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Josh Giersch

@josh.sg

I’ve seen things you people wouldn’t believe. AUD vol on a 40 handle. Crypto basis swaps. BNPL burrito taxis. Cloudwatch bills the size of a phone number. Memories, tears in rain, etc. etc.

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12.04.2023
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Latest posts by Josh Giersch @josh.sg

It’s great; if you like cozy games and building things you’ll lose literally days to it. but I like both Animal Crossing and Pokémon so I am *extremely* biased here

07.03.2026 03:57 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

if @bloomberg.com adds this as a feature I will pay for a Terminal

04.03.2026 06:29 👍 11 🔁 7 💬 2 📌 0
Clearly Erroneous

"clearly erroneous" policy applies here, nobody in their right mind would do that. fill out the form here within 30 minutes of completing the Pointed and we might get back to you before the close on Monday

www.nasdaqtrader.com/trader.aspx?...

28.02.2026 19:47 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

40.

28.02.2026 04:36 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

I would like to remind youse all that Jack Dorsey is a top-ticking artist on par with Masa Son. Remember him paying $29bn for Afterpay at the ding-dong high of the BNPL boom in '21?

27.02.2026 15:42 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
A shot of The Score, sitting on a table next to a glass of white wine. In the background, abstract art hangs on a brick wall

A shot of The Score, sitting on a table next to a glass of white wine. In the background, abstract art hangs on a brick wall

best served with an ice-cold glass of sav blonk in an exceptionally good wine bar

23.02.2026 03:48 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
An excerpt from The Score, in which Nguyen argues that metrics provide a dangerous, seductive, artificial clarity around value

An excerpt from The Score, in which Nguyen argues that metrics provide a dangerous, seductive, artificial clarity around value

C. Thi Nguyen’s (@add-hawk.bsky.social) “The Score” is like the antiparticle of Measure What Matters, and for that I absolutely love it

23.02.2026 03:46 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Prediction markets are recapitulating the development of regular financial markets, starting with Neil Phillips' USDZAR one-touch shenanigans from a few years back

10.02.2026 23:40 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
"Should you use ChatGPT to hedge a new issue?"

"Should you use ChatGPT to hedge a new issue?"

No, you should use dollar swaps!

*yoinked offstage by a giant vaudeville hook*

09.02.2026 16:22 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

At some point soon it’s going to be cheaper for a big $PD client to buy the company outright than to keep paying their seat-license bill

05.02.2026 16:11 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The absolute best driving road in America, though, is Utah 12 & 24: head east through Bryce Canyon, Escalante, the Hogsback, Capitol Reef, and then the long stretch of desert east of Cainesville. It's jaw-droppingly beautiful and unmatched fun to drive.

23.01.2026 18:59 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The main building of the Hearst Castle complex, a gigantic mock-Spanish pile with a pair of hundred-foot-high bell towers surrounding a front door that tries to be, but isn't, on par with the entrance to Gaudi's Sagrada Família. Palm trees are scattered around the building, and a crowd mills on the steps below, possibly wondering what possessed William Randolph Hearst to build this incoherent pile.

The main building of the Hearst Castle complex, a gigantic mock-Spanish pile with a pair of hundred-foot-high bell towers surrounding a front door that tries to be, but isn't, on par with the entrance to Gaudi's Sagrada Família. Palm trees are scattered around the building, and a crowd mills on the steps below, possibly wondering what possessed William Randolph Hearst to build this incoherent pile.

A crab, rendered in small square gold tiles, stands out against a background of the same-sized tiles in deep cobalt-blue glass. The crab's eyes are downturned, making it look grumpy, but it's also very cute.

A crab, rendered in small square gold tiles, stands out against a background of the same-sized tiles in deep cobalt-blue glass. The crab's eyes are downturned, making it look grumpy, but it's also very cute.

Bonus: a couple of photos from Hearst Castle, WR Hearst's gargantuan folly on the hills above St Simeon. First photo is the main house (yes, really); second is a detail of the tiling on the floor of the Roman Pool room, a lil' crab made from gold and blue-glass tiles.

23.01.2026 18:40 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Bixby Bridge at Big Sur, a dramatic arched bridge over a deep coastal canyon. The panorama is lit by a golden sunset.

Bixby Bridge at Big Sur, a dramatic arched bridge over a deep coastal canyon. The panorama is lit by a golden sunset.

A bush of small blue flowers is lit from behind by a bright-gold sunset.

A bush of small blue flowers is lit from behind by a bright-gold sunset.

A dark photo of a field of white calla lilies, standing out against the dark-green background and foliage.

A dark photo of a field of white calla lilies, standing out against the dark-green background and foliage.

A sunset over the ocean; the land is silhouetted, and the sun, right on the horizon, is lighting up the trailing edges of clouds in the sky.

A sunset over the ocean; the land is silhouetted, and the sun, right on the horizon, is lighting up the trailing edges of clouds in the sky.

Went for a drive up California highway 1, freshly reopened after a three-year closure due to a slight case of "the road's fallen into the ocean. AGAIN".

Am delighted to report that CA-1 is still one of the top two or three roads in America.

23.01.2026 18:35 👍 13 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

no support for numeric cashtags yet though, our resident Japanese-smidcap enjoyooooors will have to be patient

12.01.2026 23:33 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1
Preview
Paramount Threatens Board Fight Over Warner Bros. Discovery

my M&A-themed drag queen alter ego, Revlon Judy

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/12/b...

12.01.2026 22:38 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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I've learned to accept that I'm basically Ned Flanders

03.01.2026 07:05 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
A screenshot of Intuit TurboTax, suggesting that I'll be able to finish my taxes in an hour and thirty-two minutes. There is an inexplicable popup that labels the picture as "race mode activation".

A screenshot of Intuit TurboTax, suggesting that I'll be able to finish my taxes in an hour and thirty-two minutes. There is an inexplicable popup that labels the picture as "race mode activation".

time to commence my annual ritual of cursing at TurboTax and threatening to "short $INTU to zero" for four months

03.01.2026 01:59 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

great year for VXUS Capital Partners, top work everyone, take the rest of the year off

31.12.2025 18:21 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Brian May - Wikipedia

Spoiler: the other one is Brian May en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brian_May

27.12.2025 19:34 👍 9 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Before This Physicist Studied the Stars, He Was One

If I had a dollar for every British astrophysicist named Brian who put their career on hold to join a chart-topping pop group and then successfully pivoted back to astrophysics, I’d have two dollars, which isn’t much but it’s weird that it’s happened twice www.nytimes.com/2025/12/27/w...

27.12.2025 19:18 👍 172 🔁 34 💬 4 📌 2

feature request for @vscode.dev : please let me stop Copilot from autocompleting comments, it's a bit annoying when it tries to read my mind and keeps getting it wrong

18.12.2025 02:19 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

time for me to launch It's All Good Capital Management and start market-making esoteric ETFs by manually punching numbers into IBKR

I will be the new Dude Making A Gigantic Racket By Manually Arbing EURCHF On His Old-School EBS Keyboard video star

15.12.2025 22:32 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
An Arabian gazelle is looking straight at the camera. It has slender black horns, a very soft face with dramatic white eyeliner, and ridiculously huge ears that look like variegated leaves.

An Arabian gazelle is looking straight at the camera. It has slender black horns, a very soft face with dramatic white eyeliner, and ridiculously huge ears that look like variegated leaves.

An Arabian gazelle, standing in desert sand, looking straight at the camera. It has small horns, and looks young.

An Arabian gazelle, standing in desert sand, looking straight at the camera. It has small horns, and looks young.

A brown eagle is looking straight at the camera in close-up. It has a bright yellow beak with a black tip, and looks distinctly unhappy with you.

A brown eagle is looking straight at the camera in close-up. It has a bright yellow beak with a black tip, and looks distinctly unhappy with you.

An eagle is resting on its handler's arm. the handler is looking away from camera and wearing a thick leather glove to protect himself from the talons; the eagle is a ruddy brown, and has its wings spread wide to help itself balance.

An eagle is resting on its handler's arm. the handler is looking away from camera and wearing a thick leather glove to protect himself from the talons; the eagle is a ruddy brown, and has its wings spread wide to help itself balance.

Met some more of the locals in Dubai.

(Shout out to the Dubai Desert Conservation Reserve, and the Al-Maha Desert Resort. Absolute bucket-list stuff.)

07.12.2025 12:54 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
A falcon, wings spread and its eyes intently focused, perches on a glove on the arm of its keeper. The keeper is a young woman, wearing sunglasses, smiling proudly at the falcon.

A falcon, wings spread and its eyes intently focused, perches on a glove on the arm of its keeper. The keeper is a young woman, wearing sunglasses, smiling proudly at the falcon.

A falcon in dramatic quarter-profile view, seen from below, with its wings spread, showing off its mottled plumage.

A falcon in dramatic quarter-profile view, seen from below, with its wings spread, showing off its mottled plumage.

A falcon perching on a small metal stand, seen in profile. Its eye is looking straight at the camera; its wings and closed around its body; and there's a tiny piece of meat on its beak.

A falcon perching on a small metal stand, seen in profile. Its eye is looking straight at the camera; its wings and closed around its body; and there's a tiny piece of meat on its beak.

Went to Dubai and met some locals.

07.12.2025 06:03 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

this also goes for the currently topical question of "why is Safran running fifty yards notional of EUR exotics instead of building landing gears, didn't we all learn this lesson from Citic Pacific back in '08"

26.11.2025 01:20 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

the only way it could be more of a josh siren is if Bankers Trust somehow came back from the dead to print these trades

25.11.2025 21:25 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
A screenshot from the above Bloomberg article. "The pensions regulator had been monitoring the swaps contracts based on their nominal value, rather than the risk. If the yield curve were flat, a one-year swap contract and a 10-year swap contract may have the same notional value outstanding, but the dollar value at risk for the 10-year would be far higher. The correct way to hedge a swap is with another swap of equal risk, not equal nominal outstanding."

A screenshot from the above Bloomberg article. "The pensions regulator had been monitoring the swaps contracts based on their nominal value, rather than the risk. If the yield curve were flat, a one-year swap contract and a 10-year swap contract may have the same notional value outstanding, but the dollar value at risk for the 10-year would be far higher. The correct way to hedge a swap is with another swap of equal risk, not equal nominal outstanding."

oh no

25.11.2025 21:19 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Chile Questions Swaps Trade That Stoked Pension Fund Returns Chile’s pension funds have become hooked on interest-rate derivatives to juice returns, with their notional positions ballooning to more than $500 billion, a 100-fold increase from just three years ag...

look IDK about any of you but if I put 2.5x my AUM into flatteners my investment committee would probably want to have a Quiet Word with me

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

25.11.2025 21:17 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

Can anyone lend me $25 million?

www.archpaper.com/2025/11/stah...

22.11.2025 19:02 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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mfw the sticky-delta starts to come unstuck

17.11.2025 23:19 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0