@chvanhoutven
Health economist, health services and health policy researcher, long-term care, family caregiving. Department of Population Health Sciences Duke University and Duke-Margolis Institute for Health Policy
The Criminal Justice team at Arnold Ventures is looking for a pending/recent PhD with strong causal inference skills, for a remote, part-time consulting position.
This is a great opportunity for someone considering a transition from academia to the policy space.
Deadline: March 15
Please share!
New — My case for why it’s not enough to call this “Trump’s war” when violence abroad implicates us all, and how we don’t need hindsight to know that unequivocally opposing this war will be the correct (and only morally defensible) choice:
Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success. Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302
The data is in: the NIH goalposts have shifted.
What were once almost certain fundable scores have become coin flips and what used to be likely grants have become aspirational, leading to fewer awards.
Another manifestation of how HHS policies have led to fewer awards and less science.
Are you a PhD student/postdoc/early-career scholar studying immigration?
Want to spend time this summer in Mexico City w other immigration scholars?
Apply to the UC Davis Global Migration Center summer school!
I'll be there w 3 other amazing economists!
globalmigration.ucdavis.edu/summer_school3
In their introduction to the OxREP’s issue on the economics of care, @profemilyjones.bsky.social , @isabel-ruiz.bsky.social, and Sarita Undurraga argue in favour of centring care in economic analysis. It is integral to the capabilities underpinning economic activity.
doi.org/10.1093/oxre...
The Trump administration is restructuring federal health agencies to implement a new policy agenda. Central to this agenda is the Make America Healthy Again movement, which prioritizes individual solutions to broader public health problems, disregards science and scientific institutions, and aligns closely with the “wellness” industry. While it is normal for each administration to establish its own public health priorities, previous administrations did not dismantle existing institutions to do so. In contrast, this administration is consolidating power and actively politicizing the federal health bureaucracy, undermining scientific expertise and agency independence in the process. These changes are likely to have lasting impacts on both federal health agencies and public health that will extend well beyond the current administration.
Open-access scholarly piece in @jhppl.bsky.social about RFK's assault on public health institutions by @pamherd.bsky.social
read.dukeupress.edu/jhppl/articl...
A new article from The Conversation explores the effects of Denmark's policies on mothers' wages: tinyurl.com/39s6ukkc
Two JMF articles are featured: one examining fathers' wages, one testing how paternity leave affects the gender wage gap:
tinyurl.com/mtnwhymt
tinyurl.com/ntrtxyh5
Can feed algorithms shape what people think about politics? Our paper "The Political Effects of X's Feed Algorithm" is out today in Nature and answers "Yes."
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
This thread shows a deliberate defunding of U.S. science, engineering, social science, innovation, and education excellence. It’s a U.S. national security, competitiveness, and economic disaster.
A new blog post co-written by our own @aaronsojourner.org, Colleen Manchester, and @gsgoda.bsky.social on saving, exponential growth, and financial education.
More Hours, More Work: Head Start Expansions Boost Maternal Employment by Chloe Gibbs, Esra Kose, and Maria Rosales-Rueda Abstract: Women’s employment remains highly sensitive to childcare constraints, making childcare availability a critical lever for supporting mothers’ labor force attachment. We study the effects of expanded full-day programming in Head Start, using the 2016 federal funding initiative that targeted grantees with low full-day enrollment. Linking administrative program data, geo-coded center locations, and household data on employment, we estimate a difference-in-differences design by comparing mothers of young children in treated and untreated areas. The policy increased full-day enrollment by 19 percent and raised single mothers’ employment (1.9%), hours (2.5%), and earnings (6.5%). Results show that extending program duration meaningfully improves maternal labor market outcomes.
🚨🚨 It's new research week for me on the socials! 🚨🚨
First up, just released today as an NBER working paper:
"More Hours, More Work: Head Start Expansions Boost Maternal Employment" with fantastic coauthors Esra Kose and Maria Rosales-Rueda
www.nber.org/papers/w34831
Long-term care is an expensive problem for older adults, their caregivers, and the broader health care system.
How did we reach this point—and what policy solutions could chart a better path forward? Explore our recent Policy Brief. https://bit.ly/3MriUka
Time to start looking at the odds for #SOTU. What are the chances that #caregiver or #caregiving get a mention?
Maybe tied to the new #AI challenge: acl.gov/caregiver-ai...
Major news outlets: Please consider prominently reporting what this all-star team of researchers has found.
www.nber.org/papers/w34791
Nice coverage of some of the caregiver research Megan Shepherd-Banigan and I are involved in. The Duke Daily. medschool.duke.edu/news/reimagi...
Yellen not at all pulling her punches in this op-ed for the FT www.ft.com/content/d2ea...
The initial estimate of job change for a month is based on the growth or loss of jobs at the businesses that have reported their data. Generally, BLS assumes that the employment situation at businesses that had reported is representative of the situation at those that had not yet reported. BLS continues to collect outstanding reports from the businesses in the sample as it prepares a second and then a third estimate for the month. With each subsequent estimate, more businesses have provided their information. In 2012, the average collection rate at the time of the third estimate for a month was 94.6 percent. (See chart 1.)
Why do the jobs numbers get revised?
our markets and policymakers want data NOW but employer data dribbles in over months
1st estimate is based on the 75% of employers who respond promptly
Updates occur as more data rolls in: 95% response rate by final revision 1/N
www.bls.gov/opub/btn/vol...
This is the Trump health care plan we waited an infinite "two weeks" for.
It'll increase the number of uninsured people in this country by about 50% over the next decade.
The parl struck ACA policies that would had funded CSRs and withdrawn subsidy eligibility from certain immigrant populations.
She did *not* appear to strike the pre-enrollment verification policy, which is maybe the most damaging ACA policy in the bill, from an enrollment standpoint.
Super interesting column @equitablegrowth.bsky.social by Alex Bell on how identification by anti-instruments reveals attribute tradeoffs, applied to job quality.
Got to see him present it @upjohninstitute.bsky.social recently. New & interesting.
#EconSky
equitablegrowth.org/the-hidden-t...
New research in Health Economics co-authored by DUPRI scholar @chvanhoutven.bsky.social looks at the effect of care providers for home-based care outcomes.
Great upcoming (and all too timely, given current events) panel on Medicaid with authors from @jhppl.bsky.social special issue
Join us virtually June 10th to discuss health priorities for adults with IDD! Panel speakers include Talley Wells, @chvanhoutven.bsky.social Kenton Johnston, Harold Pollack, Sarah Triano with remarks from the Honorable Zack Hawkins, NC General Assembly.
healthpolicy.duke.edu/events/advan...
New study with @jacob-bor.bsky.social @wrigleyfield.bsky.social & colleagues estimates that US saw 705,331 excess deaths in 2023—a number in line w/ rising pre-pandemic trend. Over 1.5 million deaths could’ve been averted in 2022–23 if US mortality matched peer nations. 🧵 (1/5)
tinyurl.com/569pr9ty
The editorial boards of seven leading health econ journals are taking a stand today against political influence and ideological attacks on peer review and academia. No matter what you study we want to see your scholarship and will NEVER collaborate with suppression. Please repost.
Have any researchers outside GAO studied the phase out of subminimum wages for Americans with disabilities?
#EconSky
www.gao.gov/products/gao...
A recent study found that, since 2010, Medicaid expansion has reduced the mortality of the low-income adult population by 2.5%. In other words, Medicaid expansion saved more than 27,000 lives.
www.nber.org/papers/w3371...
📣📣
We are looking for an Assistant Professor (tenure track) in the Department of Global and Public Health @mcgillspgh.bsky.social @healthsciences.mcgill.ca!
mcgill.wd3.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/mcgill...
