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Optimal Racing

@optimalracing

We analyse data and create new ratings, methods & strategies in horse racing. We use our custom built Horse Profiler to identify form trends and over-priced horses.

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12.11.2024
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Latest posts by Optimal Racing @optimalracing

I admire your honesty. A rare thing nowadays.

Good luck going forward.

15.01.2025 20:03 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s difficult to accept that standards of decency have declined so much in such a short space of time.

30.12.2024 10:02 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I’d suggest the key difference is in the terms β€˜system’ & β€˜systematic’. If a system uses info in the public domain it will eventually be oversubscribed & die. A systematic approach however includes nuance which is likely to be unique & protects it from over subscription.

30.11.2024 23:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Arsenal fans were unusually quiet about refereeing decisions today, particularly that one. Gabriel’s behaviour totally in keeping with their approach to the game.

30.11.2024 22:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Beer garden at The Eagle?

27.11.2024 18:23 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Have to say, and I don’t mean this disrespectfully, I see parallels with Stoute & Henderson. The gradual shift away in terms of dominance & top class contenders from their yards. Natural of course but still sorrowful to see it happening.

27.11.2024 16:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Most of my books are in storage so I can’t post the pic but one I remember quite well is The Art of Legging.

26.11.2024 18:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thing is, even when you don't really see them winning, when it's a mud bath her horses just do better.

23.11.2024 15:48 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Softest ground he won on was a C4 hurdle at Ayr in '21 when it was heavy. After that it was at Wetherby on G/S in '22.

23.11.2024 15:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Good choice. I hope.

23.11.2024 13:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Hewick NR

23.11.2024 13:12 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Second race confirms it - Heavy

23.11.2024 12:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

First race time suggests heavy side of soft

23.11.2024 12:24 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ah yes and I really like him too. Would love to follow him today but on balance just think others might be better suited to the combination of conditions. Hopefully it's a great race.

23.11.2024 12:01 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Can I ask why you've taken out Bravemansgame? Seems ok on this ground to me.

23.11.2024 11:50 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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It's his record on anything this soft that has put me off him. Drifted in the betting too.

23.11.2024 11:47 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Good luck Steve. Here's one of my models filtered to today's conditions. It's a very open race I think.

Totals on the right - values odds on the left. #horseracing

22.11.2024 12:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Could you add me please?

22.11.2024 09:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

She looked very cool. Maybe some of the more experienced jocks could learn from that.

19.11.2024 16:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm not a RaceShare owner Simon but FWIW I have La Pulga running to his current mark recently (not 21/09 over 13.1f). I suspect the issue, if there is one, is the distance. Almost a career high rating currently but apart from one run in '22 he's not run to that when going beyond 12.4f.

18.11.2024 19:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

@proformracing.bsky.social

18.11.2024 19:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

She’s good James but the stats were against her. I’d post a link to my notes if I could work out how. You can read it if you look at my timeline.

17.11.2024 16:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

And the stats win again. All generated using @proformracing.bsky.social

17.11.2024 15:43 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes I had it switched on because of that but that seems to be the reason I couldn't post the image. Will try and work it out later.

Cheers

17.11.2024 12:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Sorted it thanks. I had Alt Text toggled on in settings. Switched it off.

17.11.2024 12:38 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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My observations re The Greatwood Hurdle this afternoon at Cheltenham

17.11.2024 12:37 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The one bottom left, yes

17.11.2024 12:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Trying to upload an image of my observations re the Greatwood Hurdle this afternoon but as soon as I upload my image the character limit is breached. Any ideas? @bsky.app

17.11.2024 12:13 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Don’t have one - too much maintenance required. I offer previews of any UK or Irish race for anyone that needs them.

16.11.2024 19:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Much appreciated.

14.11.2024 17:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0