2 young billionaires are behind the prediction market boom. They hate each other
The 20-something billionaires who run Kalshi and Polymarket are battling it out to be the top prediction market company. Observers and former insiders say the feud is just heating up.
Prediction markets are back in the news! www.npr.org/2026/03/06/n... I dabbled with these once, I didn't bet on a war though.
In 2012 I bet ~$600 that Obama would win re-election. He did and I doubled my money, but the platform (InTrade) collapsed, and I eventually got 50% back - so I broke even.
08.03.2026 13:16
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RETRACTED FOR THE SECOND TIME: phony study on "biofield energy" treatment neurocritic.blogspot.com/2026/03/retr...
An update on the saga of a supernatural intervention published in peer-reviewed scientific journals cc: @retractionwatch.com
05.03.2026 21:33
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Hmm, does the dots version work for you?
28.02.2026 13:17
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Here's another twist on the purple dots illusion: the vanishing purple poem! (For this one to work well, you need to zoom in). arxiv.org/pdf/2509.11582 From Hinnerk Schulz-Hildebrandt
28.02.2026 12:44
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I find that if you blur your eyes slightly, you can get to the point where only the dot you're looking at appears at all, and the other 8 disappear.
27.02.2026 17:37
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Here's a striking visual illusion - the 9 purple dots.
Focus your eyes on the top left dot. That one is more purple than the others, right? Now try another dot... that one becomes the purple one! pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41744429/
27.02.2026 17:36
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🤢
26.02.2026 16:26
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He was technically correct - the best kind of correct!
26.02.2026 12:28
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In 1986, a computer was a rare thing, so we talked about them. Now, we have computers in our phones, on our watches, fridges... there are 4 computers in the room with me right now (I counted: phone, laptop, desktop & digital camera) and I only noticed because I was writing this post making a point!
26.02.2026 11:25
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The term "AI" is everywhere today. But at a certain point, we'll stop hearing it.
Back in the 80s there was a lot of talk about computers. In 2026, when did you last use the word "computer"? We don't use the word very much, not because computers are less common, but because they're so ubiquitous.
26.02.2026 11:22
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"Her daughters sequentially emerged as additional breeders, resulting in a period of peaceful plural breeding before one daughter ultimately assumed the primary reproductive status" www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6... Taken out of context, biology can sound weird.
25.02.2026 15:12
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Study claims to have found a class of "universal vaccines" against multiple respiratory pathogens and allergens pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41712698/ Interesting but there has to be a catch, right? If there was a simple solution to viruses and bacterial threats, why hasn't evolution already found it?
25.02.2026 14:40
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"Across individuals n=414, representations converged in higher-order cortex despite substantial topographic diversity... similar information was encoded by individual-specific activity patterns." pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41727092/ Brains encode the same information, but in different places (preprint)
24.02.2026 15:01
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Neuroscience has a species problem
If neuroscience is serious about building general principles of brain function, cross-species dialogue must become a core organizing principle.
"When human data align with animal model data, they are welcomed as validation. When they do not, they face higher evidentiary thresholds and greater skepticism" - on species fragmentation in neuroscience www.thetransmitter.org/animal-model...
21.02.2026 17:19
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Which of the following is closest to your view?
1. The human brain is an LLM/transformer.
2. The human brain contains an LLM/transformer.
3. There is nothing resembling an LLM in the human brain. They are completely different.
19.02.2026 15:26
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"Those accusing others of conspiracy belief are at least equally susceptible to the alleged predisposing factor of motivated reasoning." pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41693654/ Hmm. I think the importance of conspiracy theories in things like vaccine acceptance is exaggerated; but they're still important
19.02.2026 13:04
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An Efficient Computing Theory of Prefrontal Structured Working Memory Representations www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
19.02.2026 10:50
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An fMRI study of brain activity in a "boring context" pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41688802/ I love this. "Monotonous tasks are common in academic and professional settings"
18.02.2026 17:23
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So we stole someone's identity to be Corresponding Author, and plagiarised the figures and images, but "the conclusions of the article are otherwise unaffected."
doi.org/10.1002/prp2...
Publisher: We see you're reading this Retraction Note. Allow us to recommend the paper that it retracted.
14.02.2026 23:05
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Yeah... but I can empathize to some degree. They were only responsible for one part of the paper, according to the authors. It's bending the definition of authorship but to be honest, that happens all the time
16.02.2026 11:30
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Why motor learning involves multiple systems: an algorithmic perspective www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6... (Preprint)
16.02.2026 11:18
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Personally, it's clear that both the editor and the author/reviewer messed up. The editor shouldn't have invited an author! But, equally, the author should not have accepted.
15.02.2026 17:22
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A symposium on "Conspiracy thinking in American politics" pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41656961/ See also the famous lecture series "Conspiracy Theories in U.S. History" by Prof. Professorson of Greendale.
13.02.2026 18:51
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