Jerg Gutmann

📄 New NET-ROL publication: Deliverable 2.2 – Rule of Law and Networks: Guidelines on Measurement and Statistical Analysis. The document sets out indicators and methodological standards for studying law-making, judiciary, public spending, and citizens. www.net-rol.eu/publications...

🚨 New publication!
Our first working paper, Conceptual Framework is out.
It maps how networks — social, political, economic — shape the rule of law and, in turn, influence socio-economic outcomes.
It’s the lens we’ll use to guide the empirical research that follows.
📄 www.net-rol.eu/publications...

🚨 Out Now: Elgar Encyclopedia of Public Choice, edited by Richard Jong-A-Pin & Christian Bjørnskov

Learn more: www.e-elgar.com/shop/isbn/97...

Free chapter: doi.org/10.4337/9781...

Can new constitutions tighten the reins? The effect of constitutional change on constitutional compliance: Gutmann, Jerg; Metelska-Szaniawska, Katarzyna; Voigt, Stefan

Fourth Branch Agencies: A Silver Bullet for Making Government Accountable?: Gutmann, Jerg; Voigt, Stefan

Economic Approaches to the Separation of Powers: Gutmann, Jerg; Voigt, Stefan

New Paper Alert!📢
"Bend It like Bolsonaro: Global Evidence on the Effect of Populism on Constitutional Compliance" by @jerggutmann.bsky.social & Martin Rode

Find out more in the latest CESifo Working Paper!
🔗 www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...

Bend It like Bolsonaro: Global Evidence on the Effect of Populism on Constitutional Compliance: Jerg Gutmann; Martin Rode

Culture and constitutional compliance: Gutmann, Jerg; Lewczuk-Czerwińska, Anna; Lewkowicz, Jacek; Voigt, Stefan

International Sanctions and Corruption: Jerg Gutmann; Pascal Langer; Matthias Neuenkirch

🧵Introducing the Trump Action Tracker website!

Today I’m launching www.trumpactiontracker.info - a live, searchable list of authoritarian‑style actions from Trump’s second term (over 740 actions so far). 1/14

📯Neuer Digitize!-Kurzbericht von Katharina Pfaff und Jerg Gutmann @jerggutmann.bsky.social mit interessanten Ergebnissen aus der letzten Digitize!-Befragungswelle über Vertrauen der österreichischen Bevölkerung in die Justiz❗: digitize.univie.ac.at/fileadmin/us...

Privacy concerns and willingness to adopt AI products: A cross-country randomized survey experiment: Gutmann, Jerg; Brandimarte, Laura; Muehlheusser, Gerd; Weber, Franziska

How do citizens define and value the rule of law? A conjoint experiment in Germany and Poland Democratic and rule of law backsliding are observed worldwide, but in Europe these tendencies are particularly salient as they endanger the entire European Union's cohesion. Poland, along with Hung...

3️⃣ @jerggutmann.bsky.social Jarosław Kantorowicz & @stefanvoigt.bsky.social explore how citizens in Poland and Germany define and value the rule of law

Bad enough. But of course it won’t stop with non-citizens, will it?

Title: Both Liberal and Conservative Judges Rule Against Trump Description: A scatter plot showing the rulings of judges against or in favor of Trump, categorized by ideology using the DIME score. The x-axis represents Judge Ideology (DIME Score), ranging from liberal (-1) to conservative (1), and the y-axis represents the case outcome (against or for Trump). • Blue dots represent liberal judges, purple dots represent moderate judges, and red dots represent conservative judges. • Some judges are labeled, including Rudolph Contreras, Lauren King, John Coughenour, and James Emanuel Boasberg on the liberal to moderate side, and Carl Nichols, Richard J. Leon, and Joseph N. Laplante on the conservative side. • A note mentions that Boasberg, though slightly right-leaning, was initially appointed by George W. Bush. • The visualization suggests that judges from both ideological backgrounds ruled against Trump.

1/🧵 Judges across ideological lines are ruling against Trump at strikingly similar rates (84% liberal, 86% centrist, 82% conservative). This isn't partisan opposition to Trump—it's the judiciary functioning as intended by cutting across partisan lines to uphold the Constitution.

Happy to share that our paper on constitutional loyalty, jointly written with #JergGutmann and #RoeeSarel is available open access here:

rdcu.be/ecKe7

COVID hit all countries at about the same time and in similar ways which enables us to elicit constitutional loyalty across countries.

International Sanctions and Internal Conflict: The Case of Iran: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan; Jerg Gutmann

Now, first-of-its-kind research by Jerg Gutmann, Pascal Langer, and Matthias Neuenkirch confirms the logical conclusion:

US-EU sanctions increase migration from targeted countries by >20%!! (3/7)
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

NEW: The actions of Trump and Vance in recent weeks highlight something under-appreciated.

The American right is now ideologically closer to countries like Russia, Turkey and in some senses China, than to the rest of the west (even the conservative west).

My column: www.ft.com/content/3046...

Economic Sanctions: A Root Cause of Migration YouTube video by Center for Economic and Policy Research

Next was an important panel on the migration effects of economic sanctions (tldr; very high) at the @ceprdc.bsky.social with @jerggutmann.bsky.social, Francisco Rodriguez, Denisse Delgado, and Mark Weisbrot www.youtube.com/watch?v=eapN... (4/5)

International organizations in national parliamentary debates - The Review of International Organizations This data article introduces IOParlspeech, an original dataset of over 600,000 statements on international organizations (IOs) in parliamentary debates in six countries between 1990 and 2018. We expla...

(1/8) Just published in @the-peio.bsky.social by @tommccraehunter.bsky.social and @stefwalter.bsky.social : We introduces IOParlspeech, a dataset of over 600,000 statements on 75 IOs in parliamentary debates (six countries: AT, CAN, DE, UK, USA, NZL) between 1990 and 2018. doi.org/10.1007/s115...

International Sanctions and Internal Conflict: The Case of Iran: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan; Jerg Gutmann

Similar leaders, fewer sanctions: In our next economics talk,
@jerggutmann.bsky.social (@uni-hamburg.de) shows how political leaders' background influences international sanctions decisions.
🗓️ 3 Dec | 13:30 CET | Hybrid
➡️ leibniz-ios.de/en/events/de...

Better Writing is Perceived as Better Thinking - Conversable Economist Before your writing can persuade those who actually read it of the merits of your thinking, the writing needs to persuade the reader--from the start--that it's worth reading in the first place. I work...

conversableeconomist.com/2024/01/24/b...

In one exam, instead of giving students my usual True/False questions, I gave students the questions together with ChatGPT’s responses and asked them to identify what was right (almost nothing beyond restating the prompt), what was wrong, and how so.

The Institute of Law and Economics offers a PhD position in law & finance.

Violence Against Women at Work* Abstract. In this paper, we link every police report in Finland to administrative data to identify violence between colleagues, and the economic consequences fo

Probably the most chilling paper I read in 2023, yet essential reading for all of us. academic.oup.com/qje/advance-... #EconSky 📉📈

Ben Hoy has been creating a lot of training materials for GIS and historical databases. It is now all in one place:

hgis.usask.ca/gis-training...

Great website with LaTeX templates for slides, papers, and referee reports