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Sam Freedman

@samfr

Writes the most popular UK Substack (samf.substack.com) Author of Sunday Times bestselling book "Failed State". (An Economist and Financial Times Book of the Year for 2024). Working on book two. Senior fellow: Institute for Government

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Latest posts by Sam Freedman @samfr

Jonathan Powell's line that they fired her ten times but had to put her back every time because Brown insisted.

10.03.2026 13:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

There was usually someone in there. Byers and Milburn in term one and then Ruth Kelly was financial secretary in term two. Admittedly I forgot Paul Boeteng did the Chief Sec job for so long.

10.03.2026 13:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Allows rival to build powerbases though. E.g. Blair always making sure the Chief Secretary to the Treasury was one of his allies....

10.03.2026 13:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We shouldn't rule out the possibility that the Andrea Jenkyns has had a labotomy.

10.03.2026 12:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 178 ๐Ÿ” 31 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 21 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

To me that's still a recent event.

10.03.2026 09:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 84 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Whenever I speak to students I seem to find it impossible to mentally calibrate their age against events properly.

Last night in answer to a question I started talking about the expenses crisis before remembering they were all four years old when it happened and had no idea what I meant.

10.03.2026 09:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 341 ๐Ÿ” 12 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 56 ๐Ÿ“Œ 11

Public support for US attack on Iran down 10 points since last week. 59% oppose to 25% support. Tory supporters now evenly split. Another Keminaissance triumph.

09.03.2026 17:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 395 ๐Ÿ” 46 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

I do not like it when my bank sends me emails with the word "geopolitics" in the title.

09.03.2026 17:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 285 ๐Ÿ” 18 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Remember "sharing the proceeds of growth"? Those were the days.

09.03.2026 17:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 14 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

There is no funnier train station sign than "Cambridge home of Anglia Ruskin University". Everytime I see it I'm impressed all over again at the level of trolling.

09.03.2026 17:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 1028 ๐Ÿ” 82 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 38 ๐Ÿ“Œ 8

I'm a freelancer with pretensions...

09.03.2026 14:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The list is 99% distinguished academics and one guy who writes a substack. Apologies to the distinguished academics.

09.03.2026 12:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 92 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
The Academy of Social Sciences welcomes outstanding social scientists to its Fellowship in spring 2026 โ€“ Academy of Social Sciences

I've been appointed a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences - which is quite cool given I'm not a social scientist. Hoping for physics next.

acss.org.uk/news/the-aca...

09.03.2026 12:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 437 ๐Ÿ” 9 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 23 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Excellent assessment from @ldfreedman.bsky.social on the Middle East conflict.

What happens to Iran and in Iran?

Does Trump have an overall war plan? (spoiler : probably not).

08.03.2026 09:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 19 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Kind of weird when you can watch the global market collectively go "oh shit he is that crazy".

09.03.2026 08:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 1770 ๐Ÿ” 317 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 46 ๐Ÿ“Œ 20

God they're irrelevant.

08.03.2026 22:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 107 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Rising stars Blake Stephenson and Jack Rankin? What about Bobson Dugnutt and Steve McDichael?

08.03.2026 22:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 147 ๐Ÿ” 16 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 24 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Trump told me that the Ayatollah was close to collecting all the infinity stones and had to be stopped.

08.03.2026 21:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 482 ๐Ÿ” 57 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9 ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

"it is becoming increasingly hard to avoid the conclusion that the Trump administration has embarked on this operation without a plan, and is making it up as it goes along, as if they killed enough of the right people and destroyed enough Iranian assets everything would fall into place"

08.03.2026 09:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 142 ๐Ÿ” 44 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10 ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

I guess my question is that given the lag from licences to oil is five years or so I'm not sure how it helps us with Trump or next winter. Doesn't mean it's a bad idea to give us more security in the 2030s... @timleunig.bsky.social

08.03.2026 16:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 48 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Preview
Making it up as they go along Where does the war in Iran go from here?

Latest assessment on US/Israeli attack on Iran. The administration continues to give the impression that it is making it up as it goes along. The choices for the Iranian regime remain dire but it continues to show defiance and cause international economic turmoil. open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/m...?

08.03.2026 09:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 203 ๐Ÿ” 60 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7 ๐Ÿ“Œ 9
Post image

There are now more tech workers going from the US to Europe than the other way around

08.03.2026 12:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 93 ๐Ÿ” 36 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

"It is [...] hard to avoid the conclusion that the Trump administration has embarked on this operation without a plan, and is making it up as it goes along, as if they killed enough of the right people and destroyed enough Iranian assets everything would fall into place."

Magical thinking.

08.03.2026 10:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 270 ๐Ÿ” 71 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Also I doubt Labour will hold Newham...

08.03.2026 11:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Workshopping my LinkedIn post to announce:

"When I was growing up I would never dreamt of being supreme leader of a theocratic dictatorship. It was something that happened to other people. But during my career journey I've learnt that you can aspire to anything if... [continues for 2000 words...]"

08.03.2026 10:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 170 ๐Ÿ” 8 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Some personal news...

08.03.2026 10:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 637 ๐Ÿ” 29 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 38 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

But in this case even if Starmer didn't have the slightest interest in international law it would still be wrong to get involved in this operation.

08.03.2026 10:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 132 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's partly about reflexive Atalantism and imperial nostalgia. But I think a big part of this is their sheer hatred of Starmer's focus on international law. Same as the reason Chagos has become such a big deal for them.

08.03.2026 10:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 254 ๐Ÿ” 35 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 13 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Dad was on the Chilcot Inquiry so he knows a bit about starting wars in the Middle East without clear obtainable objectives.

08.03.2026 10:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 120 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Making it up as they go along Where does the war in Iran go from here?

New post from @ldfreedman.bsky.social

"Making it up as they go along"

The US has started a war with no idea how to finish it and there's a power struggle within the Iranian regime too.

Where does the war in Iran go from here?

samf.substack.com/p/making-it-...

08.03.2026 09:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 136 ๐Ÿ” 33 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3