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Christopher Peters

@statwonk

decernhq.com, statwonk.com, Dad, Partner. Statistician-Econometrician-Engineer. AI Developer. Decision theory. Game theory. #autisticpride #9 at Zapier, first DS

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Latest posts by Christopher Peters @statwonk

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Monkey Sounds, “White Power” and the N-Word: Racial Harassment Against Black Students Ignored Under Trump Since Trump returned to office, the Education Department’s civil rights office has not resolved a single racial harassment investigation. It sends a message that “people impacted by racial discriminat...

Attorneys at the Education Department’s civil rights office describe working in a “dismissal factory.”

Most discrimination complaints filed by students’ families have been dismissed without ever being investigated, records show.

(Published Dec. 2025)

10.03.2026 22:00 👍 393 🔁 201 💬 11 📌 7

the drone program under Obama only hit their intended targets 10% of the time. it never mattered. it’s always bomb anything that moves based on the flimsiest information. now AI can be a sin eater for the inevitable atrocities

07.03.2026 20:31 👍 10 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

This is legitimately incredibly helpful

09.03.2026 18:46 👍 23 🔁 7 💬 2 📌 1

It is astonishing how pervasive this sentiment has been over the last 10 years. I heard a college professor say during Trump 1 that for as evil/racist/misogynistic as Trump was (none of which the professor disputed, he ostensibly hated the man), he was also "one of the least pro war presidents ever"

10.03.2026 21:54 👍 108 🔁 28 💬 12 📌 3

lol, lmao even

10.03.2026 22:09 👍 10 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0
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They must know some people. 🤡

@wsj.com
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...

09.03.2026 10:10 👍 2260 🔁 811 💬 135 📌 68
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> How long do major Strait of Hormuz disruptions last?

I fit an exponential duration model to 5 episodes going back to 1981, then extended it with a mixture model calibrated from 11 tariff escalation / de-escalation decisions (to incorporate the chance of reversal).

statwonk.com/hormuz-durat...

08.03.2026 22:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Challenge for those who are very confident that Claude isn't conscious: Explain how human consciousness works.

06.03.2026 22:25 👍 172 🔁 20 💬 913 📌 919
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The asymmetry of the value placed on human life is so striking. Israel has a goal to recover 40-year-old remains; to do so, it invades a sovereign country, and the lives of 26 Lebanese are an afterthought. Their names not even worth printing in the New York Times.

07.03.2026 14:15 👍 5726 🔁 1949 💬 80 📌 70
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Had to doublecheck the date on this

07.03.2026 16:00 👍 11686 🔁 3312 💬 363 📌 230
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Simple, clear, devastating.

Month-to-date Strait of Hormuz journeys down 92% from February

46 transits over the first five days of March vs 561 transits by this point last month.

07.03.2026 15:58 👍 251 🔁 72 💬 5 📌 11
MSN

> Intel report warns large-scale war 'unlikely' to oust Iran’s regime

www.msn.com/en-us/news/w...

07.03.2026 15:58 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
a graph of year-on-year change in US tech employment

a graph of year-on-year change in US tech employment

Brutal numbers for US tech sector jobs released today—overall, employment decreased by 12k last month and is down 57k over the last year

That's now nearly as bad as the worst of the 2024 tech-cession, and significantly worse than either the 2008 or 2020 recessions

06.03.2026 13:46 👍 280 🔁 86 💬 8 📌 15
a graph of year-on-year change in US Blue Collar Employment

a graph of year-on-year change in US Blue Collar Employment

The US continues losing blue-collar jobs—year-on-year job losses have hit 238k as manufacturing, transportation, & mining industries lose jobs at a rapid pace, while growth in construction remains low

06.03.2026 13:52 👍 218 🔁 80 💬 5 📌 12
a graph of year-on-year change in US manufacturing employment

a graph of year-on-year change in US manufacturing employment

The US continues to lose manufacturing jobs—payrolls are down 100k over the last year, & another 12k jobs were lost in February

Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), chemicals, & wood are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well

06.03.2026 13:56 👍 152 🔁 46 💬 3 📌 7

Job losses are consistent with AI labor substitution.

06.03.2026 13:33 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Knuth is a real one in many ways (these are screenshots from his homepage)

03.03.2026 23:34 👍 40 🔁 8 💬 2 📌 0
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03.03.2026 23:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Pete Hegseth: "We're not following stupid Rules of Engagement."

03.03.2026 19:05 👍 142 🔁 17 💬 7 📌 4
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Today in Iran…

03.03.2026 19:01 👍 6057 🔁 2610 💬 502 📌 243

"Holy shit, did WE ever make the right decision" - The US Women's Hockey Team

25.02.2026 04:01 👍 27306 🔁 3685 💬 205 📌 116
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Hines: I handled human trafficking cases all over Southeast Michigan. I believe survivors deserve justice, no matter who the accused is. Accountability cannot depend on whether someone is powerful, wealthy, or politically connected.

24.02.2026 18:34 👍 6079 🔁 1495 💬 82 📌 45

I do the janky thing and resize my window lol. 😂 I might do glimpse, or skimr::skim

22.02.2026 18:02 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The _real_ cool kids aren’t -maxxing everything, they’re -uncertaintyquantifyying.

19.02.2026 01:42 👍 24 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 1

Using Stan’s Pathfinder to init MCMC (and speed up warm up) 🤘😎

21.02.2026 00:55 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Oh cool! That’s awesome. These days MCMC is my bottleneck.

21.02.2026 00:52 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

True. I think data.table is marvelous. I prefer tibble, bc I find dplyr syntax easier to work with than dt's terse style. It won't surprise me if AI agents adopt data.table and start preferring it for dt's famed speed performance, bc I'm sure they can handle the syntax (better than I).

20.02.2026 18:09 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

> Supreme Court strikes down most of Trump's tariffs in a major blow to the president

Predictable.

www.nbcnews.com/politics/sup...

20.02.2026 16:04 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Agree, I love tibbles bc of how they pretty print. The default way data.frames will fully print is ... annoying to say the least (and can totally spoil a sesh).

20.02.2026 16:02 👍 16 🔁 1 💬 4 📌 0
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AI-enabled robotics could shift the balance of power in global manufacturing, says CEO of Alphabet company When low labor costs aren’t the primary driver of manufacturing advantage, the world might experience a dramatic economic shift – and AI could be the key.

AI-enabled robotics could shift the balance of power in global manufacturing, says CEO of Alphabet company

18.02.2026 12:22 👍 6 🔁 5 💬 3 📌 0