@samdschmid
MOVING RESEARCHERS FORWARD | Research and Study Program Manager @ University of Lucerne, Switzerland | Political Science PhD from EUI, Florence | #migration #citizenship #democracy #measurement | he/him/his | www.samdschmid.com
Very happy that this article with Samir Negash and Lorenzo Piccoli has just been accepted at the European Political Science Review. In it we show that "welfare chauvinism" is much more nuanced than many assume.
Excited to offer this (hopefully helpful) intervention to citizenship studies, illustrating conceptual differences in democratic and authoritarian citizenship. The goal is to provide a framework for clearer comparative analysis and understanding changes such as democratic erosion
Dieser Zusammenhang zwischen dem Anteil des produzierenden Gewerbes und AfD-Stimmen und Stimmgewinnen ist wirklich bemerkenswert stark.
🚨 This overview of quantitative political science data and methods for comparative immigration law is intended for students and scholars of other methodological and/or disciplinary backgrounds.
@migcitizenapsa.bsky.social @migcitpol.bsky.social @globalcit.bsky.social
🌍 Why do not all immigrant groups support progressive parties?
➡️ @korinlind.bsky.social & @antvalentim.bsky.social show immigrants from established democracies are more likely to back green parties than those from (post-)authoritarian regimes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
Super Sunday in Switzerland!
What is already clear: the far-right popular initiative aimed at slashing funding for the public broadcaster has been decisively rejected.
A broad cross-party alliance successfully campaigning against it & early results suggest strong countermobilization in urban areas
NEW: After Gorton & Denton, how should we understand the threat to Labour's left?
Big new @persuasionuk.bsky.social report out with @38degrees.bsky.social on 'progressive defectors' - Lab 2024 switchers to Greens, Plaid, SNP, Lib Dems.
Who are they, who are they not & what's moving them? 🧵
🎉 New publication 😍 The 4th wave of the #farright is marked by #mainstreaming & #normalisation - but how can we distinguish between them? In our new article, @gefjonoff.bsky.social and I map the existing literature, introduce a conceptual framework & outline research avenues. doi.org/10.1017/S147...
New working paper!
I examine whether exposure to local unemployment during adolescence shapes immigration attitudes in adulthood, focusing on the long-term imprint of early economic insecurity
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
Interesting: Human political opinions are too messy for LLMs trying to imitate them
Has an electoral coalition ever been so misunderstood?
Auch an die anwesenden Soziolog:innen nochmal die Bitte, sich stärker an der Wertschöpfung, Produktion und Innovation in Deutschland zu beteiligen
My pro-immigration misinformation piece that will probably annoy almost everyone is finally out. If you care about democratic trust or are just curious what liberal elites don't want to say out loud, this is for you.
Feel free to tell me why I'm wrong.
alexanderkustov.substack.com/p/the-uncomf...
Post Daniel Laurison @daniellaurison.bsky.social This is a great piece! One of the recommendations is to focus on turnout over moderation, which I 100% agree with. There were steep declines in turnout among low-income voters in 2024; Grumbach & Bonica point to the increased racial gap in turnout to ~11%, income gaps were closer to 30 points. Chart with Turnout on the Y axis & election year (2016, 2020, and 2024) on the X axis. 6 lines, 3 for White, Black, and Hispanic in households making over $100k/year, 3 for the same groups in households making under $30k/year. Overall you can see turnout increasing among higher-income people in all three racial groups, and declining (White and Black) or staying flat (Hispanic) among low-income people; the turnout gap by income is much larger in 2024 than in 2020 or 2016. from 2016 -> 2024: - White $100k turnout goes from 65% to 78% while white under $30k turnout goes from 55% to 49% - Black over $100k turnout goes from 51% to 64% while Black under $30k turnout goes from 48% to 33% - Hispanic over $100k turnout goes from 52% to 67% while Hispanic under $30k turnout stays flat at about 36% (higher in 2020 at 42%). Caption: "Our analysis, Cooperative Election Survey Data, Validated Votes." ALT Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 1d We have a Boston Review Forum out today on the Democratic Party in a time of authoritarianism www.bostonreview.net/forum/how-no... Senator Chuck Schumer conducts a news conference in the U.S. Capitol in May 2025. Image: Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call via AP Images FORUM How Not to Defeat Authoritarianism Moderation used to help Democrats win, but its advantages now have been greatly exaggerated. Adam Bonica, Jake Grumbach With responses from → Cori Bush, Amanda Litman, Matthew Yglesias, G. Elliott Morris, Julia Serano, Eric Rauchway, Suzanne Mettler & Trevor E. Brown, Thomas Ferguson, Timothy Shenk, Jared Abbott & Milan Loewer, Jenifer Fernandez Ancona, Lily Geismer, Danielle Wiggi…
chart showing family income of voters & non-voters in 2024; people in families earning under $50k/year were over half of nonvoters; more than half of voters had incomes over $70k.
I keep posting these images because they get at a really deep problem - the class divide in political participation.
Those who want our democracy to truly represent all its citizens need to create and sustain real connections with people and communities who do not currently feel represented.
image of a report cover, with a US flag in the background, and the text "The Political Disconnect: Working-Class and Low-Income People on What Politics Means to Them and How They Might be Mobilized”
Today I'm releasing probably the most important scholarly thing I've ever worked on - a report based on talking with 144 people about why they don't vote or only vote regularly, and on what needs to be done to build a democracy that can include everyone.
www.swarthmore.edu/u...
please share!
For the FES, I wrote a short brief about how mainstream party strategies have fueled far-right success. They move toward more anti-immigration positions to win voters back. This does not work, but shifts public opinion to the right. Parties then react to shifts in public opinion. A vicious cycle.
93% of Swiss citizens believe direct democracy is key to social cohesion—much more than Switzerland’s multiparty government („Konkordanz“) and far more than the idea of no full-time politicians („Milizsystem“).
Yet also: One in three struggles to accept voting results sotomo.ch/site/wp-cont...
😨
Breaking news: The #NCCR #CLIM+ on "Climate Extremes & Society" will be funded by the @snf-fns.ch in the coming 4 years! With 47 PIs, 20 institutions & 22 stakeholders from #health to #finance & #agriculture, it will unite climate expertise from both natural & social science!
nccr-climplus.ch
💭 Based on @psrm.bsky.social research, @lutzphilipp.bsky.social & Marco Bitschnau reveal that many false beliefs about #Immigration are merely low-confidence guesses, rather than firmly held views. 🤔 This distinction has important implications for understanding public opinion.
➡️ bit.ly/3NvPq5i
Happy to share this new paper @jeppjournal.bsky.social with my great colleagues @dweisstanner.bsky.social & Carsten Jensen.
In "Winning with equality", we show "how left-wing parties attract votes but [in doing so] amplify electoral cleavages"
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Key points in 📈👇
2024: can Europe defend itself ALONGSIDE America?
2025: can Europe defend itself WITHOUT America?
2026: can Europe defend itself AGAINST America?
“You should not be afraid of someone who has a library and reads many books; you should fear someone who has only one book; and he considers it sacred, but he has never read it.”
— Anonymous
"Climate change is here. We are seeing event classes [today] that were forecast in #climate models for the 2050s, 2060s, and 2070s.” - @oceanterra.org
#FasterThanExpected
#ClimateEmergency
Portugal is having a presidential election tomorrow (Sunday).
It is a fairly unusual one, which is representative of how much the political landscape has changed in the country.
Here is some quick context about it, in case that is of interest:
1/9
The image pictures the abstract of the article with highlighted sentences
Really thrilled to announce the publication of what I consider to be the most important article of my academic career in the journal West European Politics: "The Ecologism/Productivism cleavage: reassessing the transformation of cleavage politics in Western Europe", co-authored with Florent Gougou.
My colleague Maurits Heumann (www.unilu.ch/fakultaeten/...) has recently published an excellent piece on the hitherto neglected epistemic dimension of rural-urban divides in Switzerland. More qual, quant, and mixed-methods work on this is in the pipeline!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Within the next decade the radical right is going to be the main force on the right in Europe (national and EU level). This includes far-right parties and formerly centre-right parties shifting their position. Moderate conservatism and Christian democracy will largely disappear on the right. 1/
Apologies for being self-referential but
I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts.
open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...