The Myth of a Rightward Realignment
Let’s discard some stubborn misconceptions about Trump’s support and what happened in the 2024 election. They are only obscuring our understanding of a profound de-alignment.
As the piece is partially behind a paywall, I’ll share some key thoughts:
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What about “education polarization” though, often presented as the root cause of everything that is happening in U.S. politics – the closest thing we have to a widely accepted master narrative?
Its impact is dramatically overstated; its implications are generally misinterpreted.
Among white people, the correlation between racial resentment and their voting decision is much, much stronger than between educational attainment and political alignment.
In fact, if you control for racial resentment, education polarization basically disappears.
Must be wild to see your geopolitical rival commit suicide like this lmao
Not sure how many people realize that battery storage already supplies 30% of California’s electricity demand at peak.
Batteries aren’t the future — they’re here now.
My politics normally: / My politics now:
I'm a Malema Democrat now
America needs an EFF
BREAKING: Twitter
Well, Twitter is cooked
I still don’t know how to get the main feed working on this. Can I get something other than five news outlets please?
I rather have Julius Malema run Twitter
Surprised I got a post on Blue Sky to pop off
I forgot how boring Truth Social is
I should do some trolling on Truth Social
Elon Musk is the whitest guy on Earth
day 125 of saying fuck donald trump
twitter is such a stupid site. they can't even keep it running
I probably should take a break from all social media today
Which there was more of Political Twitter active now on here
People shouldn't act like affluent college educated suburban Republicans are somehow more moderate than Republican voters as a whole, it might been true back in 2012, but not now
Yep it's not an education thing. Highly educated Republicans are *more* likely to be climate deniers than less educated Republicans.
It's conservative ideology and far right media.
Also if non white voters aren't actually a monolith for Dems, then we should pay more attention towards class voting as a whole, not just whites, also you can split up white voters by different religious sects
Also some other parts seem off, but it's absolutely true that Trump has made big gains with poor whites post 2012 and also lost big with rich whites
Presidential vote among whites shows continued income polarization (data from @electionstudies.bsky.social's 2024 timeseries), with income negatively correlated to GOP presidential vote.
I think the 2008 data is off since Romney did noticeably better in affluent white precincts, and didn't do that much better in a lot of poor white areas
Mamdani is the greatest campaigner of the modern era. I have some skepticism about his policies, but you can't deny that he's managed to break into both highly educated liberal and low info voter spaces. If he was 10% less Muslim/socialist he'd be a future president (and maybe despite that...).
The 2025 NY Special election in NY SD-22, a contest between Dem Sephardic community leader Sam Sutton and GOP Attorney Nachman Carl Caller following the resignation of Simcha Felder to take a seat on the New York City Council proved an easy hold for Dems in this Orthodox seat
Tricia Cotham made national news when she switched from the Dems to the GOP in 2023, handing the North Carolina GOP a supermajority and receiving a favorable district in redistricting.
Her #HD105 did flip from Trump to Harris, but she held on and won re-election by 200 votes.
