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Leonardo Monasterio

@lmonasterio

Brazilian Economist at @ipeaonline; professor at @SejaIDP; @CNPq_Oficial Opinions are solely mine (or stolen from others) https://sites.google.com/view/lmonasterio #econsky

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Latest posts by Leonardo Monasterio @lmonasterio

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A sudden decline in low-skilled immigrant workers in 2020 increased the exit of manufacturing firms in Korea and decreased wages of Korean workers, from Jongkwan Lee, Giovanni Peri, and Hee-Seung Yang www.nber.org/papers/w34927

11.03.2026 20:01 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The only people who could stop Trump from launching nuclear missiles wear shoes like these.

11.03.2026 16:36 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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11.03.2026 18:04 πŸ‘ 462 πŸ” 38 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 3

"Violence can destroy power; it is utterly incapable of creating it."

-- Hannah Arendt

www.jstor.org/stable/23025...

11.03.2026 15:45 πŸ‘ 73 πŸ” 30 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I like how typos in manuscripts are no longer considered evidence of sloppiness, and have turned instead into luxury signals of hand-crafted writing by a human master wordsmith who keeps to the traditional ways

11.03.2026 11:13 πŸ‘ 68 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 6
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Bright but Poor: Undermatching in the Access to Postsecondary Education - Alejandra Mizala, Luis Herskovic, Alejandra Abufhele, Florencia Torche, 2026 Undermatching identifies high school graduates who do not attend selective colleges even if they have high academic performance. To date, the study of undermatc...

New @aeraedresearch.bsky.social article: β€œBright but Poor”.

Many talented students from low-income families have the grades for higher education but do not make it. We show where the missed opportunities arise across the education pipeline

Low-hanging fruit for ed policy

doi.org/10.3102/0002...

10.03.2026 13:29 πŸ‘ 41 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1

Comprovando o meu ponto, fui bloqueado

11.03.2026 18:05 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Vdd! Que loucura

11.03.2026 18:05 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Who you sit next to matters. Random Senate seating shifts votes by 11.9 percent, increases bipartisanship, and may have flipped 59 major bills, from Lauren Cohen and Bo Li www.nber.org/papers/w34925

11.03.2026 16:02 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Mesma experiΓͺncia aqui. Isso mesmo sem usar um gpt ou qq outra ferramenta especializada.

11.03.2026 13:24 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

OpiniΓ£o impopular*: pedir o parecer de um LLM antes de submeter um trabalho deve ser parte do fluxo de trabalho do pesquisador

* impopular sΓ³ aqui no bluesky

11.03.2026 13:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
The lower half of a manuscript page, featuring a marginal figure dragging a portion of text encircled with a rope into place.

The lower half of a manuscript page, featuring a marginal figure dragging a portion of text encircled with a rope into place.

A marginal figure drags an omitted portion of text into place in this copy of Thomas Hoccleve's Regiment of Princes (Arundel MS 38).

11.03.2026 09:24 πŸ‘ 154 πŸ” 47 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 12
Mirrored bar plot showing the distribution of estimated probabilities for different terms, for US and UK respondents. Will happen is ranked most likely, and almost no chance is least likely. Points highlight the median which are identical for both groups except for may/might happen and highly likely where US medians are higher.

Mirrored bar plot showing the distribution of estimated probabilities for different terms, for US and UK respondents. Will happen is ranked most likely, and almost no chance is least likely. Points highlight the median which are identical for both groups except for may/might happen and highly likely where US medians are higher.

A really fun dataset for this week's #TidyTuesday, looking at how people interpret different probabilistic statements πŸ“Š

There's so many aspects of this to visualise, but I decided make some barcode plots comparing how people from the UK and US responded!

#DataViz #RStats #ggplot2

11.03.2026 08:18 πŸ‘ 45 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2
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The number of cancer deaths worldwide has more than doubled since the 1980s. Does that mean we're losing the fight against cancer? Not necessarily, because it depends on how you measure it. On this chart, you can see three ways to look at the same data. 🧡

11.03.2026 08:59 πŸ‘ 105 πŸ” 36 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 8

Has anyone noticed that everyone who uses AI less than you is a an out-of-date luddite and everyone who uses it more than you has forgotten how to think for themselves and trusts it too much

10.03.2026 19:00 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Workers' outcomes are highly non-linear, even non-monotone in the pace of sectoral shifts. More and more workers gain as a transition accelerates, but the tail of losses thickens, from John R. Grigsby and Nathan Zorzi www.nber.org/papers/w34922

10.03.2026 18:02 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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New free payphone at Boston University allows students to β€˜call a boomer’ - Boston News, Weather, Sports | WHDH 7News BROOKLINE, MASS. (WHDH) - A newly installed free payphone on Boston University’s campus is helping generations connect the old fashioned way; giving people the chance<a class="excerpt-read-more" href=...

'A newly installed free payphone on Boston University’s campus is helping generations connect the old fashioned way; giving people the chance to 'call a boomer.'

The payphone directly connects to a similar phone installed in the game room of a senior housing complex in Reno, Nevada."

10.03.2026 20:38 πŸ‘ 167 πŸ” 44 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 8
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Ig Nobels ceremony moves to Europe over security concerns Marc Abraham: β€œDuring the past year, it has become unsafe for our guests to visit the country."

A sad reflection of the state of visiting the USA -

Ig Nobels ceremony moves to Europe over security concerns

Marc Abraham:
β€œWe cannot in good conscience ask the new winners, or the international journalists who cover the event, to travel to the US this year.”

10.03.2026 18:01 πŸ‘ 59 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 6
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10.03.2026 15:02 πŸ‘ 854 πŸ” 135 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 11

Agora jΓ‘ deixou seu estado quΓ’ntico e passou a existir

10.03.2026 10:33 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Figure shows the number of immigrants arriving in Israel from the former Soviet Union, by year.

The integration of immigrants is the subject of contentious public debates. This column studies the labour market outcomes of nearly one million Jews who migrated from the former Soviet Union to Israel in the 1990s and were granted Israeli citizenship upon arrival. The immigrants initially worked in lower-paying firms than natives, but narrowed the wage gap with natives by switching jobs more often and making larger upward moves when they did. Policies that tie immigrants to a single employer or delay unrestricted work authorisation may slow access to better firms and delay convergence.

Figure shows the number of immigrants arriving in Israel from the former Soviet Union, by year. The integration of immigrants is the subject of contentious public debates. This column studies the labour market outcomes of nearly one million Jews who migrated from the former Soviet Union to Israel in the 1990s and were granted Israeli citizenship upon arrival. The immigrants initially worked in lower-paying firms than natives, but narrowed the wage gap with natives by switching jobs more often and making larger upward moves when they did. Policies that tie immigrants to a single employer or delay unrestricted work authorisation may slow access to better firms and delay convergence.

J Arellano-Bover & S San use evidence from Jews who immigrated to Israel from the former USSR in the 90s & were granted citizenship upon arrival to show policies that delay unrestricted work authorisation may slow access to better firms & delay convergence.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

10.03.2026 10:03 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Qual seria a sua crΓ­tica Γ  estratΓ©gia de identificaΓ§Γ£o? (Para mim, o IV parece plausΓ­vel )

09.03.2026 20:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Minimum Wages and Rise of the Robots Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

Minimum Wages and Rise of the Robots www.nber.org/papers/w34895

"Across specifications, a 10 percent increase in the minimum wage increases robot adoption by roughly 8 percent relative to the mean"

09.03.2026 13:19 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

PoluiΓ§Γ£o Γ© bem mais danosa do que pensΓ‘vamos
Mais poluiΓ§Γ£o-> mais suicΓ­di0s

09.03.2026 19:27 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

ParabΓ©ns!!! muito obrigado

09.03.2026 18:44 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸš€WE'RE ON CRAN!πŸš€

πŸ“¦ My package {bacenR} for collecting data from Bacen has been accepted on CRAN.

Now the stable version can be downloaded with install.packages("bacenR").

Simple data collection with just a few lines of code.

#rstats #pystas #econsky #data #scraping

github.com/rtheodoro/ba...

09.03.2026 18:26 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

The reason most households are two income is that wages went *up*.

As wages increase, "working in a company" becomes a better option than "working in domestic production".

09.03.2026 16:18 πŸ‘ 191 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 2
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Ataque a privilΓ©gios, 'A Riqueza das NaΓ§Γ΅es', de Adam Smith, completa 250 anos Sucesso inicial Γ© ligado Γ  guerra de independΓͺncia dos Estados Unidos, que ocorria na Γ©poca do lanΓ§amento

A Riqueza das NaΓ§Γ΅es completa 250 anos

09.03.2026 10:04 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Historian?

No, you're being rebranded.

You're now a 'Retrospective Content Creator'.

09.03.2026 08:59 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1

Ah... agora vou ter que ver!

09.03.2026 13:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0