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@matthollanders
Quantitative ecology, statistics, wildlife, field herping. Post-doctoral Research Fellow @ U of Canberra Consultant @ Quantecol, https://quantecol.com.au Wildlife tour guide @ Australian Wildlife Encounters, https://www.australianwildlifeencounters.com
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they look so bad, but I feel compelled to use base pipe
are the bangers in the room with us now?
Lmao
How much carbon did this thread use?
Does anyone here listen to Professor Jiang? @predictivehistory.bsky.social
Unironically no. Reflect the heat back in.
Shiny side in is for cooking to reflect the heat back to the food. For storage itβs irrelevant.
Same
what's the model? why not just random school effects with pooled scales?
Congrats!! Can't wait to read it.
it feels natural, but log(gamma(1, 1)) puts more prior mass on negative values. which seems countintuitive, but perhaps it isn't as we're dealing with rates.
Yeah sorry I should've clarified, the idea would be to put a log Gamma prior on the coefficients, i.e.:
intercept ~ gamma(1, 1)
beta ~ gamma(1, 1)
lambda = exp(log(intercept) + log(beta) * x)
y ~ poisson(lambda)
O
Ecologists will literally use normal(0, 1000) priors for intercepts in slopes in logistic and Poisson models.
Haven't been here in ages so just gonna take the liberty of tagging @rmcelreath.bsky.social because I think he'd have some good thoughts on this.
In (Gaussian) linear models, we usually put normal priors for regression coefficients. How do we feel about putting gamma(a, a) priors in something like Poisson regression? Using rates for rates seems nice; the geometric means are still 1, meaning the priors are centered on no multiplicative effects
logistic(0, 1) is literally uniform on [0, 1].
Just a curious thing to do a week before FOMC especially when cuts were predicted.
What was your reasoning?
IG
Make everything the same shade of black and thatβs my theme.
I canβt stand that online journals canβt format equations properly.
Have you read ai-2027.com?
How about the rise of Stan tho
McElreath uses Mac!
Is it at least the least of two evils?
Non collapsibility? Time invariance? I know for a fact the latter isnβt a problem with hazard ratios.
@jordannafa.bsky.social