The 2026 Trade Deadline is over, and we're here wondering whether it happened at all. We spent the entire episode evaluating all the drama, picking winners and losers, talking Sabres, recommitting to the Wild, and contemplating cassette tape collecting.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
Screenshot of the big board presented in the linked article. Cap hit range is league minimum to $8M (John Carlson), all metrics are positive except the last three players in points. Top 20 players shown: Charlie Coyle Dylan Holloway John Carlson Michael Bunting Nick Blankenburg Jason Dickinson Ilya Mikheyev Trevor Zegras Bobby McMann Matias Maccelli Nicholas Robertson Cole Perfetti Nick Foligno Bobby Brink Philipp Kurashev Mackie Samoskevich Mathieu Joseph Pavol Regenda Shakir Mukhamadullin Justin Barron
TRADE DEADLINE 2026!
Our annual preview and objective-data-analysis-exercise for the NHL trade deadline is live. Check it out!
evolving-hockey.com/blog/evolvin...
Unfortunately, the Olympics are over. The Twins spent the last week binge-watching Olympic sports while Shawn just watched the hockey. We spent the majority of the episode discussing the hockey medal rounds, USA vs. CAN, curling, jingles, and all-nighters.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
We're a big Olympics podcast now. We know all the sports and have great opinions. We spent the first half discussing everything that's happened, but really we just talked about curling. Later, we chatted about (disappointing USA men's) hockey. The Olympics rock.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
Alright - the title might be a bit misleading. After (another) week break we're back to discuss bad arenas, Olympic problems, classic "bad" hockey players, and brain health. There's definitely some NHL discussion in here - I promise.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
We're back after a break due to [things]. We spent the first half discussing recent trades, bad teams in the West, and a surprise Goalie Fight. Later we chatted about favorite colors, The Twins being right about the Peterka trade, and shows we haven't watched yet.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
Various countries announced their Olympic Rosters this past week before we could get to talking about our predictions, however, we still have a lot of thoughts. Before we dug into them, we first chatted extensively about Expected Goals and modeling problems.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
We're back after a quick break, and we all really felt like talking. We spent the first half discussing The Holidays, geography, and the Red Wings. Later we chatted about Columbus and Zach Werenski, ancient YouTube videos, and standardized tests for some reason.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
One of the biggest in-season trades in recent memory just occurred, and it happened to involve our favorite team The Minnesota Wild. We spent the first half discussing all things Hughes. Later we analyzed the Sabres' recent GM change and the Skinner/Jarry Equation.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
We aim to please
It's December, and the Avalanche are still destroying everyone. We spent the first half discussing the Avs in relation to the modern "greats" and moved on to hypothetical Russian basement dwellers. Later we chatted about hockey rink dimensions and "circle math".
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
Just like everyone else, we're trying to figure out what the hell is going on with the NHL this season. We spent the first half doing that (it's figured out now). Later we discussed incredible pump-up songs, Scott Stapp, a more optimal league environment, and TRL.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
S.J @ COL, 2025-11-16 - S.J 18.5% - 81.5% COL. Almost mirror reverse images of underlying shot metrics
Oh boy, here we go!
Due to some data issues with yesterday's games we were not able to update the site with Nov 17th's data (other than game projections for Nov 18th). This will hopefully be fixed for tonight's daily update. We apologize for any inconvenience.
The Atlantic has been all over the place, so we took the opportunity to investigate each division relative to our preseason expectations. Later we hinted at some early Awards picks and tried to get Shawn to watch a movie.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
We're well into the NHL season, which means it's time for us to meander. We spent the entire episode discussing surprising teams AND unfortunate teams, young people and old players, our updated fantasy tools, and McDavid's astrology info. This was a blast.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
Screenshot of the Under/Over performing fantasy projections page on Evolving Hockey. Top 5 skaters shown: Leo Carlsson Cutter Gauthier Macklin Celebrini Connor Bedard Marcus Johansson
Our in-season Fantasy Projection tools have been updated for the '25-26 season! These include under/over performing estimates as well as rest-of & end-of season projections.
Glossary: evolving-hockey.com/glossary/fan...
Link: evolving-hockey.com/stats/fantas...
It's Halloween, and Shawn wants nothing to do with it. We spent the first half discussing spooky teams, standout goalies, and teammate combos. Later we chatted about scary movies, superstitions, injuries, and early awards picks.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
GAR, xGAR, and RAPM data is now up on the site for the '25-26 season! We spent the first half talking about statistical models and jerseys that are actually awesome. In the second half we discussed surprising teams, road maps, and feeling very old.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
RAPM chart from Evolving Hockey for Connor McDavid, '25-26. EV xGA/60 and CA/60 are both over 2 standard deviations above the positional mean. All powerplay components are well-above average.
## Announcement ##
All GAR, xGAR & RAPM data (along with QoT/QoC data) is now updated on the site for the '25-26 season!
We're a little early this year, so please have fun but also be safe. That said: McDavid for Selke?
EH Win Probability Chart: MTL at EDM - Oilers gave up 4 unanswered goals before eventually coming back to win 6-5
EH Win Probability Chart: CAR at COL - CAR led most of the game before giving up 2 goals and going to the shootout... where they won 5-4
EH Win Probability Chart: S.J at NYR - multiple lead changes before S.J won in OT 6-5
The teams went a little crazy yesterday
Week 2 of the '25-26 NHL season is on record and it's too early to do anything with 5 games - we're doing it anyway. We spent the first half discussing the Ducks and relative-to-teammate stars and later talked about traded players on new teams (and Point Break).
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
Okay awesome! Don’t know what happened there, but please let us know if it happens again.
Sorry we missed this - are you still having issues with this?
EH Standard Team Tables Page - team stats at 5v5 (score & venue adjusted) Ducks leading in CF% (2 games played, 61.31%)
It's pretty clear who the best team in the NHL is... it's the Ducks, obviously.
The Sabres are 0-3, Josh is 0-1 in fantasy, and Shawn is in Florida; we embraced all of these issues and powered through it. We did have numerous technical issues, and rolled with the punches. Week 1 is in the books, and we spent the whole episode talking about it.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...
There's been some problems with our team point projection processes for the start of the season. Hopefully I'll have this fixed in a day or two. I know people desperately want to know how much the Sabres have dropped, but we'll all have to wait.
That's a super cool idea, but it would require quite a lot of backend work for us to make it feasible... Thinking about it more, I think it might not exactly be possible for us to implement with our current framework. But I'll add it to the list of things for us to possibly do!
EH Win Probability Chart: CGY at EDM EDM went up 3-0 at the middle of the 2nd period, CGY scores 3 unanswered goals to tie and then wins in the shootout
EH Win Probability Chart: L.A at VGK L.A goes up 3-1 by the end of the 2nd, but VGK score 2 goals to tie. 4 total more goals are scored and L.A wins in the shootout
There were a couple wild games out west
EH Standard Team Tables Page after 2025-10-07 games
We're so back
