The data also reinforce a message that should be clear: American leadership in science and medical research requires far more than getting across the line on top-line budget negotiations and will require continued vigilance to track how HHS treats applications and existing awards.
Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success. Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302
The data is in: the NIH goalposts have shifted.
What were once almost certain fundable scores have become coin flips and what used to be likely grants have become aspirational, leading to fewer awards.
Another manifestation of how HHS policies have led to fewer awards and less science.
New with @tn-marine-micro.bsky.social, exploring how viral-mediated infection and lysis can fuel the marine food web:
theconversation.com/viruses-aren...
It was an honor to work with this group... and the paper is excellent, but the implications for tropical ecosystems make me really sad. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Screenshot from GRC portal confirming microbial population biology meeting June 27, 2027 in Andover, New Hampshire.
It’s officially happening folks! The Microbial Population Biology Gordon Research Conference is back in Andover, New Hampshire starting June 27th of 2027!
See you there!!
@wcratcliff.bsky.social @ksbakes.bsky.social @surtlab.bsky.social
#microsky #mevosky
Looking forward to the Modern Coexistence Theory workshop tomorrow.
Please repost :)
Mmm two saddle nodes
Ecology faces an accumulation of models but not an accumulation of confidence. Our new paper w/ Jonathan Levine www.nature.com/articles/s41... in @natecoevo.nature.com introduces a rigorous test rooted in queueing theory to falsify inadequate models and build confidence in useful ones.
🧪,🌍,#ecoevo
Hi all! I am seeking an ecology or applied math PhD student interested in quantitative ecology, specifically ecological theory, food web modeling, or population dynamics. If you are interested, have a look at our lab website below and reach out to me.
resiliencelab.github.io/join/
@joshuasweitz.bsky.social @mixotrophe.bsky.social
Job Alert! Looking for a PhD student and a postdoc in quantitative ecology
Deets here: resiliencelab.github.io/join/
Global distribution of forest landscapes covered by airborne LiDAR
Only a pre-print for now, but after 4 years of hard work I couldn't resist sharing this!
The Global Canopy Atlas: analysis-ready maps of 3D structure for the world's woody ecosystems
📜: doi.org/10.1101/2025...
Huge team effort led by the brilliant Fabian Fischer!
Happy to share our research on traditional farming landscapes in northwest Himalaya is out in Science Advances! Thanks to my advisor Tulja & all the wonderful collaborators- Ale @ornithoale.bsky.social, Katie @kasolari.bsky.social, Akshata, Kullu, Rinchen, Lamaji. 1/7 www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Interested in theory and looking for a postdoc or grad school? Come talk to me at #ESA2025!
resiliencelab.github.io/join/
A 23% reduction in staff at the EPA and closure of their research program will make it much easier for companies to pollute land, water, and air without being held accountable. This will hurt all of our children and grandchildren. This is very sad to watch. 🧪
www.pbs.org/newshour/pol...
a new study found that experienced open source programmers became 19% less efficient when they used AI tools, because they spent more time prompting and reviewing AI generation output than they saved on coding.
www.forbes.com/sites/johndr...
"For every dollar spent [on science], the economy eventually produces an additional $1.71 in output. That return exceeds nearly every other form of public or private investment."
Is this YTD for 2024?
Okay I know I've got a bunch of bug needs among my followers, and y'all need to see this one LOOK AT IT
A synthetic paper about fast vs. slow responses of ecological systems to changing climate, explaining how and why those responses can shift (even in sign) over time. Examples across scales and subdiscplines (population genetics, ecosystem ecology). besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Paper: "data available upon request"
Upon request: "our data source doesn't want us to share data"
Job in my lab: 3yr postdoc on how and when complexity promotes network stability.
Looking for physics, math, or theory folks who use analytical approaches, but there'll be great opportunities for data connections too.
docs.google.com/document/d/1...
NSF, NASA and NIH budgets per year, inflation adjusted from 2000-2025 along with the proposed cuts. NSF includes research component only. Massive cuts across all sectors, well below support spanning 25 years.
How bad will it be? Catastrophic.
Proposed cuts to #NSF, #NIH, and #NASA will set the US R&D landscape back 25 yrs+, cause economic and job loss now, and undermine innovations to come.
But, this is the WH's *proposed* budget.
Speak up now before it is too late.
(inflation adjusted $-s below)
Soybeans and sirloin are not incompatible with science.
But a country that only produces soybeans and sirloin is going to run into some recurring, structural problems.
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
How do ecological communities respond to pulse perturbations (e.g. storms, wildfires)? We have a solid theory for stable fixed points, but what about cycles, transients, or chaos? In this preprint, we introduce a unified framework for these nonequilibrium cases. 1/7
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
Done. Please comment, click on public comments on left bar. Suggestions in thread.
bsky.app/profile/free...
