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Micaela Wannefors

@mwannefors

PhD student at the Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University. Prevention, prediction, causal inference.

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13.12.2024
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Latest posts by Micaela Wannefors @mwannefors

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๐ŸŽ“ Today, our research community had the joy of hearing Maxine Leis impressive defence of her dissertation โ€˜Signals of Violence, Patterns of Flight: Predicting and Explaining Conflict-Related Mobilityโ€™. Please join us in congratulating Maxine!

Read 60-page summary (kappa): urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=...

09.01.2026 15:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Relational Dynamics of Violence Escalation and Inhibition During Far-Right Protest Waves - Joel Busher, Julia Ebner, Zsรณfia Hacsek, Gareth Harris, Graham Macklin, 2025 This article examines how interactions between far-right protestors, counter-protestors and other actors, including the police, lead towards and away from viole...

New article on โ€œThe Relational Dynamics of Violence Escalation and Inhibition During Far-Right Protest Wavesโ€ by Joel Busher, Julia Ebner, Zsรณfia Hacsek, Gareth Harris and myself in the latest issue of โ€œAmerican Behavioral Scientistโ€:

02.11.2025 07:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 20 ๐Ÿ” 14 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Sverige lever inte upp till internationella รฅtaganden att fรถrhindra folkmord | Dagens Arena Det รคr vรฅrt ansvar att yttra oss, skriver 122 experter.

DEBATT | Det รคr vรฅrt ansvar att yttra oss, skriver 122 experter inom fred, sรคkerhet, utveckling, folkrรคtt och mรคnskliga rรคttigheter. www.dagensarena.se/opinion/sver...

24.09.2025 07:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 19 ๐Ÿ” 18 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Associate Professor Johan Broschรฉ testified for a full day in a historic war crimes trial โ€“ the Lundin Oil trial. Johan discusses this experience in a new interview. ๐Ÿ‘‰ www.uu.se/en/news/2025...

๐Ÿ“ทby Mikael Wallerstedt

18.06.2025 13:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Sรฅ bygger vi en hรฅllbar fred - P1 Morgon Det har gรฅtt 80 รฅr sedan andra vรคrldskriget tog slut och det firades pรฅ gatorna i stora delar av Europa. Men trots paroller som Aldrig mera krig och FN:s ...

๐ŸŽ™๏ธIn an interview for Swedish radio P1, Professor Erik Melander discusses how we can build a durable #peace in Europe. What can we learn from the end of #WW2 in #Europe 80 years ago? ๐Ÿ‘‡

09.05.2025 07:09 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Unpacking Urban (Dis)Continuities of Postwar Violence Which cities become arenas for violent contestation after war? A growing literature has documented how conflict-related violence often continues after the formal end of armed conflict, and also tha...

Which cities become arenas for violent contestation after war? Me and @rokon-uddin.bsky.social study this question in a newly published article in @intlinteractions.bsky.social. A key takeaway: Postwar urban violence is not just a continuation of war. doi.org/10.1080/0305... (1/5)

24.04.2025 13:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 18 ๐Ÿ” 10 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Graph of CO2 concentrations for the past 800,000 years from the Antarctic ice cores, showing current CO2 levels of 430 ppm are far, far higher than any level over this period, which never exceeded 300 ppm. Also shown is the emergence of Homo sapiens around 200,000 years ago -- so CO2 levels are higher than we've ever experienced.

Graph of CO2 concentrations for the past 800,000 years from the Antarctic ice cores, showing current CO2 levels of 430 ppm are far, far higher than any level over this period, which never exceeded 300 ppm. Also shown is the emergence of Homo sapiens around 200,000 years ago -- so CO2 levels are higher than we've ever experienced.

You are here.
We've breached 430 ppm CO2.
#climatechange

22.04.2025 23:09 ๐Ÿ‘ 815 ๐Ÿ” 365 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 39 ๐Ÿ“Œ 31

One of Blueskyโ€™s great advantages are the many creative feeds that exist. This one is a new favorite: it shows you posts about new papers and articles from accounts you follow. An academicโ€™s dream! Thanks for creating this @paper-feed.bsky.social ๐ŸŒŸ

19.03.2025 07:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Two PhD positions ๐ŸŽ“๐ŸŽ“ at our department announced - best place to be! ๐ŸŽฏโœจ

12.03.2025 07:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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We are now receiving applications for one fully funded PhD position in peace and conflict research, with a focus on political violence in democratic countries. Read more ๐Ÿ‘‰ www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...

Applications are also open for our general PhD position๐Ÿ‘‰ www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...

#PhD #Democracy

07.03.2025 10:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 28 ๐Ÿ” 41 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Trumps sรคndebud trรคffar Zelenskyj - Studio Ett Idag ska Donald Trumps Ukraina-sรคndebud Keith Kellog trรคffa landets Volodymyr Zelenskyj. Detta sker ungefรคr ett dygn efter att Donald Trump kallade Zelenskyj ...

Our Professor @isaksvensson.bsky.social was interviewed on Swedish national radio P1 yesterday. Isak drew on his expertise in negotiations to discuss the pre-negotiations in Ukraine and Trump's previous negotiation attempts. ๐Ÿ‘‡

www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/trum...

21.02.2025 07:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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In the latest episode of Researching Peace, we look at current threats to democracy and ask if the internet and social media have turned against democracy. Joining us from Norway is Espen Geelmuyden Rรธd.

๐ŸŽง Listen ๐Ÿ‘‰ www.podbean.com/eas/pb-636j6...

18.02.2025 10:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
PhD Student Positions - Stockholm University PhD Student Positions

We are advertising a PhD student position in polisci for research on democracy, autocracy, and international cooperation. Come join a great team on a critical question of our times! Deadline: 6 February๐Ÿ‘‡

www.su.se/english/abou...

09.01.2025 21:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 23 ๐Ÿ” 19 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
8ย  Causal inference with G-computation โ€“ Model to Meaning

I just posted a new notebook:

Causal Inference with the ๐š–๐šŠ๐š›๐š๐š’๐š—๐šŠ๐š•๐šŽ๐š๐š๐šŽ๐šŒ๐š๐šœ ๐Ÿ“ฆ for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU.

This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback!

marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...

01.02.2025 17:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 256 ๐Ÿ” 45 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 17 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

One of the guiding starts at our department ๐ŸŒŸ @johanbrosche.bsky.social

27.01.2025 20:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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UCDP Candidate Events Data are now available for the full year 2024 at ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ This map shows lethal events of organized violence at the PRIO-GRID level (download pdf for better resolution) tinyurl.com/2yrz97va

27.01.2025 08:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
PhD Student Positions - Stockholm University PhD Student Positions

Stockholm University's Political Science department is hiring two PhD students: one open position and one project position with an orientation towards International Relations and Comparative Politics.

The deadline is February 6th! Join us!

Open position:

www.su.se/english/abou...

19.12.2024 12:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 31 ๐Ÿ” 35 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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Associate Senior Lecturer in Peace and Conflict Research - Uppsala University Associate Senior Lecturer in Peace and Conflict Research, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, Uppsala University

We are hiring a Senior Lecturer (tenured Associate Professor) and an Associate Senior Lecturer (tenure-track Assistant Professor). Our department is the oldest, largest, and the leading department of peace and conflict research in the world. www.uu.se/en/about-uu/... www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...

09.12.2024 10:39 ๐Ÿ‘ 28 ๐Ÿ” 26 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

So incredibly happy and grateful to the Wallenberg foundation for the opportunity to pursue this research agenda for the next five years! More news to come! ๐Ÿฅณ

12.12.2024 13:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 36 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Glad Lucia! ๐Ÿ•ฏ๏ธ Happy Saint Lucy's Day!
Yesterday, our first-year master's students received a mid-lecture Lucia procession. In accordance with department tradition, members of our staff surprised the students with song, goodies and cheer! ๐Ÿฌ

13.12.2024 10:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0