Will Wilkinson's Avatar

Will Wilkinson

@wlknsn.xyz

Tech policy and government affairs guy. Ex-Block, Niskanen, NYT, Economist, Cato. Los Angeles / Iowa City

13,813
Followers
4,128
Following
1,731
Posts
26.04.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Will Wilkinson @wlknsn.xyz

My simple heuristic for "is it conscious?" questions is: 1) Take the set of beings that you're confident are conscious. 2) Identify what all those beings have in common. 3) Ask whether the thing you're asking about share those commonalities. 4) If not, then answer "not conscious."

08.03.2026 23:31 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Demystifying Anthropic and ClaudeAI with Gideon Lewis-Kraus Podcast Episode Β· Why Is This Happening? The Chris Hayes Podcast Β· March 3 Β· 1h 1m

Highly recommend this pod on AI where @chrislhayes.bsky.social interviews Gideon Lewis-Kraus, author of a big recent New Yorker piece on the subject. Tons of interestng discussion, especially for us ex-philosophy geeks.

Forthwith, a short 🧡

08.03.2026 19:33 πŸ‘ 434 πŸ” 76 πŸ’¬ 19 πŸ“Œ 9

Ok, since I’ve gotten a few β€œyou don’t know for sure it’s not true!” let’s briefly say why. In a hyper-strict Cartesian sense of β€œknow,” you can’t really β€œknow” whether anything or anyone is conscious except yourself. But in the everyday sense, outside the dorm room…

06.03.2026 20:22 πŸ‘ 110 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 7

I think he's moved on to enthusiasm for Bitchat.

06.03.2026 20:15 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

All his crypto pals were on Nostr. That felt better to him.

06.03.2026 19:22 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

We’re dying because of overpriced dinosaur juice while China wins the future.

06.03.2026 19:05 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Debt-Inequality Cycle Extreme inequality is fueling a global debt crisis

1/5
Atif Mian's article in F&D Magazine summarizes his related academic pieces in which he refutes the claim that because the rich save a higher share of their income than the non-rich, rising income inequality leads to rising saving.
www.imf.org/en/publicati...

06.03.2026 07:29 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Russians.

06.03.2026 04:22 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

it’s not his fault
he is under the control of a small rat that hates poor people

06.03.2026 00:52 πŸ‘ 67 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

For years on my old blog I published the names of servicemembers who died in Iraq & Afghanistan. No other outlets were.

These are the first 4 Americans to die in the Iran War.
Capt. Cody A. Khork, 35
Sgt. 1st Class Noah L. Tietjens, 42
Sgt. 1st Class Nicole M. Amor, 39
Sgt. Declan J. Coady, 20

03.03.2026 23:07 πŸ‘ 9142 πŸ” 3039 πŸ’¬ 430 πŸ“Œ 163

Larry Bartels made this point awhile back, about the Great Depression

www.washingtonpost.com/business/eco...

03.03.2026 17:16 πŸ‘ 39 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Another big reason obsessive poll-sniffing is silly: β€œPublic opinion” on most issues quite literally does not exist. It is an ephemeral artifact of the process of polling itself. Ask again a day later with slightly different wording & the numbers change radically.

03.03.2026 16:20 πŸ‘ 552 πŸ” 123 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 7

I guess what I’m saying that the space show is somewhat lacking in verisimilitude.

03.03.2026 06:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe there’s some bigoted subtext in the fact that the floating psychic space squids or whatever aren’t ever in starfleet. Humanoids only!

03.03.2026 06:01 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Let me flip the quarks in the subspace mitochondria and get back to you.

03.03.2026 05:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I’m also vexed by lack of the lack of interplanetary cultural synthesis. It’s like everyone is intensely chauvinistic about their own culture yet tolerant and curious about others. Doesn’t compute, unless it’s like how polite resistance to cultural appropriation functions as a mask for xenophobia.

03.03.2026 05:54 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I mean, I try not to think about it and just take the ride but sometimes I trip and forget to be a brain dead receptacle of incoherent rubbish

03.03.2026 05:41 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Been watching recent Star Trek shows and it’s neat how every other episode they come up with some astonishing technological innovation in the heat of the moment to save the universe or whatnot and then, instead of it becoming ubiquitous and transformative, you sorta never hear about it again. Cool.

03.03.2026 05:32 πŸ‘ 35 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 1

My opinion: Jamelle Bouie is the best national political columnist in America. This doesn’t mean he is always right or you always need to agree with him. But he consistently elevates the form. Conservatives and liberals who make deranged personal attacks on him just make themselves look bad.

03.03.2026 00:19 πŸ‘ 1143 πŸ” 116 πŸ’¬ 24 πŸ“Œ 17

if she wins, its total victory for left yimbys happy to say

03.03.2026 00:54 πŸ‘ 244 πŸ” 26 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 3

Honestly, a relief

03.03.2026 04:25 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Lol

03.03.2026 04:24 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Its true. I would like to transition peaceably to oblivion in, say, three decades.

03.03.2026 04:05 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Personally, I don’t think we should bring about Armageddon.

03.03.2026 03:49 πŸ‘ 236 πŸ” 42 πŸ’¬ 27 πŸ“Œ 0

This is a good piece not only on Block but on AI, including the term AI washing. If you read anything on the topic read this

28.02.2026 19:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I dunno, might have been fun.

28.02.2026 01:45 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I guess I’m relieved that my application a year ago for a government affairs job at Anthropic went nowhere.

28.02.2026 01:44 πŸ‘ 49 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Sending in the TANKs Against Citrini's AI Doomerism In which we use an internet sensation over AI displacement to learn some New Keynesian modeling and the economic possibilities for our grandchildren.

New, in which I go hard tankie on the viral Citrinis essay. (That is I approach it with a Two-Agent New Keynesian model.)

There were two predictions from it that sounded true. But only one survived putting it under a model during this learning exercise. /1
newsletter.mikekonczal.com/p/sending-in...

25.02.2026 18:31 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

This is the correct answer.

25.02.2026 01:07 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Michael, That’s amazing! Huge congrats! Well deserved.

23.02.2026 16:30 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0