Slide with title "Is The President Dead?" Text: August 2025, rumors circulated that Trump had died Cancelled public appearances, no social media posts, previous signs of poor health We can study this inference problem with a Hidden Markov Model Similar structure to capture-recapture modeling in ecology!
It may be the cold medication talking, but I think I've found my hidden Markov model example for my new lecture.
NEW JOB in #ornithology chasing #nutcrackers in Switzerland to understand seed dispersal patterns: buff.ly/Cx0OOQy
Since 2021, HPAI outbreaks have affected unprecedented amounts of bird and mammal species throughout the world.
In a new study @jappliedecology.bsky.social we show how to quantify these demographic impacts—and reveal severe effects on an atypical host: the peregrine falcon.
doi.org/10.1111/1365...
The Peregrine Falcon is already challenged by persistent and emerging threats. And yet, this week, it could be downlisted to CITES Appendix II, reducing safeguards against commercial trade. We show why this is a bad idea in our new letter @animalconserv.bsky.social
👇
doi.org/10.1111/acv....
If you are an ecologist working with Generalized Distance Sampling models, give this a check. We assess the sample size needed for reliable performance, and give advice to optimize monitoring designs. @oikosjournal.bsky.social
A fantastic work led by Julia, 1st author: doi.org/10.1002/oik....
POSTDOC JOB AD: I'm hiring a Bayesian ecologist to build a (IMO, extremely fun) model of humpback whale spatiotemporal dynamics in California
2-year position starting fall 2026. in-person in Santa Cruz; collab w with Mevin Hooten's lab at UT Austin.
ask me Qs or apply: recruit.ucsc.edu/JPF02003
New paper out! We assessed the dynamics of three neighboring Griffon Vulture populations in a unified framework, highlighting conservation implications for highly mobile, cross-border species. #conservation #vultures
@jaumebadiaboher.bsky.social
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
To estimate survival, a key parameter in population dynamics, ecologists use different statistical models to account for imperfect detection of living and dead individuals. M. Schaub and @jaumebadiaboher.bsky.social studied the performance of these models. Read more here: doi.org/10.1002/ece3...
UK maps showing changes in temperatures for typical summer days and hot summer days.
1°C of global warming does NOT mean that heatwaves 'just' get hotter by 1°C.
Over large parts of the UK, global warming means that heatwaves are 3-4°C warmer, with worse consequences for people and ecosystems.
Territorial behaviour in ecology and conservation damages careers and impedes progress in the field. 🌏🧪🌐
NEW JOB in #ornithology and #conservation managing two major restoration projects for #islands important for #seabirds: buff.ly/yfl1Vo2
Out now at @ecol-evol.bsky.social, we review different approaches to model mark-recapture data in #Jags and #Nimble, discuss their pros and cons, and compare their speed. We hope it will be useful to researchers willing to learn about CMR and/or speed up their models!
doi.org/10.1002/ece3...
nice paper by Michael #Schaub & @jaumebadiaboher.bsky.social @vogelwarte.bsky.social in @ecol-evol.bsky.social on #CMR models in #bayesian framework to estimate #survival #rstat #ecology 🧪🌍
#openaccess !
doi.org/10.1002/ece3...
Paper alert! 🚨
We just published a letter in @science.org warning about the return of metallic mining in El Salvador — 7 years after becoming the only country in the world to ban it.
New socio-environmental threats are rising.
#ElSalvador #NoALaMinería
👉 www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
NEW PAPER in #ornithology provides a tool to inspect connectivity of #seabirds and other marine megafauna in the #oceans: buff.ly/C2ZBHwD Tool is here: buff.ly/Mh64gTo
Graphical summary of 10 quick tips to get started with Bayesian statistics and how they fit into a larger view of an analytical workflow with Bayesian models.
🚨🎉 New paper "Ten quick tips to get you started with Bayesian statistics", hope you'll like it 😇🤗
✍🏽 w/ Andy Royle, Marc Kéry and Chloé Nater
🔗 dx.plos.org/10.1371/jour...
@plos.org @cnrsecologie.bsky.social @cnrsoccitanieest.bsky.social @umontpellier.bsky.social
NEW JOB in #ornithology to study the diet of #seabirds in Norway: buff.ly/vOjoAfc . Application deadline 7 April 2025.
Bonelli's Eagle. Getty Images
Jaume Badia-Boher et al. used a spatially explicit IPM to assess the long term dynamics of the Bonelli's eagle population. Results showed that the magnitude of birth and death processes was substantially larger than that of emigration and immigration processes. More on doi.org/10.1002/eap.....
Thanks for the work, Arjun! Could you add me please?
1. For the past thirty years I've had the best job in the world.
I've had the opportunity to follow my curiosity; explore the workings of nature and society; mentor students and junior colleagues in the same process; and teach generations of students about it all.
Looking for your first quantitative ecology post-doc? Then get in touch.
I will be co-supervising a post-doc with Lourens Swanepoel (based in SA: @Univenofficial). You will have access to many awesome data sets and the focus will be on applying hierarchical models.
‼️Now published in @esajournals.bsky.social
A 40-year demographic assessment of the decline and recovery of the flagship Catalan Bonelli's eagle population. Also, exciting insights about its interaction with nearby populations! #ornithology #ecology #raptors
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onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/author...
Between 2019 and 2023, researchers paid $8.968 billion to make papers open access. Imagine what else could be done with this money if it wasnt paid to for profit publishing companies...
👉 arxiv.org/abs/2407.16551
Statistical Rethinking was this book that made a difference in my career. I started my PhD knowing little about stats (as almost every ecologist). The book and the lectures are made in a way one can understand stats from its base and deepen into the world of Bayes. I couldn't recommend them more.
A green lawn stretches towards an old castl, three wings of the castle can be seen with multiple arched entries and at leasted 4 levels of whindows. Two large sections of the castle walls are covered with green vine with leaves or red vine with red or orange leaves.
This is the opposite side of the castle in the previous picture. Here three distinct 'towers' cant be see with two sections of building between them. This side of the case appears to only have one entrance and the sections between the towers are covered in thick green foilage with the exception of the 12 windows in each section spread over three floors.
Really nice looking postion open here at SLU Sweden: Professor (fully tenured) in conservation ecology with focus on biodiversity linked to forest management & green infrastructure.
It is also at our Alnarp campus which is...well...rather nice & even has a castle! 🧪🌎
www.slu.se/en/about-slu...
