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Jeffrey Prescott

@jeffreyprescott

Senior fellow @carnegieendowment.org. Former US Ambassador to the UN in Rome, State, NSC, WH. Personal account.

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Latest posts by Jeffrey Prescott @jeffreyprescott

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The Iran War’s Hidden Front: Food, Water, and Fertilizer | Council on Foreign Relations While world energy markets are in upheaval over the halt in fossil fuel shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, there is also a brewing crisis over a sharp cutback in food supplies that normally transi...

“The consequences of the Iran conflict, which are already being felt in the region, will reverberate globally as an exacerbated food crisis swells.”

www.cfr.org/articles/the...

13.03.2026 18:36 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Bored of peace The idea of making difficult trade-offs is alien to Trump

"The idea of making difficult trade-offs — sacrificing this for the greater good of that; denying instant gratification for larger future gain — is as foreign to Trump as Mongolian... Such a person gets bored very easily — bored of reading, bored of listening, bored of thinking and bored of peace."

13.03.2026 13:57 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Trump administration underestimated Iran war’s impact on Strait of Hormuz | CNN Politics The Pentagon and National Security Council significantly underestimated Iran’s willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to US military strikes while planning the ongoing operation, accord...

“Top Trump officials acknowledged to lawmakers during recent classified briefings that they did not plan for the possibility of Iran closing the strait in response to strikes…”

www.cnn.com/2026/03/12/p...

13.03.2026 10:41 👍 7 🔁 5 💬 2 📌 2

Who are “we”?

12.03.2026 14:53 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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How Trump and His Advisers Miscalculated Iran’s Response to War

NEW: Before the Iran War, Trump ignored warnings that Iran could retaliate across the region and stop oil shipments. Now, with energy markets in chaos, some aides are pessimistic about the lack of a strategy to end the war. But they haven't told Trump. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/10/u...

11.03.2026 01:27 👍 1567 🔁 611 💬 125 📌 153
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What Is the Endgame in Iran? Trump needs to figure out what he wants—and quickly.

@colinkahl.bsky.social on Trump's utter lack of clarity of purpose in Iran: "Wars are not judged by how well they start. They are judged by how they end—and by whether the country that started the fight is stronger or weaker when the guns finally go quiet."

www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/what-en...

10.03.2026 15:04 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

"Vile as the Iranian regime is ... it did not pose an imminent danger to the American people. Mr. Trump’s war, however, does create immediate and acute risks to American civilians in the region."

09.03.2026 13:15 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

“Trump appears strangely uncertain about where the war is heading. ‘The worst case would be we do this and then somebody takes over who’s as bad as the previous person,’ Trump mused on Tuesday…seeming to be considering this very real possibility for the first time. ‘It would probably be the worst.’”

08.03.2026 13:59 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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America chose this war — and must now choose how to end it However this conflict concludes, the US and Iran’s new leaders will have to revisit the same issues that sparked hostilities

“The contrast between Washington’s near-unlimited willingness to compromise and demonstrate patience when it comes to persuading Russia to end its aggression against Ukraine and its unrealistic demands and lack of patience with Iran in the run-up to this war is as stark as it is telling.”

08.03.2026 13:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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State Department Is Accused of Slow Assistance for Stranded Americans

“This war started at a time of our choosing,” said Yael Lempert, a career diplomat who served as ambassador to Jordan in the Biden administration. “It should have come as no surprise that airspace would close, and commercial flight options would be curtailed.”

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/05/u...

06.03.2026 01:42 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Live Updates: Trump Says Strikes Killed Leaders U.S. Saw as Successors in Iran

More:

Asked who he would like to take over Iran, Mr. Trump gave a strikingly blunt answer. “Most of the people we had in mind are dead,” he said. “Now we have another group, they may be dead also, based on reports. So you have a third wave coming. Pretty soon we’re not going to know anybody.”

03.03.2026 20:02 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Pres Trump told me tonight the US had identified possible candidates to take over Iran, but they were killed in the initial attack.

"The attack was so successful it knocked out most of the candidates," Trump told me. "It's not going to be anybody that we were thinking of because they are all dead. Second or third place is dead."

Pres Trump told me tonight the US had identified possible candidates to take over Iran, but they were killed in the initial attack. "The attack was so successful it knocked out most of the candidates," Trump told me. "It's not going to be anybody that we were thinking of because they are all dead. Second or third place is dead."

@jonathankarl.bsky.social: "The attack was so successful it knocked out most of the candidates," Trump told me. "It's not going to be anybody that we were thinking of because they are all dead. Second or third place is dead."

02.03.2026 14:55 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Trump Says War Could Last Weeks and Offers Contradictory Visions of New Regime

Trump’s plan for Iran, in two phone calls yesterday:

NYT: [W]hen asked whom he wanted to lead Iran, he said, “I have three very good choices.” He added: “I won’t be revealing them now. Let’s get the job done first.”

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/01/u...

02.03.2026 14:55 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death at the hand of a nation he worked very hard to kill is a hinge moment in the history of Iran’s revolution, Karim Sadjadpour argues. theatln.tc/rGrjs2Wh

28.02.2026 21:48 👍 47 🔁 10 💬 11 📌 1

@jahimes.bsky.social: “Wars in the Middle East don’t go well for presidents, for the country, and we have not heard articulated a single good reason for why now is the moment to launch yet another war in the Middle East.”

27.02.2026 02:44 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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‘Crisis of his own making’: Donald Trump weighs another war with Iran The US military build-up was designed to coerce Tehran — but has failed

“Who wants this? Nobody wants this,” said [Aaron David] Miller at the @carnegieendowment.org “We’re sleepwalking towards a war, in search of a strategy.”

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... ‘Crisis of his own making’: Donald Trump weighs another war with Iran

24.02.2026 22:32 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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America Doesn’t Need a Deal or a War With Iran Why the rush, when Washington has all the leverage?

Thomas Wright: "What exactly has changed since June that justifies a more extreme course of action now? Until that question is addressed, the case for urgency, and for war, does not add up."

www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

23.02.2026 20:03 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1
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Trump appears ready to attack Iran as U.S. strike force takes shape Although the United States and ally Israel have a military advantage over Iranian forces, there are ways for Tehran to make any attack painful, officials said.

“Military operations look quick and easy — right until they are not,” said @jkdemp.bsky.social. “What we did in Venezuela was such a unique operation, and a one-off. And even that — I’m not sure it will turn out fine.”

www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

20.02.2026 15:29 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Pediatric Cancer Bill Torpedoed by Elon, Rand, and Bernie Finally Passes It had broad bipartisan support but passage still required years of heartbreaking lobbying by extraordinarily dedicated children.

Congratulations to @nancygoodman.bsky.social for all the hard work getting the Mikaela Naylon Give Kids a Chance Act over the finish line. If you are not familiar (and even if you are) this is worth a read:

www.thebulwark.com/p/pediatric-...

07.02.2026 20:34 👍 7 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
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Foreign Policy Outcomes Can Be Hard to Measure. This One Isn’t. A new study found that a combination of policy and diplomatic focus contributed to a dramatic shift in fentanyl-related overdose deaths.

Major efforts in policy and diplomacy to address the fentanyl crisis in the United States have begun to see a remarkable decline in overdose cases.

@jeffreyprescott.bsky.social discusses this milestone: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

20.01.2026 21:34 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

It is rare in foreign policy to find hard proof of success. Rarer still for diplomacy to save thousands of American lives in short order. I wrote about new research here:

carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...

20.01.2026 15:47 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The United States in Retreat U.S. withdrawal from 66 international organizations marks a retreat from global leadership and an opportunity for adversaries ascend.

“Don’t ever leave the U.S. chair empty.”

www.justsecurity.org/128658/unite...

13.01.2026 15:16 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Americans now spend more on Halloween candy than Trump does on feeding the starving. Gross. Sam Vigersky on Trump and Rubio's great humanitarian aid recession:

cfr.org/expert-brief...

06.01.2026 02:52 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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The President of the United States just called for my arrest and execution.

In these moments, fear is contagious, but so is courage:

20.11.2025 19:15 👍 21931 🔁 7745 💬 1011 📌 482
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Joint Statement from Goodlander, Slotkin, Kelly, Crow, Deluzio, and Houlahan

20.11.2025 18:20 👍 2012 🔁 691 💬 80 📌 27
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China Goes on Offense Beijing’s plans to exploit American retreat.

“The international order that the United States built and maintained for decades is coming to an end, and what follows is up for grabs.”

Read Jeffrey Prescott and Julian Gewirtz on China’s “new, more active diplomatic strategy”:

29.09.2025 19:38 👍 16 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 1