Now published in Collabra!
online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art...
Using test data from TwinLife (N=9,980, Culture Fair Test CFT 20-R), we show that Regularised Prediction and Poststratification yields IQ scores that differ by up to 19 IQ points (mean 4.19 pts) from those reported in the CFT 20-R manual
10.03.2026 11:26
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Keep calm and be transparent: advice from scientists who retracted their papers
Retractions correct the scientific record, but they have stigma attached to them. Some in the research community want that to change.
We're thrilled to announce the Ctrl-Z Award, a US$2,500 prize for researchers βwho discover substantial errors in their published work and take meaningful steps to correct the scientific record."
Covered by @nature.com today; read more here: centerforscientificintegrity.org/2026/03/10/a...
10.03.2026 15:37
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oof I have some examples. do methodologists as second authors count tho?
10.03.2026 13:10
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I think this notion better maps onto some other methods used in psych, which I plan to blog about and which you also won't like.
People have tried both the budget idea (but what sets your budget) and ranking preferences/traits in various ways (pattern metrics). Usually ignoring measurement models.
10.03.2026 12:14
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IIRC Brendan (?) had something along the lines that the h2 of partner traits was zero-ish?
10.03.2026 07:56
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Not unique, no, but this makes it very obvious (and still people ignore the resulting confounding)
10.03.2026 05:52
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Yes, so this is a mistake people sometimes make but I focused on the bounded scale issue because a) that is less arguable b) it recurs in part 2 c) whether excess is good or bad is not so consequential because most ideals are so close to the bounds that you canβt exceed them by much.
10.03.2026 05:49
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I'm not sure. Your jargon is foreign to me and vice versa I guess? I wouldn't say I stressed calculating edges as the problem but lack of adjustment.
09.03.2026 20:58
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Some psychologists. Others do other things with different problems.
09.03.2026 20:26
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me being mildly cross at best about a low ceiling
This is me living up to my new year's resolution that I'll keep getting mad about low ceilings in measurement and elsewhere.
09.03.2026 13:03
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Clinical trial reforms that once seemed radical
How randomized controlled trials, preregistration, and results reporting became standard practice.
New post!
It may seem ambitious to ask for individual patient data from clinical trials to be shared, anonymized, for use by other researchers.
But the history of medicine shows us that clinical trials have already undergone a series of transformations that once seemed equally bold:
04.03.2026 16:57
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Screenshot of the "Does that use a lot of energy?" online app
Hannah Ritchie has built a fun little tool where you can compare energy usage of various products and activities.
This is super helpful imho, because it's so hard to develop intuitions even just about the scales involved here.
hannahritchie.substack.com/p/does-that-...
03.03.2026 09:27
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Sounds promising! Will you redirect the broken links or will they stay broken unless updated?
03.03.2026 08:20
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eg my R package was kicked off CRAN because it downloaded data from a link that broke. This required manual action to fix
28.02.2026 10:08
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As I understand it, but maybe I donβt, OSF never fixed the old links. They all broke. Over time Google reindexes, so you were able to click a freshly reindexed PDF, not the originally indexed one. But Google penalizes sites that break links and links in other places wonβt sort themselves out.
28.02.2026 10:07
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New newspaper headline for your Intro to Causal Inference lecture just dropped
27.02.2026 12:57
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Please don't send me voice messages though.
27.02.2026 12:59
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Even before chatbots, I was absolutely the kind of person who'd rather program for hours to avoid a few minutes of rote manual (aural?) labour.
Except now it didn't take hours to program, maybe one or two. Just two hours of voice messages and I'll actually come out ahead.
27.02.2026 12:59
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the example I shared in this convo from anne's google scholar is still broken. by now, google has removed the OSF PDF link because the original link was never restored.
that you can find OSF PDFs on Google Scholar might be a) newly indexed ones b) manuscript where authors manually added PDFs
27.02.2026 11:46
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@briannosek.bsky.social this is still broken and google scholar does not show PDFs for OSF anymore. Doesn't this seem quite important to OSF's core function?
27.02.2026 08:02
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π§΅on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about...
π¨ Do synthetic samples look like human samples?
We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics...
25.02.2026 19:46
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Per protocol analysis strikes again!
Folks, if you randomize but then donβt analyze some of the people who got randomized (maybe because they didnβt adhere to instructions, maybe because they dropped out), randomization will no longer do all the heavy causal inference lifting.
25.02.2026 17:28
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to punish editors for sending poorly fitting requests? I mean I know it's mainly disorganisation, but IDK as the bright line between spam and special issues has eroded, I don't feel the same professional responsibility toward all
25.02.2026 10:18
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We regret to inform you that your paper cannot be considered for publication, but we encourage you to submit it to our GOLD Open Access sister journal
23.02.2026 10:41
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2/ We use Claude Code Skills to build a three-layer agentic system for large-scale reanalysis. What once took years of manual harmonization across 92 papers now runs in days.
18.02.2026 19:21
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