -- I really commend what is happening here."

02.03.2026 15:00 πŸ‘ 562 πŸ” 139 πŸ’¬ 369 πŸ“Œ 392
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Norway ready to start nuclear weapons talks with France French leader Emmanuel Macron is looking to build European atomic cooperation.

Norway is willing to start talks with Paris on how French nuclear weapons can contribute to the continent's security, Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide said today.

03.03.2026 15:34 πŸ‘ 89 πŸ” 31 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 6
26.02.2026 17:42 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Russia could intercept European nukes β€˜within ten years,’ experts warn New report raises questions about British and French nukes as Moscow saber-rattles.

Russian air and missile defenses may soon be able to intercept British and French nuclear weapons, according to new analysis by the U.K.-based think tank RUSI.

26.02.2026 09:28 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 1
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Met apologises to Commons speaker for sharing tipoff with Mandelson’s lawyers Exclusive: Police meet Lindsay Hoyle to explain error after Hoyle shared tip that Mandelson planned to flee UK

It is very funny how Mandelson’s fury over his arrest has led to the Met apologising profusely, but to someone else entirely.

25.02.2026 20:15 πŸ‘ 119 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 1
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UN General Assembly resolution in support of Ukraine adopted today. Out of all EU member states, only Hungary abstained... as did the US.

24.02.2026 18:23 πŸ‘ 130 πŸ” 85 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 7
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The fall and fall of Tony Blair Never has a former prime minister so tarnished their own reputation

"It has been all about demonstrating....that his voice is still needed on the international stage - that he can make a difference. Except that it’s an illusion. What’s left for the historians is a blackened shell.
Latest Inside-Out column.
philipstephens.substack.com/p/the-fall-a...

22.02.2026 19:10 πŸ‘ 50 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 3
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Just another in a long line of examples of UK defence and security major mistakes

19.02.2026 21:25 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Obviously challenging for the PM but the problem was his own making - Chagos was not a domestic or international priority but he made it one. HMG have made somuch of the deal being 'absolutely necessary' that if they shelve it, it proves the underlying argument was false.

19.02.2026 11:45 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

On top of this, it really risks tipping Reform into a US oriented, Christian nationalist, socially conservative party in a way that is uncomfortable for a lot of UK voters. The question is if those voters notice or care.

18.02.2026 10:21 πŸ‘ 355 πŸ” 92 πŸ’¬ 34 πŸ“Œ 9

I would also suggest collection wasn't their strength as early 2022 showed. Blindspot towards Russian intentions

18.02.2026 10:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

About time. Unlike military capabilities, you cant spend your way out of intelligence deficiencies. They take decades to build and considering all military plans are based on intelligence, its pretty fundamental

18.02.2026 09:50 πŸ‘ 57 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Sorry, but the guy who has survived longer an achieved more of his priorities than anyone else in politics over the past two decades, who has outmaneuvered multiple leaders of two larger parties and reoriented politics around his priorities is not β€œbad at politics”. This is cope.

17.02.2026 15:52 πŸ‘ 403 πŸ” 43 πŸ’¬ 63 πŸ“Œ 11
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Casework Crisis: Increase In Constituency Caseload Takes Its Toll The inexorable growth in casework is stopping MPs from fulfilling their other roles. Alice Lilly sifts through the inbox looking for what might be ...

The workload facing MPs and their staff is growing, in ways that aren't visible to the public: casework and the inbox.

For @thehousemag.bsky.social, I delved into what the workload looks like, why it's growing, and what this means for how MPs can balance the different aspects of their role

17.02.2026 12:37 πŸ‘ 74 πŸ” 53 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 17

Good piece but only the PM and Chancellor should be making these arguments. Has to come from the top

17.02.2026 09:09 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ’―

16.02.2026 09:02 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0