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Michael Derby

@michaelsderby

Fed and economy reporter with @reuters.com, ex-Wall Street Journal. Failed musician, guitar holdout, I really like pedals.

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Latest posts by Michael Derby @michaelsderby

Crazy video of 20 Tomahawks flying through the Iraqi Kurdish mountains near Sulaymaniyah (filmed by someone standing *above* them), seemingly fired from Navy vessels in the Mediterranean

11.03.2026 18:00 πŸ‘ 649 πŸ” 212 πŸ’¬ 29 πŸ“Œ 50

I don’t think this will work.

11.03.2026 18:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Billionaires sought to help fund Trump bond in civil fraud case, sources say Some major Republican donors were working together to help U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump fund the original bond amount needed to cover his $454 million civil fraud judgment ahead of Monday'...

Citation for the defamation bond: www.reuters.com/world/us/bil...

11.03.2026 17:35 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Chubb set as main U.S. insurer for Persian Gulf shipping amid Iran war The insurance giant will work with the U.S. Development Finance Corporation to help backstop shipping.

The same company that bonded Trump out in his defamation trial has been tapped to help the government provide shipping insurance in the Straight of Hormuz war zone.

11.03.2026 17:35 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1

It's wild how you have to push an AI repeately to add numbers correctly and if you keep making it recalculate, it finally gets in the ballpark.

11.03.2026 17:24 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‘

*TRUMP ON REOPENING STRAIT OF HORMUZ: IT'S WORKING OUT VERY WELL

11.03.2026 17:02 πŸ‘ 303 πŸ” 45 πŸ’¬ 13 πŸ“Œ 8
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11.03.2026 16:42 πŸ‘ 991 πŸ” 419 πŸ’¬ 38 πŸ“Œ 43
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Undoing Accountability: An Update on Trump's Attacks on Inspectors General - Public Citizen

New: "Trump Eradicates Critical Oversight as he Fires More Inspectors General than All Other U.S. Presidents Combined"

Douglas S. Pasternak for @publiccitizen.bsky.social

11.03.2026 14:05 πŸ‘ 109 πŸ” 65 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 5

Joe Brusuelas, RSM LP on strategic oil release: "When the total is considered in the context of global supply and demand, it still is a modest amount. Such a move will slow rather than stop rising oil prices and offer a temporary salve to the searing burn of rising gasoline prices."

11.03.2026 16:01 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Pentagon bars press photographers over β€˜unflattering’ Hegseth photos Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s staff took issue with photos taken in a rare briefing last week and decided to shut out press photographers from two subsequent news conferences.

Scoop: The Pentagon barred press photographers from briefings on the ongoing U.S.-Israeli military conflict with Iran after they published photos of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth that his staff deemed "unflattering."

11.03.2026 15:28 πŸ‘ 1567 πŸ” 564 πŸ’¬ 341 πŸ“Œ 404

Plutocracy watch

11.03.2026 15:12 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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NEW: Confidence in the Supreme Court has dropped to a new low, according to the latest NBC News polling.

Details:
www.nbcnews.com/politics/sup...

11.03.2026 11:19 πŸ‘ 491 πŸ” 159 πŸ’¬ 43 πŸ“Œ 54

Morgan Stanley: "The distribution of monetary policy outcomes is asymmetric. The Fed is more likely to cut later, or to cut later and by more, rather than abandon its easing altogether...Our base case for two Fed rate cuts in 2026 (June and September) rests on" Fed looking thru oil shock.

11.03.2026 14:32 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Evercore ISI: "We continue to think in the base case in which the Iran conflict comes to a close within the next couple of weeks and oil gradually decays towards $70 at year end, the Fed will cut once tariff inflation starts to roll off and core inflation has decisively turned lower."

11.03.2026 14:29 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Oil chart

Oil chart

Trump’s Iran war sends oil on a wild ride. Via Reuters

11.03.2026 14:16 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran war live: Three ships hit in Gulf as Strait of Hormuz remains blockaded The IEA will announce its oil stock release recommendation shortly.

Reuters: β€œThe International Energy Agency said it had proposed releasing 400 million barrels per day from strategic oil reserves. It said 32 member countries had unanimously agreed to make emergency reserves available to the market.”

11.03.2026 14:15 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Echoes of how Iran played the hostage crisis.

11.03.2026 13:58 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

A baffling interview. She directly misstates the Constitution more than once - suggesting a pre-high school civics grasp on the matters at hand - then shifts after being pressed into a more sophisticated defense of the president bypassing Congress.

11.03.2026 13:30 πŸ‘ 80 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 1

Capital Economics: "If the current WTI price of about $85 is sustained for the rest of the month, then it’s likely that the all-items CPI inflation rate will jump by 0.5%-points this month to 2.9%."

11.03.2026 13:18 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Imagine your boss gives you shoes that don't fit and you choose to suck it up and wear them.

11.03.2026 13:13 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Pretty crazy how important the blockade of a trade route is right now

10.03.2026 21:30 πŸ‘ 21550 πŸ” 5808 πŸ’¬ 194 πŸ“Œ 364
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US consumer prices increase as expected in February U.S. consumer prices picked up in February as the cost of gasoline increased in anticipation of an escalating war in the Middle East, and with the conflict driving up oil ​prices, a further rise in in...

β€œIn the 12 months through February, the so-called core CPI inflation increased ​2.5% after ⁠rising by the same margin in January, also reflecting favorable base effects.” Via Reuters

11.03.2026 12:44 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Letter: 200+ Thomson Reuters staff ask the company not to renew its ICE contract when it expires in May; Thomson Reuters' Westlaw service is Minneapolis-based (Kashmir Hill/New York Times)

Main Link | Mediagazer Permalink

11.03.2026 10:55 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Martin Wolf tells central banks NOT to look thru oil/gas price spike "to ensure that inflation expectations do not get unanchored. Unfortunately, the price spike after Covid makes this more likely. Central banks must be prepared to act against second-round effects of big price rises."

11.03.2026 10:55 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 3

A foreign hacker compromised files relating to the FBI’s investigation of the late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein during a break-in at the bureau’s New York office three years ago, according to ​a source familiar with the matter and recently published Justice Department documents reviewed by Reuters.

11.03.2026 10:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Not great!

11.03.2026 01:27 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public.

I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are.

1/ Here's what I can share:

11.03.2026 01:03 πŸ‘ 16144 πŸ” 6543 πŸ’¬ 460 πŸ“Œ 882

Tried to write in cursive tonight and that skill is gone.

11.03.2026 01:11 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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US lawmakers worry Trump may put 'boots on the ground' in Iran Democratic U.S. senators expressed alarm on Tuesday about the Iran war, saying they were worried that President Donald Trump could deploy U.S. ground forces and noting the high risks ​given Russian support for Tehran's military.

US lawmakers worry Trump may put 'boots on the ground' in Iran reut.rs/3P1ACw2

11.03.2026 01:10 πŸ‘ 46 πŸ” 20 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 6
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The White House’s Financial Disclosures for Top Officials Are Incomplete Border Czar Tom Homan’s financial disclosure has not been finalized by the federal ethics office.

The White House’s Financial Disclosures for Top Officials Are Incomplete www.notus.org/trump-white-...

11.03.2026 01:07 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0