I agree with Nick
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Not at all convinced by this morning's Bluesky collective wisdom that Burnham would have walked it. Rather ignores the fact that Labour's problems are structural as much as they are about personalities. Seems to me that Starmer missed the chance to puncture Burnham's balloon by letting him lose...
Tough morning for Goodwin, but doubt it hurts as much as when I beat him in the 2014 Political Studies Association Executive Committee elections.
A grid of horizontal stacked bar charts titled βHow Former Conservative Voters Have Voted Over Time.β Each panel represents a group of voters defined by the election year in which they voted Conservative (e.g. 2005 Tory Voters through 2025 Tory Voters). Within each panel, bars show the proportional distribution (0β100%) of how those voters reported voting in other general elections (2005 to 2025). Bars are colour-coded by party: Conservative (blue), UKIP/BXP/Reform (teal), Liberal Democrat (yellow), Labour (red), Green (green), Other (light grey), and Donβt Know/Would Not Vote (dark grey). Across all panels, Conservative remains the largest share in most years, with noticeable variation over time in support for UKIP/BXP/Reform, Labour, and other parties. The x-axis shows proportion, the y-axis lists election years, and the legend appears at the bottom. Source: British Election Study Waves 1β30.
Listening to the ghosts of Tories past - and moving to the 'centre' - is not a great idea for Kemi.
If you track how Tory voters in each GE have voted in other elections, it's not clear that the Cameronite coalition has fled the Tories for centrist parties.
At least we already have the analysis of Goodwin-ism: politicalquarterly.org.uk/blog/the-vic...
In an era of populism, universities make an easy political target. Public opinion reflects a growing suspicion, with research-intensive universities distant from βleft behind placesβ .
A solid base of citizen support is urgently needed to survive.
Might you be able to email me a copy of this? (Paywalled). Thanks so much.
Mark Carney's speech really is terrific: full text is here and very much worth your time.
Cartoon showing Robert Jenrick stuck with a Union Flag at the top of a lamppost as Kemi Badenoch walks away with the ladder that got him up there.
Brilliant by @bjennings90.bsky.social (www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...)
π£ New #openaccess #BJPIR article out now!
'No more Mr nice guy? A leadership trait analysis of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer' by @consuelothiers.bsky.social, Benjamin Martill & Alan Convery
π buff.ly/zW78fKh
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A new year, another Tory defection to Reform, another opportunity to repost my paper from this time last year on the ideological and electoral interrelationship between the Conservatives and Farage's party. Free to access.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
π£ @polstudies.bsky.social now publishes research notes that make big points, weigh in on critical debates, and provide novel empirical contributions in under 5k words. This week, read the latest cutting-edge research contributions in this new format that we've published in 2025
More β¬οΈ β¬οΈ β¬οΈ
π New publication π Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! π€© www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
damn. rip, mani
Clear out toys now!
Love being reminded to do this every year. It's a win/win all round
Labour poster from April 2024: 'Tory Tax double whammy'
Guess that Labour won't be reviving this 2024 poster for a little while then. #budget
The second Global Tipping Points Report has been launched today. Please see our press release here: www.leeds.ac.uk/news/article...
Find the full report here: global-tipping-points.org @gsiexeter.bsky.social #TippingPoints #COP30
Abstract
New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: βFar-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstreamβ doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.socialπ§΅
And here: www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli.... Donβt think he promised to eat any books if proved wrong though.
Itβs being reported as a direct quote here: www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/ar...
Screenshot of account deletion process on academia.edu
Just deleted my academia.edu account after 17 (!) years -- the company's exploitative new terms of use are outrageous, and it's a shame such a blatant commercial sell-out is able to operate under the .edu top-level domain. If you are still on academia.edu, please consider deleting your account too.
He's already on the first- and third-year undergraduate Politics syllabus here at Cambridge, so perhaps we should add him to the second-year syllabus, too? #zombieuniversity #brains
Realise I'm late to this, but this really is an excellent piece of writing by Ian Dunt.
We are delighted to announce that the winner of the #BJPIR John Peterson Best Article Prize for 2024 is Johanna Rodehau-Noack for her article βCounting bodies, preventing war: Future conflict and the ethics of fatality numbersβ.
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I didnβt have a great deal of hope for this column, but it turned out to be a damn good read.
On taking my Dad to the cricket - and the public hitting the Tebbit test for six (2012)
www.britishfuture.org/how-the-tebb...
Seven years since this gem on BBC News
Martin Wolf: According to the IMF, the trend growth of GDP per head in the UK had been 2.5 per cent a year from 1990 to 2007: then, between 2008 and 2025, it was just 0.7 per cent. on.ft.com/4lf4OyV The roots of the British malaise lie in a sick economy