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Frederik Hoedeman

@longinsights

MA in East and Central European Studies/Polish. Also consultant, Copenhagen City. Слава Україні!

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Latest posts by Frederik Hoedeman @longinsights

The Iran war under Trump demonstrated a key flaw in Western military thinking: shooting down cheap Iranian drones with multi-million-dollar missiles could deplete air defenses within a week.

This is without even considering a prolonged conflict lasting years...
1/3

10.03.2026 21:20 👍 3 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

Leaving allies in one part of the world vulnerable because you didn't plan *before* you attacked in another part of the world is rank incompetence.

And when a war is "almost over," you don't move missiles from Asia to the Middle East.

10.03.2026 19:28 👍 381 🔁 140 💬 20 📌 6

The Trump administration is gearing up to kick an estimated six million more people off of food assistance programs — including nearly two million children.

The move would save just $1 billion a year, while Trump spends upwards of $1 billion per *day* on his new forever war.

Priorities.

10.03.2026 19:31 👍 1071 🔁 501 💬 54 📌 15
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Russia told Trump it has not not shared intelligence with Iran during war, Witkoff says U.S. officials have said Russia has given Iran information that could help its forces strike U.S. military assets in the Middle East, MS Now has reported.

Do not believe anything until the Kremlin denies it™️

www.cnbc.com/2026/03/10/i...

10.03.2026 17:06 👍 516 🔁 121 💬 19 📌 7
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Thousands of Ukrainian Refugees Live Day to Day in Hungary - VSquare.org Four years after the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, thousands of Transcarpathian refugees are still scraping by in Hungary from one day to the next. In August 2024, the government withdrew housing support from those who, in its view, had not arrived from a “direct combat zone.”

Four years into Russia's war, hundreds of Transcarpathian refugee families — women, children, Roma, ethnic Hungarians — were left homeless in Hungary with a stroke of a pen. A court ruled it unlawful. The evictions had already happened.

10.03.2026 13:30 👍 0 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
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How Ukraine's Major Corruption Scandal Reached Slovakia - VSquare.org An investigation into corruption at the Ukrainian state-owned company Energoatom reveals several links to Slovakia.

🔎⚡A sprawling Ukrainian corruption scandal spills into Slovakia: a $100M bribery and money-laundering scheme tied to state nuclear giant Energoatom reveals cross-border companies, assets, and financial trails—showing how dirty money quietly crossed borders.

10.03.2026 17:30 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Trump told us who he was in 2012. Will we finally believe him today? Trump has always been an election denier. He has always vilified voting. He has always started with lies, escalated to the courts, and ultimately embraced violent rhetoric.

One of the most important things I have written in a while. I hope you read, learn and share. www.democracydocket.com/opinion/trum...

10.03.2026 03:20 👍 2019 🔁 808 💬 61 📌 28

plenty of trump cabinet officials and high level aides are thieves and grifters and con artists and worse, but i think witkoff may be an actual no-shit traitor

10.03.2026 16:39 👍 698 🔁 123 💬 16 📌 5
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The #Liaowang-1, a 30,000-ton Chinese SIGINT vessel commissioned in 2025, is currently operational in the Gulf of #Oman. Its deep neural network algorithms and high-gain antennas enable real-time tracking of ~1,200 aerial targets, providing a critical EM intelligence layer over the theater.

10.03.2026 15:23 👍 30 🔁 15 💬 0 📌 6
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Blumenthal after getting briefed on Iran: "We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran to accomplish any of the potential objectives here. There's also the specter of active Russian aid to Iran putting in danger American lives ... China also may be assisting Iran"

10.03.2026 16:42 👍 7376 🔁 3300 💬 784 📌 434
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Running out of time: Israel escalates Iran strikes as Trump weighs ‘elegant exit’ The Israeli military is pushing for more strikes on Iran before the window of opportunity closes, when US President Trump decides to end the war.

NEW: Israel has concluded in #Iran war
• Regime change not an option
• Protests didn’t mobilize
• Kurdish option is no more
Result: Escalation of strikes as Trump looks for “elegant exit” and wait for next round www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

10.03.2026 14:27 👍 289 🔁 116 💬 34 📌 49
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Authoritarians will stop at nothing to feel safe. Since they have no concept of public welfare and consider everyone an asset to be used and discarded, they will easily enter into a military conflict without a long-term strategy, regardless of the casualties it causes.

08.03.2026 19:03 👍 2039 🔁 813 💬 43 📌 34
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Billionaires’ % share of federal election spending in:

2008: 0.3%

2024: 19%

@nytimes.com #GildedAge
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/u...

10.03.2026 16:50 👍 1324 🔁 609 💬 68 📌 77

It’s fine for Russia to use drones to freeze out your population — by the way, can you give us your drone defenses? This is the actual US position.

09.03.2026 16:14 👍 1264 🔁 589 💬 48 📌 12
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The architect of non linear warfare, hypernormalisation and managed democracy is now on the run, as Putinist revolution eats its own parents

09.03.2026 18:44 👍 46 🔁 14 💬 7 📌 5

The Double Burden of Incompetence: Individuals with low ability often lack the very expertise required to recognise their own incompetence.

Awareness of Complexity: The more one learns, the more one realises how much they don't know.

09.03.2026 18:35 👍 35 🔁 5 💬 3 📌 0

I 19 News taler de om, at DK kan blive ramt af en oliekrise som i 1970’erne.
Er blokaden af Hormuzstrædet ikke bare endnu en anledning til at skifte til grøn omstilling?
Ja tak til flere vindmøller på land og på havet. Samt solceller.
#dkpol

09.03.2026 18:08 👍 9 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
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US missile hit military base near Iran school, video analysis shows A US Tomahawk missile hit a military base near a primary school in southern Iran where Iranian authorities said 168 people were killed, expert video analysis shows.

Here is the story on the BBC News website.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

09.03.2026 18:38 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Right-wing Christian media are celebrating Trump’s war with Iran as a fulfillment of End Times prophecy.

➡️ www.mediamatters.org/us-iran-rela...

04.03.2026 18:45 👍 168 🔁 85 💬 59 📌 33
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Trump’s holy warriors finally got the apocalypse they’ve prayed for Hundreds are dead. Iran is retaliating. And some of the people who helped start this war think it's going exactly as God intended.

I wrote about the Christian Zionism that is quietly fueling the US attack on Iran. www.motherjones.com/politics/202...

09.03.2026 14:15 👍 106 🔁 47 💬 13 📌 1
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Stalin dál přežívá v srdcích obyčejných Rusů. Putin živí jeho kult i metody „Ten zemřel, zemře i tenhle.“ Tato fráze se nejčastěji ozývá 5. března, v den úmrtí Josifa Stalina, a tento rok nebyl výjimkou. Fráze říká, že Stalin zemřel a Putin brzy také skoná, ale problém je v t...

Dobré ráno))) Ve svém novém skvělém textu odpovídám na otázku, kdo je ve skutečnosti hlavou Ruska, Putin nebo Stalin))

www.reflex.cz/clanek/komen...

09.03.2026 06:44 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Prostitution and Drug Abuse: How Hungary Is Failing Children in State Care - VSquare.org Children in Hungarian care homes are targeted by criminal networks, with pimps effectively embedding themselves within the child-protection system.

💥INVESTIGATION: In Viktor Orbán's Hungary, children in care homes are targeted by criminal networks, with pimps effectively embedding themselves within the child-protection system. Those working in the sector say they are powerless to stop the abuse.

09.03.2026 16:28 👍 26 🔁 14 💬 2 📌 1

Reminder: When Putin speaks, he will often quote statistics. Media will then pick up those statements & publish them, and then people will take that as fact.

Just because Putin said a number, doesn’t mean it’s true.

(People notice this problem with Trump, but still seem to fall for it with Putin)

09.03.2026 16:43 👍 54 🔁 4 💬 2 📌 0
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‼️ Russia: “Putin called on Russian companies to take advantage of the high oil and gas prices.”

Because they wouldn’t have figured that out on their own?

🇷🇺: The Supreme is BRILLIANT!

www.kommersant.ru/doc/8497235

09.03.2026 16:39 👍 81 🔁 7 💬 4 📌 0

Dear @kajakallas.bsky.social and @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu, can the EC please take tough measures against this member state for seizing money from and blackmailing a European partner country under attack by Russia?

[and, all others, reposting would be great]

09.03.2026 16:45 👍 70 🔁 44 💬 2 📌 1

Used to wonder what Putin was thinking as he framed global warming beneficial for Russian agriculture. Melting permafrost. Dead boreal forest.

As a state terrorist, he'll be likely to see benefits for Russia from attacking Ukraines water infra making Ukrainian agriculture more vulnerable to drought

09.03.2026 16:22 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Stát se má omluvit Deníku Referendum za Babišovy výroky. A zaplatit 200 tisíc Obvodní soud pro Prahu 1 vyhověl projednávání žaloby Deníku Referendum na Andreje Babiše za to, že jej označil za „prolhanou novinářskou žumpu, která lže tak jako v minulosti lhala“. Česká republika s...

Soud dnes dospěl k rozsudku, že Deník Referendum má nárok na omluvu a odškodnění za výrok, kterým nás Babiš označil za „žumpu, která lže stejně jako vždycky lhala“. Je to rozsudek pro ochranu novinářů a svobodných médií v ČR.

09.03.2026 10:28 👍 85 🔁 11 💬 2 📌 0
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Are we allowed to get the rest of the Epstein files now?

09.03.2026 14:20 👍 15510 🔁 3886 💬 525 📌 181
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China, argues CFR expert Max Boot for The Washington Post.

"It’s too soon to tell who will win the war between the United States and Iran. But, at this point, my money would be on Russia and China."

09.03.2026 15:32 👍 30 🔁 25 💬 0 📌 1

Escalation Management 🎉

09.03.2026 15:25 👍 6 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0