Trending
M_Deming's Avatar

M_Deming

@2sanguine

Coronavirologist | Infectious Disease doc

144
Followers
166
Following
50
Posts
21.09.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by M_Deming @2sanguine

A line graph showing the fraction of R01 applications funded as a function of percentile for NIAID. The estimated success rate for FY2024 was 14.1% compared with 13.4% for FY2025.

A line graph showing the fraction of R01 applications funded as a function of percentile for NIAID. The estimated success rate for FY2024 was 14.1% compared with 13.4% for FY2025.

5/25

13.03.2026 16:23 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
A line graph of the number of projects funded by NIH for fiscal years 2020-2026. The fiscal year 2026 curve lies below the other curves but appears to be increasing at close to the normal pace.

A line graph of the number of projects funded by NIH for fiscal years 2020-2026. The fiscal year 2026 curve lies below the other curves but appears to be increasing at close to the normal pace.

My weekly NIH update...

The fiscal year 2026 curve still lies below the other curves but appears to be increasing at close to the normal pace.

1/4

12.03.2026 18:27 πŸ‘ 66 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Video thumbnail

Sen. Kim: A couple of years ago we created the Civilian Protection Center. Hegseth decided to gut this office last year. And now we find ourselves facing one of the worst losses of life for civilians at the hands of Americans in decades.

12.03.2026 16:38 πŸ‘ 73 πŸ” 34 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
First 6 Days of Iran War Cost U.S. $11.3 Billion, Pentagon Says

The 2026 National Science Foundation budget is $8.75 Billion.

12.03.2026 04:13 πŸ‘ 4360 πŸ” 2019 πŸ’¬ 35 πŸ“Œ 114
Preview
NIH director launches "Scientific Freedom" lectures with non-scientist First speaker minimizes climate change, COVID risksβ€”and is a lab leak proponent.

Good coverage of new "Scientific Freedom Lecture" series at NIH from @arstechnica.com

arstechnica.com/science/2026...

1/2

12.03.2026 12:11 πŸ‘ 58 πŸ” 30 πŸ’¬ 13 πŸ“Œ 4
After a series of fatal strikes involving civilians in Iraq and Afghanistan, Congress directed the Pentagon to reduce civilian casualties as part of a 2019 law. During the Biden administration, the Defense Department created the Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response initiative.

The civilian mitigation teams – cut by 90% by Hegseth – work with military commanders on target planning, and making sure that targets are actually military sites. The teams help come up with "no strike" lists, including religious and cultural sites and schools

After a series of fatal strikes involving civilians in Iraq and Afghanistan, Congress directed the Pentagon to reduce civilian casualties as part of a 2019 law. During the Biden administration, the Defense Department created the Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response initiative. The civilian mitigation teams – cut by 90% by Hegseth – work with military commanders on target planning, and making sure that targets are actually military sites. The teams help come up with "no strike" lists, including religious and cultural sites and schools

I knew that the Department of War shot a missile into a school & killed 175 civilians, mostly children.

This is learned today:

Secretary of War Hegseth had cut the teams assigned to prevent such tragedies by 90%.
www.npr.org/2026/03/11/n...

12.03.2026 02:05 πŸ‘ 4018 πŸ” 2060 πŸ’¬ 132 πŸ“Œ 133
Preview
NIH director launches "Scientific Freedom" lectures with non-scientist First speaker minimizes climate change, COVID risksβ€”and is a lab leak proponent.

The invasion of the NIH by the wildly unqualified continues.

11.03.2026 22:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
How Congress can restore the independence of US science Members must go beyond reinstating US government research spending and re-establish decentralized governance at the National Institutes of Health and other agencies.

The most impt change at #NIH and to US science this year is bigger than grant cancellationsβ€” it’s how the agency is governed.

For 75 years NIH has been largely independent of presidential control. That’s changed this year. New piece from me and @nataliebaviles.bsky.social in @nature.com
πŸ§ͺ

09.03.2026 12:26 πŸ‘ 309 πŸ” 170 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 7

The first week of US's war with Iran cost $6 billion, almost the same as the entire annual budget funding all scientific research via NSF

10.03.2026 05:55 πŸ‘ 117 πŸ” 43 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

WSJ: β€œ.. U.S. military investigators think American forces likely were responsible for the strike, according to a U.S. official ..”

@wsj.com
www.wsj.com/livecoverage...

08.03.2026 17:39 πŸ‘ 1830 πŸ” 599 πŸ’¬ 139 πŸ“Œ 45
Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success.

Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302

Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success. Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302

The data is in: the NIH goalposts have shifted.

What were once almost certain fundable scores have become coin flips and what used to be likely grants have become aspirational, leading to fewer awards.

Another manifestation of how HHS policies have led to fewer awards and less science.

07.03.2026 01:59 πŸ‘ 689 πŸ” 422 πŸ’¬ 19 πŸ“Œ 62
Preview
Corporate Media Buries Story of US and Israel Killing 168 in Girls School Attack No front-page stories in NYT, WSJ, WaPo. No mention on NBC and CBS Sunday Shows. No stand alone segments on Evening News shows. A death count on par with the OKC bombing is relegated to the back page.

β€œNo front-page stories in NYT, WSJ, WaPo. No mention on NBC and CBS Sunday Shows. No stand alone segments on Evening News shows. A death count on par with the OKC bombing is relegated to the back page.” www.columnblog.com/p/corporate-...

05.03.2026 04:01 πŸ‘ 4228 πŸ” 2113 πŸ’¬ 64 πŸ“Œ 76
Video thumbnail

Trump: β€œwar can be fought forever”

03.03.2026 12:33 πŸ‘ 373 πŸ” 139 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 5

You still had 100 characters left to use after the text in this post. You could have included this sentence (69 characters).

There is no evidence that ivermectin works as a treatment for cancer.

02.03.2026 13:14 πŸ‘ 287 πŸ” 81 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 2

I really feel it’s irresponsible to not include the fact that it’s *totally ineffective* against cancer in the post text and headline here

02.03.2026 12:45 πŸ‘ 583 πŸ” 49 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 0

He has an angry 17 year old's understanding of war and most other things in life. Unqualified beyond belief. The 50 Senators who voted to confirm should seriously contemplate falling on their swords in shame and I do not mean that metaphorically.

02.03.2026 14:44 πŸ‘ 135 πŸ” 34 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

this has been a confusing issue with all the lawsuits and negotiating, but thankfully @maxkozlov.bsky.social breaks it down clearly. bottom line: the damage to US science is still ongoing and still immense. this is a war of attrition that requires continued vigilance

27.02.2026 17:19 πŸ‘ 46 πŸ” 30 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

By itself, this should be considered utterly disqualifying for confirmation.

26.02.2026 05:52 πŸ‘ 72 πŸ” 19 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
Dear Director Bhattacharya and Deputy Director Lorsch: I saw a post Director Bhattacharya retweeted about replication in economics. This begins with:

Between 1974 and 2014, only 0.1% of publications in the top 50 economics journals were replication studies.
That's 40 years. Thousands of papers. Almost none replicated.
We've built careers on findings no one has verified.
When economists finally replicate studies, 40-67% fail depending on the study.

Dear Director Bhattacharya and Deputy Director Lorsch: I saw a post Director Bhattacharya retweeted about replication in economics. This begins with: Between 1974 and 2014, only 0.1% of publications in the top 50 economics journals were replication studies. That's 40 years. Thousands of papers. Almost none replicated. We've built careers on findings no one has verified. When economists finally replicate studies, 40-67% fail depending on the study.

A second email, this with a more substantial insight about "The Replication Crisis"...

1/5

21.02.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 74 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 4
Video thumbnail

Sen Ossoff (D-GA) nails it‼️This administration is of, by and for the Epstein Class. The middle class is getting absolutely crushed by this economy. The #TrumpAffordabilityChaos is wreaking havoc on working citizens, everything costs more and prices will only continue to rise.

18.02.2026 21:02 πŸ‘ 1922 πŸ” 725 πŸ’¬ 50 πŸ“Œ 27

! and that Eye of Sauron look is thanks to the use of a coronagraph to block the light of the star.
www.eso.org/public/image...

17.02.2026 11:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

😬

16.02.2026 19:01 πŸ‘ 167 πŸ” 59 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 6

Covid lab leak β€œtheories” are my new litmus test to establish if a commentator/intellectual is worth being taken seriously in any capacity.

15.02.2026 21:51 πŸ‘ 51 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 1

Nothing about our current moment is comprehensible without understanding that:

1. Until 1965, white men decided who was president.
2. for the next four decades, every president elected was either a Republican or a white male Southerner.
3. Barack Obama was the first exception to the above.

14.02.2026 22:58 πŸ‘ 953 πŸ” 240 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 11
Video thumbnail

Right now, we have a tax code that forces firefighters and teachers to pay a higher share of their income than many billionaires and major corporations.

We need to change that - because our economy requires it, and because it is simply the right thing to do.

14.02.2026 00:02 πŸ‘ 3225 πŸ” 709 πŸ’¬ 95 πŸ“Œ 28

You can't... repeal... a scientific finding. At that point it's just called lying about it.

12.02.2026 20:38 πŸ‘ 12630 πŸ” 4472 πŸ’¬ 207 πŸ“Œ 113

This is the key point - it's not about Moderna's flu vaccine, it's about sending a signal to the rest of the industry that vaccine development isn't viable in the US. It's all part of the larger anti-vaccine agenda.

12.02.2026 21:55 πŸ‘ 907 πŸ” 383 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 11
Gallup will no longer measure presidential approval after 88 years

Gallup will no longer measure presidential approval after 88 years

seems almost certain we’ll later find out they were coerced

thehill.com/homenews/med...

11.02.2026 19:24 πŸ‘ 3232 πŸ” 586 πŸ’¬ 80 πŸ“Œ 75
Post image

Wise plan.

11.02.2026 21:18 πŸ‘ 198 πŸ” 34 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
F.D.A. Refuses to Review Moderna Flu Vaccine

This is troubling for multiple reasons, but one big one is companies won’t want to invest in R&D and clinical trials if they don’t think they can get a fair regulatory reviewβ€”which is at the end of a long and extremely expensive process.

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/10/h...

11.02.2026 00:37 πŸ‘ 330 πŸ” 156 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 21