Today’s geopolitical environment offers opportunities for the world's middle powers to defend their own interests.
But can such a diverse grouping of countries effectively mobilize? @ianbremmer explains the security, trade, and economic avenues:
@projectsyndicate.bsky.social
What we’re watching:
➡️ US and allies desperately try to cool frightened oil markets
➡️ Chile to swear in right-wing president in major shift
➡️ Russia reportedly launches disinformation campaign in Hungary’s election
Get the details from @gzeromedia.com:
The Trump administration wanted a Venezuela redux, says @ianbremmer.com.
There's only one problem: It turns out that Iran is not Venezuela.
https://www.dw.com/en/trump-sends-conflicting-messages-on-iran-war/video-76305349
Violence and an ever-growing humanitarian crisis continue to push Haiti deeper into turmoil.
1,243 people were killed by armed drones between March 2025 and January 2026—with no clear path to a secure new govt in sight.
#HardNumbers via @gzeromedia.com
The Iran war is upending energy flows – and Russia is reaping the benefits.
Our expert Henning Gloystein estimates Moscow could generate tens of billions of dollars in additional state revenue as elevated oil and gas prices persist.
President Trump’s state visit to China is rapidly approaching – but planning remains scattershot.
Our expert David Meale says the US has been “sluggish in doing its part to nail down deliverables.”
@semafor.com
There is a striking gap in how Americans and Israelis view the attack on Iran.
That disparity could impact how long Washington is willing to stay in the fight.
#GraphicTruth via @gzeromedia.com
https://www.gzeromedia.com/graphic-truth-netanyahus-strategic-window-in-iran
“Recent global conflicts in Ukraine, Gaza, and now Iran prove the limits of China’s vision,” says our expert Jeremy Chan.
Beijing will need to develop a more muscular toolbox if it wants to provide quasi-security guarantees for partner countries.
From 2019 to 2024, China invested $89 billion in the Middle East.
Our expert Dan Wang says the Middle East is considered the region with the most growth potential for China – and now these trade ties are in the line of fire.
What we’re watching:
➡️ Depot bombing, Strait of Hormuz constraints send oil prices surging
➡️ Turkish opposition leader’s trial begins
➡️ Green wave in the heartland of Germany’s auto industry
Get the details from @gzeromedia.com:
“Beijing has a greater interest in maintaining its detente with Washington than protecting Tehran or Caracas,” says our expert Jeremy Chan.
https://bloom.bg/4byuXX2
The conflict in Iran has led Qatar to halt LNG production.
Without that supply, Asia and Europe will need to get their LNG from somewhere – our expert @gbrew24.bsky.social notes that Europe has relatively low natural gas inventories right now.
What we’re watching:
➡️ Trump reportedly speaks to Kurdish leaders amid Iran conflict
➡️ The US midterm primaries start with a bang
➡️ China to unveil blueprint for tech rivalry with US
Get the details from @gzeromedia.com:
The conflict in Iran has rocked oil markets, as the Islamic Republic threatened to hit vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
About 20% of the world’s total oil supply passes through the Strait of Hormuz each day.
#GraphicTruth via @gzeromedia.com:
“The frontrunner right now is probably Alireza Arafi, who sits on the leadership council that fills the gap left by Khamenei’s departure,” says our expert @gbrew24.bsky.social.
“He’s a hardliner like Khamenei,” so the regime is seeking continuity.
@gzeromedia.com
What we’re watching:
➡️ Canada-India relations continue to recover
➡️ Power struggle unfolding in Senegal
➡️ France to boost its nuclear arsenal
Get the details from @gzeromedia.com:
the us and israel attacked iran. why now and what comes next? i break down the decision, the risks of escalation, and what to watch.
Trump could have built a more durable tariff architecture from day one, but instead he chose the fastest path to maximum power and headline impact.
@ianbremmer.com breaks down the Supreme Court ruling and how that plays into our #TopRisks2026:
@gzeromedia.com
What we’re watching:
➡️ Pakistan and Afghanistan in “open war”
➡️ Trump pushes Zelensky for ASAP peace deal
➡️ US strikes billion-dollar health partnership with Congo
Get the details from @gzeromedia.com:
10 Cubans took a Florida-registered speedboat to Cuba’s coast and engaged in a gunfight with border troops.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the incident was not part of a US government operation.
#HardNumbers via @gzeromedia.com:
In President Trump’s hands, IEEPA was an instrument of unchecked executive power.
Alternate tools can rebuild the tariff wall, but @ianbremmer.com explains that they can’t restore what Trump lost after the Supreme Court ruling:
@gzeromedia.com
What we’re watching:
➡️ Modi, Netanyahu seek to boost India-Israel ties
➡️ Colombia’s Petro hits new highs late in the game
➡️ Pentagon and Anthropic go toe-to-toe over AI use
Get the details from @gzeromedia.com:
Russia’s revenues from its fossil fuel exports have dropped significantly over the course of the war.
The main reason isn’t lower export volumes – plunging prices of fossil fuels are also a factor.
#GraphicTruth via @gzeromedia.com
What we’re watching:
➡️ Brazil’s Supreme Court rocked by nepotism and corruption scandals
➡️ Leader of Europe’s largest economy visits China
➡️ Russia targets Telegram communications app
Get the details from @gzeromedia.com:
62 people are dead following a military operation that killed one of Mexico’s most powerful cartel leaders on Sunday.
President Sheinbaum deployed 2,000 troops to Jalisco state as authorities brace for further retaliation.
#HardNumbers via @gzeromedia.com:
All of our work at Eurasia Group and @gzeromedia.com is oriented toward helping people understand what's happening in the world.
Puppet Regime is no exception – we’re just letting some of our irreverence shine through.
Check out the feature w/ @abcnewsbot.bsky.social:
What we’re watching:
➡️ Israel reportedly warns Lebanon about further strikes
➡️ China-Japan tensions rise further
➡️ Can Canada come to Cuba’s rescue?
Get the details from @gzeromedia.com:
As the fighting in Ukraine enters its fifth year, the greatest danger this year lies elsewhere.
The most dangerous front in Europe this year will shift from the trenches in Donetsk to the hybrid war between Russia and NATO.
A look at hybrid incidents in 2025 ⬇️
#TopRisks2026
