Jean-Marc Liotier

I feel like people were making the "Macrohard" joke in the 1980s.

The drum that really need to get beaten is that the single biggest blocking point for Iran breaking out was that the supreme leader was sincerely religiously opposed to nuclear weapons, which is why we, very smartly (/s) blew him up

Crazy video of 20 Tomahawks flying through the Iraqi Kurdish mountains near Sulaymaniyah (filmed by someone standing *above* them), seemingly fired from Navy vessels in the Mediterranean

I have a beginner's French class on the same day I teach my own class on nuclear technology and it is very humbling to go from talking authoritatively about gas centrifuges and high altitude EMP and etc. to being called out for not being able to pronounce the number 37 (trente-sept) correctly.

❗️If I understand everything correctly, Operation "Epic Fury" is gradually transitioning into "Epic Denial".

Next on the script is bargaining, depression, and acceptance.

it kind of seems like the way AI is gonna help (at least from my perspective at work) is by making a bunch of work that I was never gonna get to bc it was too expensive for me to focus on them feasible bc the cost of doing them goes down

Going live to Lloyd's of London's ship insurance team

Israel's saying ~100 rockets, and there were definitely more than a dozen Iranian missiles. Much, much larger than any strike on Israel since this latest conflict started

Relatively coordinated Hezbollah rocket/Iraninan missile attacks a few mins ago

Is there *anything* more fragile, more delicate than a white male conservative?

i complain about how the mainstream media often chooses photos dishonestly to paint dems in a negative light so let me be fair by saying they are doing that to trump (the same way they did to Biden) by running photos of That One Gas Station In LA That is $2/gal More Expensive Than Everywhere Else

*guy who never heard of Gorillaz before* oh so they’re kind of like the california raisins?

The idea that America isn’t for everyone who wants to be an American is something that makes my blood boil. Posting a photo of yourself as a Congressman smiling next to these words is wicked. It’s antithetical to the concept of America.

News Headline: "Team USA's manager mistakenly boasted it had already advanced in World Baseball Classic before shocking loss to Italy"

In fairness, loudly declaring "Mission Accomplished" when the exact opposite is true is becoming a venerable American tradition at this point

Jim Cramer suggests on CNBC that Trump could “bomb Tehran into the Stone Age” until Iran reopens the strait, citing U.S. bombings of North Vietnam in the 1970s. Carl Quintanilla points out to him that Hanoi won that war.

Apart from the moral repugnance, this is so revealing of how ignorant conservatives are about poverty. Poor people have to think about money ALL THE TIME. They worry constantly about what everything costs, how to substitute one purchase for another, what bill can be put off until payday, etc.

Over time, crude barrels will flow where the buyers are and equilibriate across geos and grades. But we're not in that equilibrium yet, so crude prices can underperform product prices because curtailed runs for non-Gulf refineries hurt crude price and help product price.

One thing I'd encourage is to think less about crude and more about products. The loss of product supply is greater than the loss of crude supply (because crude makes products and the Gulf also exports products). And demand *for crude* can drop as availability does.

This is hilarious.

Also, completely enraging.

these graphs should scare the shit out of you

Imo Graham and friends knew this wasn’t going to be speedy and lied about this being the Venezuela model to get Trump on board. Now they’re making the surprised pikachu face now that exactly what they wanted is happening.

The volume of crude production that Iraq has *already* shut-in is larger than the peak of *feared* [but never realized] Russian supply loss in early 2022 that spiked crude prices above $120 per barrel.

A Declaration of the Independence of Cyberspace by John Perry Barlow Governments of the Industrial World, you weary giants of flesh and steel, I come from Cyberspace, the new home of Mind. On behalf of the future, I ask you of the past to leave us ...

I'm slightly embarrassed to admit that 1996 20 years old me was taken with Barlow's romantic vision. Oh well, at least I was not a member of the youth wing of some violent extremist organization - like too many contemporary politicians.

Funnily, it is Stallman's prophecies that held up best !

The U.S. and Europe have to someday realize that what the Israeli government envisions for Iran is the largest humanitarian catastrophe of the century so far

Fundamentally this is the Israeli goal in Iran as well. Imagine southern Lebanon but with a hundred million people

“Every farm that is subsidized, every Romantic idyll that is coddled, every aesthetic sustained by the state signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed.”

Trump: we're gonna kill you all. we're gonna regime change you. we want nothing less than unconditional surrender

Mojtaba: guess we're going down together then

trump: [surprised pikachu.jpg]

One thing I've been stressing is that, if Hormuz traffic remained stopped, the monumental oil supply shock will manifest as sharp price spikes in wealthy nations that sap disposable incomes

In poorer countries, the shock will manifest as outright physical shortages.

US watching a movie where a vigilante’s entire family is wiped out: “Oh yeah, time for fucking vengeance, this dude will never stop. Get them!”

US watching Iran pick a Supreme Leader who just had his entire family wiped out: “This guy is plainly going to be reasonable and fold.”