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Ross O'Connor

@oconnor

Foreign and national security Advisor to 22nd Prime Minister of Canada. Director of Policy for two Foreign Ministers. NatSecurity, nuclear, energy, and climate.

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Latest posts by Ross O'Connor @oconnor

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And his cult will say this is a master class of being a leader.

11.03.2026 15:21 πŸ‘ 134 πŸ” 43 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 6

The planet uses over 100+ million barrels a day so a 400-million-barrel release would only cover a few days of demand which is why such releases mainly stabilize prices rather than fully offset supply disruptions.

11.03.2026 16:31 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Quenching the Nuclear Stockpile’s Thirst for Tritium Most accounts of the Manhattan Project tell a familiar story: American scientists relentlessly racing to design and build the fission bombs that would

"Quenching the Nuclear Stockpile’s Thirst for Tritium"

11.03.2026 02:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Operation Epic Fury will be remembered as the Mother of All Lawnmowers, solving nothing fundamental but destroying missile facilities and loads of naval assets.

11.03.2026 02:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

For you young'uns out there looking for info regarding past times this happened, google "Operation Earnest Will."

10.03.2026 19:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

5 Iranian women's soccer team players will not be returning to a country where the government is trying to kill them. They will instead be staying in a country where everything is trying to kill them

10.03.2026 16:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Canada police investigate reports of shots fired at US consulate in Toronto It comes as Norwegian police investigate an explosion that occurred outside the US embassy in Oslo on Sunday.

No one was injured but "shots fired at the US consulate in Toronto" is a worrying trend for the safety of US civil servants posted abroad.

www.bbc.com/news/article...

10.03.2026 13:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
USFK shifts assets to Middle East amid tensions As tensions between the United States and Iran escalate toward open conflict, the redeployment of U…

"According to a government source on Saturday, a large number of U.S. military heavy transport aircraft, including C-17s that had been stationed at Osan Air Base in Pyeongtaek, Gyeonggi Province, on March 5 and 6, have already departed the base" www.donga.com/en/article/a...

10.03.2026 03:22 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Ceterum censeo Persiam esse delendam.

10.03.2026 02:46 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Why The Navy Should Retire TLAM-N The Tomahawk Land Attack Missile, or TLAM, is named after the Tomahawk β€” a Native American axe. If you have ever seen a Western movie, the tomahawk [...]

I wrote this up in 2009 when there was a debate about whether to retire the nuclear-armed Tomahawk. One reason the Navy supported retirement was the concern of crashing nuclear-armed cruise missiles into countries like Japan and Korea.
www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/2025...

08.03.2026 22:08 πŸ‘ 68 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ontario Power Generation (OPG) operates the world's largest tritium removal facility at the Darlington Nuclear Generating Station.

08.03.2026 17:57 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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There is basically zero chance the @iaeaorg goes commando, as it were. (10x the IAEA-UNCSOM tension in post-1991 Iraq. Disaster.) More likely is an Iraq Survey Group-like arrangement, which maybe includes some friendly former IAEA inspectors and consultants. @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social

08.03.2026 16:26 πŸ‘ 74 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2

Attacks will inevitably hit civilian targets and infrastructure, potentially strengthening domestic support for the government. Supporting minority rebellions could backfire with those who don’t want to see their country break into a collection of warring ministates.

08.03.2026 05:33 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran Could Retrieve Uranium at Site U.S. Bombed Last Year, Officials Say

NYT reports US intelligence says Irans HEU is at Isfahan deep tunnels and potentially accessibleβ€”and confirms Trump as yet has no plan for dealing with it.

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/u...

08.03.2026 04:06 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 3

When I teach the session on the laws of armed conflict I begin by telling my students that LOAC does not forbid killing in wartime. It is a surprisingly overlooked and widely misunderstood point.

07.03.2026 02:03 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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One could usually count on Trump for his populist electoral instincts. Not caring about the price of gas might indicate he's finally starting to lose it.

06.03.2026 20:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Iraq even sought a ceasefire every year from 1981 on but Iran kept saying no.

Conclusion? Don't expect a surrender anytime soon.

06.03.2026 14:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Iran was not intimidated after the US Navy sank the entire Iranian Navy in 1987-88. Iran continued to fight back even after the Iraqis used vast quantities of chemical weapons on the battlefield and purged all Iraqi territory of Iranian forces.

06.03.2026 14:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

War did not intimidate Iran in 1980 when their entire military collapsed in the wake of the Revolution and the much larger Iraqi armed forces Advanced quickly into Iran with overwhelming air superiority, aided by the support of the entire Arab world.

06.03.2026 14:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump fails to recognize that the Islamic Republic and Iran are basically impossible to intimidate and that their surrender is far from guaranteed even in the face of overwhelming odds.

06.03.2026 14:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump sometimes chickens out.

06.03.2026 04:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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I can think of no worse idea. That will last until tomorrow when Trump speaks again.

06.03.2026 03:19 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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This is exactly the policy Canada should adopt.

06.03.2026 03:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, yes, and yes.

05.03.2026 19:11 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Iran was not intimidated after the US Navy sank the entire Iranian Navy in 1987-88. Iran continued to fight back even after the Iraqis used vast quantities of chemical weapons in battle and purged all Iraqi territory of Iranian forces. Iraq sought a ceasefire from 1981 on but Iran kept saying no.

05.03.2026 16:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump has failed to recognize that Iran is impossible to intimidate. War did not intimidate them in 1980 when the Iranian military collapsed in the wake of the Revolution and the Iraqis Advanced quickly into Iran with overwhelming superiority in the air with the support of the entire Arab world.

05.03.2026 16:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Iran was not intimidated after the US Navy sank the entire Iranian Navy in 1987-88. Iran continued to fight back even after the Iraqis used vast quantities of chemical weapons in battle and purged all Iraqi territory of Iranian forces. Iraq sought a ceasefire from 1981 on but Iran kept saying no.

05.03.2026 05:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump has failed to recognize that Iran is impossible to intimidate. War did not intimidate them in 1980 when the Iranian military collapsed in the wake of the Revolution and the Iraqis Advanced quickly into Iran with overwhelming superiority in the air with the support of the entire Arab world.

05.03.2026 05:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Mark Carney would prefer not doing this but the rigours of alliances and realpolitik compel him to say this. I support this statement.

05.03.2026 03:23 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Oh, this is not good.

We have betrayed the Kurds before. Trump is determined to do it again.

05.03.2026 00:07 πŸ‘ 58 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 1