Richard Greenfield's Avatar

Richard Greenfield

@richlightshed

Partner & TMT Analyst LightShed Partners, GP LightShed Ventures, Media Futurist & Co-Host: The LightShed Podcast. Sites/Social: https://linktr.ee/richlightshed

235
Followers
106
Following
144
Posts
22.04.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Richard Greenfield @richlightshed

Preview
Roku to Break Out Platform Revenue for the… Roku to Break Out Platform Revenue for the First Time Ever Investors have been asking Roku to break out the components of platform revenue for as long as we can remember. Earlier today, at an inves…

⚡️ Roku to Breakout Platform Revenue for the 1st Time Ever ⚡️

Investors have been asking @Roku to breakout the components of platform revenue for as long as we can remember. Earlier today, at an investor conference, $ROKU CFO, Dan Jedda, stated they would begin

10.03.2026 19:15 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Why is the NFL, the Most Broadcast Friendly League, Under Attack by Broadcast TV Advocates? The NFL completed its last round of media rights deals in March 2021 with agreements that spanned 11 seasons from 2023-2033, with an option to exit each agreement after the 2029 season (2030 for ES…

Why is the @nfl, the Most Broadcast Friendly League, Under Attack by Broadcast TV Advocates?

"the overwhelming majority of NFL games ARE ON broadcast and, more importantly, EVERY single NFL game is available over-the-air in each team’s local market [for free]"

04.03.2026 20:37 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Can Paramount Grow $12 Billion of Combined EBITDA, Where Warner Bros. Discovery Failed? Listen (2:49 mins) Paramount management, led by CEO David Ellison, laid out their investor pitch for the acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery this morning (link). Key to making the transaction mat…

Can Paramount Grow $12 Billion of Combined EBITDA, Where Warner Bros. Discovery Failed?

Key to making the transaction math work is the expectation of at least $6 billion in synergies by the end of 2029, to reduce leverage from 6.5x at closing to 3x within three years of closing. $PSKY $WBD

02.03.2026 16:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
FCC Chair Unfiltered: Protecting Local News, Sports on Broadcast TV and May Sue a Network FCC Chairman Brendan Carr did not hold back in a wide-ranging, must-watch conversation with Semafor’s Ben Smith yesterday. The interview came shortly after Carr issued an FCC Public Notice (l…

FCC Chair Unfiltered: Protecting Local News, Sports on Broadcast TV and May Sue a Network

@BrendanCarrFCC did not hold back in a wide-ranging, must-watch conversation with @semaforben yesterday. The interview came shortly after Carr issued an FCC Public Notice seeking comments on how consumers...

26.02.2026 19:12 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Would Netflix Be Attacking Paramount’s Backers if They… Would Netflix Be Attacking Paramount’s Backers if They Were About to Walk Away? Everyone is asking us the same question: will Netflix match if the Warner Bros. Discovery Board determines Para…

⚡️ Would Netflix Be Attacking Paramount’s Backers if They Were About to Walk Away? ⚡️

Everyone is asking us: will @Netflix match if the @wbd Board determines @Paramount’s “revised proposal” from earlier today is a “Company Superior Proposal” compared to the current Netflix agreement?

24.02.2026 19:57 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Maverick, Don’t Do It: Ellison’s Warner Bros. Gamble Is a Mission He Should Abandon (For Now…) Paramount firmly believes its current $30 bid for all of Warner Bros. Discovery is superior to Netflix’s $27.75 bid combined with the spin-out of Discovery Global. However, even after Paramou…

Maverick, Don't Do It: Ellison's Warner Bros. Gamble Is a Mission He Should Abandon (For Now...)

18.02.2026 01:23 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Paramount Is Now on the Clock: One Week… Paramount Is Now on the Clock: One Week Warner Bros. Discovery (with Netflix’s consent) is giving Paramount one week to come up with their best and final offer, including accepting all of the…

⚡️ Paramount Is Now on the Clock: One Week ⚡️

Warner Bros. Discovery (with Netflix’s consent) is giving Paramount one week to come up with their best and final offer... $PSKY $WBD $NFLX

17.02.2026 14:17 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
$65 YouTube TV Sports Bundle Set to Accelerate… $65 YouTube TV Sports Bundle Set to Accelerate Cord-Shaving Over the last few months, investors have started to question whether multichannel video industry sub losses are starting to bottom out, p…

⚡️ $65 YouTube TV Sports Bundle Set to Accelerate Cord-Shaving ⚡️ $GOOGL

Over the last few months, investors have started to question whether multichannel video industry sub losses are starting to bottom out, particularly as...

09.02.2026 15:46 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Trump says he'll stay out of Netflix, Paramount Skydance fight to take over WBD Trump in December said he would be involved in the review of whether Netflix should be allowed to buy parts of Warner Bros. Discover, as WBD leadership wants.

🚨 The Battle for Warner Bros may have just ended $WBD $NFLX $PSKY

“I’ve been called by both sides,” Trump said. “It’s the two sides, but I’ve decided I shouldn’t be involved. The Justice Department will handle it.”

www.cnbc.com/2026/02/04/t...

05.02.2026 00:27 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Zuck’s Reckoning: Can Meta Beat Google in AI and Bankrupt OpenAI? Listen (5:23 mins) With Meta stock flat over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500, which rose 15%, we have eight key questions for Mark Zuckerberg and the Meta management team heading …

Zuck's Reckoning: Can Meta Beat Google in AI and Bankrupt OpenAI? $META

Eight Questions for tonight's Q4 2025 Earnings Call

28.01.2026 16:45 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Snap Finally Set to Breakout Major Investment in… Snap Finally Set to Breakout Major Investment in AR Hardware: Specs We have been begging Snap management to break out the financials of their Specs division for the past 18 months (link), so that i…

⚡️ SNAP: Finally Set to Breakout Major Investment in AR Hardware: Specs ⚡️ @snap @Snapchat

We have been begging Snap management to break out the financials of their Specs division for the past 18 months...

28.01.2026 14:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
The Battle for Warner Bros. Will Make a Great Succession Spinoff Series on Netflix Yesterday, we joined TBPN with hosts Jordi Hays and John Coogan (full 30 minute segment embedded below) to discuss the current state of the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), focusing on…

The real question for Paramount becomes is winning actually losing...Do they want to overpay and meaningfully over-lever Paramount to get there? We believe there are better ways for David Ellison and Paramount to win long-term

22.01.2026 16:59 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Reactions to December 2025 Nielsen Gauge Earlier today,… Reactions to December 2025 Nielsen Gauge Earlier today, Nielsen released its monthly share of TV viewing chart, The Gauge (embedded to the right). Linear TV, combining broadcast TV and cable TV, dr…

⚡️ Reactions to December 2025 Nielsen Gauge ⚡️

Linear TV, combining broadcast TV and cable TV, dropped to an all-time low of 41.6% in December 2025 vs. 46.2% last year with streaming TV hitting a new all-time high of 47.5%.

20.01.2026 20:38 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
13 Questions for Netflix’s Q4 2025 Earnings Tonight Listen (6:27) Here are our 13 key questions for Netflix management on tonight’s Q4 2025 earnings discussion (our Q3 2025 questions can be found here). 1) Why so confident in regulatory approva…

13 Questions for Netflix’s Q4 2025 Earnings Tonight

6 of questions relate to $NFLX's in-process $WBD acquisition

20.01.2026 16:34 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Peak Irony: The “Worthless” Asset Paramount’s Bid Cannot Live Without Listen (7:28 mins) Investors and industry execs continue to ask us why Paramount does not simply buy Warner Bros. and HBO, replicating Netflix’s accepted bid, rather than bidding for the enti…

Peak Irony: The "Worthless" Asset Paramount's Bid Cannot Live Without
$PSKY $WBD $NFLX

16.01.2026 16:51 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Lightning – LightShed Partners Lightning

⚡️ Surprised Neither Disney nor Paramount Bid Aggressively for Sony Pay-1 Deal ⚡️

While Hollywood and certain members of Congress have feared that Netflix’s in-process acquisition of Warner Bros. would dampen their desire to buy from third-parties, Netflix’s aggressive bid...

15.01.2026 20:38 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
LightShed’s Top 20 TMT Predictions and Events to Watch for in 2026 Listen (41:45 mins) Welcome everybody to the 2026 edition of LightShed’s annual TMT predictions.  Last year we culled the list to 17 predictions (click here), and our accuracy was a little bet…

LightShed’s Top 20 TMT Predictions and Events to Watch for in 2026

05.01.2026 15:42 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
The Reason Why Larry Ellison is Only Investing $12 Billion in Warner Bros. Discovery Listen (4:29) On yesterday’s episode of The Town podcast, Puck’s Matt Belloni asked Redbird Capital’s Gerry Cardinale: “If Larry is prepared to go all in on this, why is the…

The Reason Why Larry Ellison is Only Investing $12 Billion in Warner Bros. Discovery $PSKY $WBD $NFLX

@mattbelloni.bsky.social got the answers on The Town podcast

19.12.2025 16:12 👍 9 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
The 12 Juiciest Nuggets from Warner Bros. Discovery’s 14D-9 Filing Earlier today, Warner Bros. Discovery filed a 14D-9 explaining the entire chain of events that led the WBD Board of Directors to move forward with Netflix’s offer and reject Paramount’s offer. Whil…

The 12 Juiciest Nuggets from Warner Bros. Discovery's 14D-9 Filing
While the document addresses many issues we have written about, there were a significant number of new “nuggets” of information that illustrate just how hard it will be for Paramount to win, even with a higher bid.

17.12.2025 18:09 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
The Three Critical Questions Paramount’s David Ellison Needs to Answer Listen (7:13 mins) As the Warner Bros. Discovery saga drags on, there are several important Paramount questions investors need answered: 1) Why is Paramount Buying All of WBD vs. Just Warner Bros. …

The Three Critical Questions Paramount's David Ellison Needs to Answer

16.12.2025 19:00 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
Preview
The Cutting Room: Who Wins and Loses as YouTube TV Launches Genre Bundles? Listen (7:11 mins) Since YouTube TV launched in early 2017, it has offered a single bundle of channels, which has risen in cost from $35 at launch to $83 today. Programmers, desperate to sustain th…

The Cutting Room: Who Wins and Loses as YouTube TV Launches Genre Bundles?
$DIS $FOXA $PSKY $WBD $CMCSA

11.12.2025 14:41 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Is Trump’s Approval Just Act One of the Warner Bros. Regulatory Drama? The overwhelming investor and media presumption is that only one bidder, Paramount, has a regulatory fast track to an acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. That viewpoint is based on President Tru…

Is Trump's Approval Just Act One of the Warner Bros. Regulatory Drama? $PSKY $NFLX $CMCSA

The overwhelming investor and media presumption is that only one bidder, Paramount, has a regulatory fast track to an acquisition of $WBD ...

26.11.2025 19:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Wickedly Smart or Comcastically Insane? Listen (4:29 mins) On Friday evening, CNBC reporter Alex Sherman tweeted out (link): “Comcast’s bid for WBD’s streaming and studio assets did not include spinning off NBCU.” We have ass…

Wickedly Smart or Comcastically Insane?

While the knee jerk reaction is Comcast must be insane to bid this way, we wonder if there is a compelling strategic rationale to their strategy... $CMCSA $WBD

24.11.2025 16:35 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Look for Dynamic US Theme Park Pricing to… Look for Dynamic US Theme Park Pricing to Boost Disney Earnings Growth Next Year Given lackluster domestic attendance trends (down slightly last quarter, trending up slightly this quarter), Disney …

⚡️ Look for Dynamic US Theme Park Pricing to Boost Disney Earnings Growth Next Year ⚡️

Theme Park pricing for a given day could change hourly for any given day in the future as they already do for Disneyland Paris $DIS

19.11.2025 18:48 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Legacy Media Raises the White Flag, Are the Streaming Wars Over? Listen (8:42 mins) After we highlighted content ingestion as a critical battleground issue in future MVPD/vMVPD negotiations in September (link), former WarnerMedia CRO, Tony Goncalves, posted the …

The cord-cutting issue nobody is talking about

If @youtubetv launches a sports/news bundle at $70 or less, we expect major problems for a wide array of general entertainment cable networks

19.11.2025 17:09 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Legacy Media Raises the White Flag, Are the Streaming Wars Over? Listen (8:42 mins) After we highlighted content ingestion as a critical battleground issue in future MVPD/vMVPD negotiations in September (link), former WarnerMedia CRO, Tony Goncalves, posted the …

Legacy Media Raises the White Flag, Are the Streaming Wars Over?

"somewhere along the way, the revolution started to look a lot like the thing it was trying to disrupt...Sometimes the 'revolution' just puts new people in charge of the same game"

lightshedtmt.com/2025/11/17/l...

17.11.2025 21:46 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Shocking: California Congressman Comes Out Against Netflix/Warner Bros.… Shocking: California Congressman Comes Out Against Netflix/Warner Bros. Merger While Netflix has talked about the failure of most large scale media M&A, the press is having a feeding frenzy tal…

⚡️ Shockingj 🤣🤣: California Congressman Comes Out Against Netflix/Warner Bros. Merger ⚡️

Even before we find out if Netflix actually bids in the ongoing WBD auction, Congressman Darrell Issa from San Diego, CA has warned of the dangers
$NFLX $WBD $PSKY $CMCSA

14.11.2025 20:23 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Ten Paramount Questions for David Ellison’s 1st Earnings Call Listen (6:48 mins) Since Skydance’s acquisition of Paramount closed on August 7, 2025, the company has outlined its vision (link) and spoken to the press, but tonight marks the first time it has co…

Ten Paramount Questions for David Ellison's 1st Earnings Call
Since Skydance’s acquisition of Paramount closed on August 7, 2025, the company has outlined its vision and spoken to the press, but tonight marks the first time it has communicated directly with Wall Street.
$PSKY $WBD

10.11.2025 13:34 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Plot Twist: Why Are Consumers Blaming ESPN vs.… Plot Twist: Why Are Consumers Blaming ESPN vs. YouTube TV for the Blackout? Historically when broadcast or cable networks go dark due to a carriage dispute, subscribers focus their anger on the dis…

⚡️ Plot Twist: Why Are Consumers Blaming @espn vs. @YouTubeTV for the Blackout? ⚡️ $DIS $GOOGL

While there are plenty of comments blaming both companies and which YouTube TV competitor to switch to, we found a shocking number of comments attacking ESPN with the tone of the following...

06.11.2025 16:33 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
LightShed’s Rich Greenfield Interviewed on The Grill Room Podcast: The WBD Hunger Games Earlier this week, we joined The Grill Room podcast, hosted by Dylan Byers and Julia Alexander (full episode embedded below, followed by key highlights and timestamps). The one-hour discussion focu…

LightShed’s Rich Greenfield Interviewed on The Grill Room Podcast: The WBD Hunger Games

The one-hour discussion focused on the future of Warner Brothers Discovery. We discussed why Paramount is likely to win if the Ellisons are willing to overpay, why it feels like Comcast has to act...

05.11.2025 20:33 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0