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Tony Addison

@tonysangle

Non-Resident Research Fellow & former Chief Economist UNU-WIDER Helsinki. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎFormer Professor of Economics, University of Copenhagen.๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐAlso Manchester & Warwick universities ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง https://www.wider.unu.edu/expert/tony-addison-0

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Latest posts by Tony Addison @tonysangle

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Russia February PMIs
Manufacturing 49.5 (was 49.4)
Services 51.3 (53.1)
Composite output index 50.8 (52.1)

The burst of service activity is now disappearing? Manufacturing has been in contraction territory for an year.

06.03.2026 11:48 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Renewable Energy and National Security The wind and the sun donโ€™t need to transit the Strait of Hormuz

A favorite economist of mine sounding like a favorite climate activist @billmckibben.bsky.social paulkrugman.substack.com/p/renewable-...

06.03.2026 16:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yup, though many poorer countries are locked into fossil fuels, while having tremendous renewables potential. For more: our @unu-wider.bsky.social open access book global.oup.com/academic/pro...

06.03.2026 17:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Great piece on Trumpโ€™s tariffs after the Supreme Court ruling by @pkrugman.bsky.social ๐Ÿ‘

24.02.2026 20:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ™„

26.02.2026 10:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ™„๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

26.02.2026 19:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งBrexit๐Ÿ‘‡

25.02.2026 10:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ™„

26.02.2026 10:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Many pitfalls in processing: success stories but also many failures. Discussed in our (open access) @unu-wider.bsky.social OUP book ๐Ÿ‘‡ global.oup.com/academic/pro...

25.02.2026 14:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งBrexit๐Ÿ‘‡

25.02.2026 10:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
How Russiaโ€™s fatalities compare with Ukraineโ€™s After four years of fighting, our modelling reveals a grim toll

So, maybe 400k Russians killed. About 650k have moved aboard during the past four years. Inward migration lower than before. (End-2025 ~4m legal migrant workers, 2015 it was 7m.)๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ

Total labor force ~76m.
How Russiaโ€™s fatalities compare with Ukraineโ€™s
economist.com/graphic-deta...

24.02.2026 18:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Great piece on Trumpโ€™s tariffs after the Supreme Court ruling by @pkrugman.bsky.social ๐Ÿ‘

24.02.2026 20:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
The European Union Hits Pause on Its U.S. Trade Deal

๐Ÿง€๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
โ€œUS importers already paid 15% tariffs on Parmesan & Camembert cheese before last yearโ€™s trade deal. Under the trade deal, cheese was capped at 15%. But now, the existing rate will be added to the new 15% levy, making for a tariff of nearly 30%โ€ ๐Ÿ™„๐Ÿ‘‡
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/23/w...

23.02.2026 18:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Recommended ๐Ÿ‘

24.02.2026 05:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump Faces Tough Legal Landscape to Oppose Tariff Refunds The Trump administration is likely to face legal obstacles if it argues against refunds for the tariffs struck down by the US Supreme Court โ€” thanks to statements by Justice Department lawyers.

โ€Govt. lawyers wrote in court filings last summer that plaintiffs whose cases went to the Supreme Court โ€œwill assuredly receive payment on their refund with interestโ€ if they won .. trade lawyers said judges are likely to hold the administration to those promisesโ€๐Ÿ‘‡

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

24.02.2026 11:12 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I feel your pain.

Yet having taught international trade economics 30+ years ago, I feel a spring in my step. ๐Ÿ˜Š

24.02.2026 11:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump Faces Tough Legal Landscape to Oppose Tariff Refunds The Trump administration is likely to face legal obstacles if it argues against refunds for the tariffs struck down by the US Supreme Court โ€” thanks to statements by Justice Department lawyers.

โ€Govt. lawyers wrote in court filings last summer that plaintiffs whose cases went to the Supreme Court โ€œwill assuredly receive payment on their refund with interestโ€ if they won .. trade lawyers said judges are likely to hold the administration to those promisesโ€๐Ÿ‘‡

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

24.02.2026 11:12 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Recommended ๐Ÿ‘

24.02.2026 05:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yes, hard to say which, but percentage estimates probably available. ๐Ÿค”

23.02.2026 18:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
The European Union Hits Pause on Its U.S. Trade Deal

๐Ÿง€๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
โ€œUS importers already paid 15% tariffs on Parmesan & Camembert cheese before last yearโ€™s trade deal. Under the trade deal, cheese was capped at 15%. But now, the existing rate will be added to the new 15% levy, making for a tariff of nearly 30%โ€ ๐Ÿ™„๐Ÿ‘‡
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/23/w...

23.02.2026 18:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

After the Supreme Court judgement, Trumpโ€™s tariffs face stronger headwinds. Not least, the impact on consumer prices, with affordability a top voter concern ahead of the November mid-terms. ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

21.02.2026 10:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

One reason why damage to emerging economies like Vietnam from Trumpโ€™s tariffs has been less than feared on โ€˜Liberation Dayโ€™ 2025.

21.02.2026 11:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธHow the Supreme Court decision against Trumpโ€™s IEEPA tariffs is going down with the US public (60% like the courtโ€™s decision)๐Ÿ‘‡

23.02.2026 18:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

One reason why damage to emerging economies like Vietnam from Trumpโ€™s tariffs has been less than feared on โ€˜Liberation Dayโ€™ 2025.

21.02.2026 11:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

After the Supreme Court judgement, Trumpโ€™s tariffs face stronger headwinds. Not least, the impact on consumer prices, with affordability a top voter concern ahead of the November mid-terms. ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

21.02.2026 10:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€˜Liberation Dayโ€™ tariffs threw a lot of sand in the trade engine but didnโ€™t dent the size of the overall trade deficit.

20.02.2026 19:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This study is essential reading on tariffs as Trump maneuvers after the Supreme Court ruling against the Liberation Day tariffs. Those on autos, aluminum, steel etc remain as enacted via a different route ๐Ÿ‘‡

20.02.2026 19:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

After the Supreme Court decision, what next? Trump will use other legal routes (10% global tariff under Section 122 authority he just announced) but the underlying macroeconomics will keep the trade deficit growing.

20.02.2026 21:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

After the Supreme Court decision, what next? Trump will use other legal routes (10% global tariff under Section 122 authority he just announced) but the underlying macroeconomics will keep the trade deficit growing.

20.02.2026 21:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This study is essential reading on tariffs as Trump maneuvers after the Supreme Court ruling against the Liberation Day tariffs. Those on autos, aluminum, steel etc remain as enacted via a different route ๐Ÿ‘‡

20.02.2026 19:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0