This Open Access study was written with @hcsteinhardt.bsky.social and my steadfast research assistant, Lisa Bhowmick.
20.02.2026 06:53
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Why the difference? We argue it reflects how democratization in the 90s reshaped national identity.
Despite structural similarities, Taiwan's democratization opened a pluralistic (national) identity regime.
In South Korea, it consolidated norms around its rigid identity norms.
20.02.2026 06:53
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But the pressure is not evenly distributed. It is strongest among those with weaker prior national identification and among subgroups whose identities are socially contested.
In South Korea, this includes North Korean migrants. In Taiwan, dual Taiwanese-Chinese identifiers.
20.02.2026 06:53
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Using list experiments to reduce social desirability bias, we compare direct vs indirect measures of national pride in Taiwan and South Korea. Respondents in both Taiwan and South Korea exhibit pride inflation, but conformity pressures are stronger and more pervasive in South Korea.
20.02.2026 06:53
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Happy to see this out and to be a part of the editorial team. Huge props to @aronvandepol.bsky.social for his leadership in seeing this journal revived -- with a new website and production system.
19.02.2026 09:46
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My pleasure!
05.11.2025 13:20
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Yesterday, we held the 1st Annual Leiden University Workshop on Immigration & Democracy.
A full day of discussion on new research covering migration, identity, and democratic attitudes. Excellent presentations and constructive feedback across all panels.
05.11.2025 08:48
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π’Early view
What do welfare preferences in #DividedSocieties teach us about #NationalIdentity β
Peter Ward & @stevendenney86.bsky.social find that candidates orginally from Eastern Germany or North Korea are less preferred by Western Germans and South Koreans π
doi.org/10.1093/pols...
31.10.2025 09:00
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Across both cases, welfare preferences reflect how citizens draw boundaries of national belonging. Even where ethnicity and citizenship are shared, social policy attitudes show they might not fully count as part of the nation.
30.10.2025 09:25
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In South Korea, exclusion of North Koreans remains strong across all subgroups considered.
Notably, this is not due to past or current βsupport fatigueβ: we test for that (in both cases). The persistence instead reflects enduring national boundary-making.
30.10.2025 09:25
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In Germany, supplementary analysis shows an encouraging pattern: discrimination against Easterners is concentrated among those socialized before unification. Among younger Western Germans, the intra-national discrimination is abating.
30.10.2025 09:25
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Both Western Germans and South Koreans show intra-national welfare chauvinism: citizens from the other, divided region (Eastern Germany, North Korea) are less likely to be prioritized for state support.
30.10.2025 09:25
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We use comparative conjoint experiments to isolate the effects of origin on welfare preferences. Respondents evaluated paired job-support candidates whose traits (age, occupation, record, and region of origin) were randomly varied to isolate bias in selection.
30.10.2025 09:25
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We test this in Germany and South Korea, where division has created distinct internal βothersβ: Eastern Germans and those of North Korean origin. These cases let us examine how exclusion operates when ethnicity and citizenship are shared.
30.10.2025 09:25
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We ask whether welfare chauvinism, normally used to explain opposition to immigrants, also extends to co-ethnic nationals divided by history and politics. Might citizens discriminate against their βownβ in welfare allocation?
30.10.2025 09:25
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Welfare chauvinism in divided societies: the role of national identity in social policy preferences
Abstract. What drives discriminatory welfare preferences against co-ethnics and intra-national groups in societies shaped by historical division? This arti
New in Policy & Society (OA): βWelfare Chauvinism in Divided Societies: The Role of National Identity in Social Policy Preferencesβ, with @rpcward89. academic.oup.com/policyandsoc...
What can we learn about national identity through welfare preferences in divided societies?
30.10.2025 09:25
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More than a third of Lucid (now Cint) respondents in 2019 were "professional" respondents according to a new article in @polanalysis.bsky.social , and that's the conservative estimate
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
10.10.2025 10:28
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35 years ago, on October 3, 1990, Germany was reunified. Just two months later, voters in the former GDR went to the polls in the first free federal election since the Weimar era. Despite decades of socialist dictatorship, East German voting behavior displayed marked regional differences. Threadπ§΅
03.10.2025 13:27
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π¨ New paper in @thejop.bsky.social
Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are?
@simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions
Thread π§΅1/10
29.09.2025 07:18
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Now on FirstView!
This study examines how Japanβs graying influences immigration attitudesβoffering insight the countryβs unique stance on immigration and the political future of aging Western democracies.
#polisky #immigration #academisky
doi.org/10.1017/S104...
18.09.2025 14:33
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This is a really cool paper on the socialisation effects of studying at University. Surprisingly, the effects (moving in a leftward, liberal direction) are biggest for STEM students and those who move away from home to study, attend a single campus uni, and who live in βuniversity townsβ and London.
10.04.2025 22:09
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π¨ New working paper! π¨
@grattonecon.bsky.social and I just completed the first draft of "The Rise and Fall of Technocratic Democracies". Excited to present it in Munich this weekβthanks to Laura Seelkopf, Christoph Knill & others for hosting us! π§΅π
βΆοΈ Motivation
Many democracies have undergone a
03.02.2025 08:57
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This paper explores how democratization can reconstitute understandings of nationhood by empowering a new class of βstorytelling elitesβ---those with the institutional and rhetorical resources to challenge the stateβs narrative. In this critical juncture, storytelling elites may challenge (1) the bottom-line premise or (2) the sideline elements of the prevailing national narrative. Their narrative strategies, in turn, shape how the terms of the debates are redefined and structured under democracy. I develop this argument through a comparison of βOne Koreaβ and βOne Chinaβ narratives in postwar South Korea and Taiwan. Using interpretive process tracing of archival and other qualitative data, I find that democracy helped entrench βOne Koreaβ narratives in South Korea but displace βOne Chinaβ narratives in Taiwan, as new storytelling elites challenged dominant narratives of βonenessβ to varying degrees. This resulted in increasingly divergent support for unification as a national objective, with enduring implications for peace.
Iβm happy to share this paper in @cpsjournal.bsky.social on democracy and national narratives, with insights from South Korea and Taiwan. It is part of a special issue on postcolonial narratives with @paulschuler.bsky.social, @deandulay.bsky.social, + others.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
15.09.2025 14:45
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15.09.2025 06:55
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4. Lee inherits a mandate (or at least an implied demand) to bring stability but faces an uncertain policy and political environment. Deep challenges remain: intensifying elite and popular polarization, weakened institutional guardrails, and an increasingly fraught geopolitical situation.
04.06.2025 09:30
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3. The political landscape is increasingly polarized. The left is organizationally unified but struggles to articulate a forward-looking agenda; the right is fractured and reactive. Both camps are shaped more by opposition than by coherent policy visions at present.
04.06.2025 09:30
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2. Lee is not ideologically transformative; heβs strategic and clearly understands power dynamics. His positioning draws on some anti-elite populism and affective polarization to shore up support among progressive partisans.
04.06.2025 09:30
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