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Eric Bolton

@ericbolton

AI x News | Creator of aiportrait.wsj.com | Author of alignedforesight.substack.com

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Latest posts by Eric Bolton @ericbolton

Passage of Trump's executive order "RESTORING NAMES THAT HONOR AMERICAN GREATNESS," rated as 99.9% by the Chrome extension Hive

Passage of Trump's executive order "RESTORING NAMES THAT HONOR AMERICAN GREATNESS," rated as 99.9% by the Chrome extension Hive

busted.

09.02.2025 16:14 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Is Trump Normal? A point of view from the cutting edge of A.I.

We used AI to analyze Trump's second inaugural speech against his past rhetoric. The results revealed surprising shifts in tone and messaging - and show promise for a new, less partisan way to study political rhetoric.

08.02.2025 22:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So apparently respecting aspects of others' points of view counts as being their fan. Perhaps it might be worth posting the full tweet next time.

(And since this comment could apparently make it unclear, I am not a fan, neither of Luigi Mangione, nor Tucker Carlson)

09.12.2024 19:39 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

$200/month. Soon it will be $2000/mo. In a complex, hyper-specialized, and inscrutable society, the means of cognition are being reserved for the few

08.12.2024 22:43 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It couldn't help spinning it positively in the end. The last impression is what always gets the pat on the back on the back from RLHFers.

07.12.2024 04:24 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Alternative perspective: if he hadn’t bought pizza with bitcoin for the memes, bitcoin would never have gotten the level of attention it eventually did

06.12.2024 21:14 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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What’s a Democratic Billionaire to Do Now? The party’s donor class is still wrestling with Donald Trump’s victory, worried about retribution and sluggish liberal energy. Some rich Democrats are even pondering leaving the country.

idk, revive local news?

28.11.2024 05:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I recommend Rhinoceros by Eugene Ionesco in that case

14.11.2024 15:47 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Show me the Ballot!

πŸ—³οΈ Excited to launch Show Me The Ballot – a tool for voters to access their sample ballot in seconds and see how complex it is. Ready for Election Day? Try it out here: show-me-the-ballot.glitch.me

02.11.2024 14:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Were the Debates Scripted? Using language models to assess the predictability of Harris, Trump, Vance, and Walz.

Hey all! My latest post in Aligned Foresight analyzes recent political debates using fine-tuned language models to find those revealing moments when candidates break character. Take a look if you're interested in how AI can be used in new ways to understand political discourse:

26.10.2024 15:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Working to get my mile under 5/millionths of a second

22.10.2024 17:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Forecasting Democracy Measuring today's politics, and predicting tomorrow's.

Hey y’all! Excited to launch Aligned Foresightβ€”my newsletter on forecasting, machine learning, and politics. If you're interested in exploring ways we can predict and improve the future of democracy, check out my first post!

18.10.2024 21:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

They’re great at containing threats

23.09.2024 15:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The way powers of two dance with prime factors is a beauty to watch

16.09.2024 13:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The esophagus got caught in the throat

14.09.2024 10:45 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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"She put out," Trump said.

"I read that she was not Black, that she put out...and I'll say that."

It took me three times watching The Guardian's debate highlights to catch that Trump did say that.

12.09.2024 23:34 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I don’t think many people picked this up. Here’s someone else who did:

bsky.app/profile/zeve...

12.09.2024 23:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Had anyone caught this?

12.09.2024 23:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, it really ought to be a popular vote system, then we could forget about non-entities like RFK. Unfortunately, it's still the Electoral College that decides.

04.09.2024 10:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

40,000 votes is less than a fart in the wind, yet that's how many Biden won the 2020 election by.

Arizona: +10,457
Georgia: +11,779
Wisconsin: +20,682

03.09.2024 21:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

19 percent is huge at the fine margins we're talking about. Every single vote will count

03.09.2024 15:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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01.09.2024 19:56 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Disaster for Trump as less than half of RFK Jr voters switch to former president The national poll by The Democracy Institute and Daily Express US surveyed 250 likely voters.

49% Trump vs 25% for Kamala, enough to make the difference in PA. I don’t think that many people will be sitting an election like this one out.

01.09.2024 19:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

An endorsement might motivate them. We’ll have to see how emphatic it turns out

22.08.2024 17:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s less about getting more of a boost, I agree that probably wouldn’t have happened. It’s more about protecting Kamala’s lead from a potential Trump endorsement by RFK

22.08.2024 10:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

My point is that polling lead could evaporate if RFK urges his supporters to vote for Trump rather than letting them decide on their own

22.08.2024 10:26 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I agree in spirit and I’m sure your view is more nuanced outside a character limit. But that phrasing is a little black and white.

Take PA, won in β€˜20 by 80K votes. Since RFK has ~250K voters there, that’s the difference between them voting 70-30 and 55-45 for Trump. Small changes mean everything.

22.08.2024 10:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Not seeing RFK’s potential endorsement for what it could have been will go down as a big blunder in the part of the Harris-Walz campaign. What’s one cabinet seat?

They shrank their big tent to spite the Kennedy reject, but it’s hubris to think they won’t need all the help they can get to beat Trump

22.08.2024 09:37 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Humans want one thing and one thing only and it’s to transcend their mortal coil

10.08.2024 15:47 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Harris meeting with VP vetting team for presentations on finalists | CNN Politics Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to meet with her vetting team today for a series of in-depth presentations on each of the finalists to be her running mate, according to a source familiar with...

The dust is settling for battleground polling averages. PA has an early lead as most decisive state in most models.

However that could still change. Harris ought to wait until the turning point state ranking stabilizes if she wishes to make the most strategic VP choice.
www.cnn.com/2024/08/03/p...

04.08.2024 19:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0