Tim Murray

Despite what polling and online "vibes" may suggest, a college education is still valuable.

Marginal Returns to Public Universities* Abstract. This article studies the returns to enrolling in U.S. public universities by comparing the long-term outcomes of barely admitted versus barely re

A nice paper that shows a positive causal impact of college. By comparing outcomes on barley accepted students to otherwise identical barley rejected students, those that went to college earn 8% more than their counterparts with internal rates of return of 26%.

academic.oup.com/qje/advance-...

Had a great time at #MHSRS with my colleagues at USARIEM presenting research on the impact of the Army's H2F program on metabolic health and interacting with so many researchers and practitioners.

Looking forward to building on this work evaluating H2F's impact on the Army

I'd love to connect with anyone else studying H2F or using big data, health economics, or epidemiology studying military health

I'll be at the Military Health System Research Symposium (#MHSRS) this week presenting on how the Army's Health and Holistic Fitness Program (H2F) has helped improve Soldiers' metabolic health and how health economics can be used to evaluate Solider health and performance.

Red Panda is one of the GOATs of basketball halftime shows for 20+ years. Hoping for a speedy recovery 🙏🏻

Very honored to have been selected as one of Old Dominion University's top 40 under 40.

I completed a BA in Economics with a minor in Applied Math in 2010, MBA in 2013 and a MA in Economics in 2013.

I can't be more grateful for my time at ODU and the preparation it gave me for a PhD and my career

Light work 🏀 #ballislife

Every game in these NBA playoffs has been fantastic. From top to bottom, this has been one of the most exciting playoffs I've ever seen #NBAPlayoffs

Trump’s Cuts to Science Funding Could Hurt U.S. Economy, Study Shows (Gift Article) Reducing federal support for research and development could cause long-run economic damage and reduce government revenue.

Cutting federal funding for scientific research could cause long-run economic damage equivalent to a major recession, according to a new study from researchers at American University. #EconSky
Story:
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/30/b...
Study: impa.american.edu/costs-of-cut...

Not the GOAT of movies, but Apocolypto is a damned good movie and is vastly underappreciated

Graph showing the number of unique names per year as shown by the SSA

What percentage of all names are represented in the top 1000 names? For U.S. births in 2023, the top 1000 names represent about 71 percent of all names. Percentage of all names represented in the top 1000 names

One of my favorite datasets: baby names. In 2007, the Social Security Administration reported 34,975. In 1881, there were only 1,934.

(Note: for privacy they omit any with <5 entries, though.)

Over time, particularly since the 70s, parents have opted for more unique names.

What do you need to know about tariffs? On April 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a sweeping set of tariffs on 185 countries that will make the effective tariff rate in the US higher than it has been in over 100 years.

💡What do you need to know about tariffs?

The conversations around tariffs can be confusing and often are clouded with political bias. Given the Trump administration's announcement of new tariffs this week, it's worth diving into this deeper in my new post👇🏻

open.substack.com/pub/timmurra...

What do you need to know about tariffs? On April 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a sweeping set of tariffs on 185 countries that will make the effective tariff rate in the US higher than it has been in over 100 years.

💡What do you need to know about tariffs?

The conversations around tariffs can be confusing and often are clouded with political bias. Given the Trump administration's announcement of new tariffs this week, it's worth diving into this deeper in my new post👇🏻

open.substack.com/pub/timmurra...

This really gets at so many problems right now

This is great news for hoops fans. Zach Lowe is back!

Holding strong after round 1

The Bracket 2025

RIP to Gene Hackman, one of the greats.

My favorite movies of his are Crimson Tide, Enemy of the State, Behind Enemy Lines, and Hoosiers

Loved watching Diana Taurasi play since her time at UConn. One of the basketball 🐐s

Measles requires 95% vaccination rates for herd immunity.

It has a 16.2% case fatality rate for unvaccinated children under 5 years and 24% for children under 9 months (who are unable to be vaccinated).

30% of the survivors experience severe complications like blindness, deafness, or encephalitis.

Topics - EPI Library The EPI Data Library offers comprehensive, up-to-date labor data from Economic Policy Institute analysis, covering wages, inequality, and economic trends across demographics.

This isn't hype: My colleagues have created an amazing @epi.org Data Library that's super easy to use but very flexible. It covers wages, inequality, and economic trends across demographic groups and states, including fairly detailed subgroups. Brand new--here it is!! data.epi.org

A very interesting article from @axios.com based on a working paper from Clara Chambers, Benjamin Goldman, and Joseph Winkelmann.

Axios Article: www.axios.com/2025/01/31/m...
WP: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Holy forking shirt balls

"Denial of a wanted abortion has both immediate and lasting effects. It increases a woman’s risk of death by 2.5 p.p within nine months, mainly due to unsafe abortion procedures, and raises the likelihood of carrying the pregnancy to term by 31 p.p. "

As a society, how do we deal with this type of information gap if the reality some people are living in isn't the truth?

The true information is easily available from a quick Google search, yet we continue to survey after survey where there are results like this. (1/2)

This also reminds me of this YouGov poll: (2/2)

As a society, how do we deal with this type of information gap if the reality some people are living in isn't the truth?

The true information is easily available from a quick Google search, yet we continue to survey after survey where there are results like this. (1/2)

Hello World! The Editorial Board of Health Economics is pleased to announce that we are now live on the happier, friendlier, and all-together Blue-er place. Please follow us (and repost) for updates on articles and journal issues as they come out.

2009 LeBron dropping an easy 44 on Kevin Durant and the Thunder.

LeBron being as good as he is at 40 makes you forget how fast and athletic he was in his prime.

There's a whole generation of hoop fans who never saw this version of him 👇🏼

2009 LeBron dropping an easy 44 on Kevin Durant and the Thunder.

LeBron being as good as he is at 40 makes you forget how fast and athletic he was in his prime.

There's a whole generation of hoop fans who never saw this version of him 👇🏼