Roberts Courts legacy is to make it harder for ordinary people to engage in the most basic form of participation (voting), for that participation to matter (letting gerrymandering stand), while removing any constraints from billionaire influence on politics
11.03.2026 13:16
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The ICE detention center purchases appear to be money laundering:
11.03.2026 02:15
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Nasdaq is changing its rules to "entice" the SpaceX IPO to its exchange, which will fast-track the stock's inclusion in index funds... this effectively dumps Elon Musk's unprofitable garbage on vulnerable passive investors, and ensures new retirement accounts have to buy in.
10.03.2026 16:06
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The 2026 Edelman Trust Barometer is out, and it is one of the most fascinating document of every year (imo).
Edelman is a PR company shaping narrative for companies like Exxon & Shell (greenwashing), and uses this doc to push their clients' narratives as 'leaders'.
www.edelman.com/trust/2026/t...
10.03.2026 22:10
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Terrible idea. How clueless can you be?
09.03.2026 21:48
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It Wasn't Fascism All Along
Conservatism was a distinct ideology but it is dead and it is not coming back.
Very interesting from @polphilpod.bsky.social.
"It's not as if fascism ever went away...Fascists have fought to undermine conservatism from within...Fascists took elite conservatives' measure nicely...The future will belong either to liberals or fascists."
www.liberalcurrents.com/it-wasnt-fas...
07.03.2026 22:27
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Graph of award probability of R35 and R01 from NIH factbook as a function of review rank percentile. As is apparent, 2025 is a significant departure, with lower award probabilities at all scores <40 and significant departures from norm, where even being in the top 10% is no longer a nearly certain indicator of success.
Data source: https://report.nih.gov/nihdatabook/report/302
The data is in: the NIH goalposts have shifted.
What were once almost certain fundable scores have become coin flips and what used to be likely grants have become aspirational, leading to fewer awards.
Another manifestation of how HHS policies have led to fewer awards and less science.
07.03.2026 01:59
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Trumpβs War With Iran Is Also a Climate War
Fossil fuels are structurally embedded in modern warfare.
"At a time when civilization is hurtling toward irreversible climate breakdown, to overlook the climate consequences of three of the deadliest militaries on earth going to war would be journalistic malpractice."
newrepublic.com/article/2073...
07.03.2026 15:50
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Given the obvious portents for Republicans, seems that this election is going to be riddled with fake Democrats and the billionaires that fund them.
06.03.2026 00:55
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Coward
04.03.2026 03:44
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Exactly right: βWeβre long past the point at which there are neutral legal principles that can be deployed to persuasively reconcile all of the Courtβs behavior β¦ It makes the Court at least look like what so many regularly accuse it of being: a font of partisan political power, and not much more.β
03.03.2026 03:02
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What I mean by that is that crime reduction is best understood as a positive externality from an intervention with a different primary objective. For instance, the child poverty tax credit has a proximate goal of helping poor children have a better life, right now. But a positive externality of the child poverty tax credit is that it removes some key barriers to a childβs future and creates new opportunities. And those have downstream positive effects on the childβs likelihood of committing a crime or being victimized.
By contrast, few of the items on my list that are directly intended to reduce crime have effects of the same magnitude. Yes, installing hard barriers to prevent people from entering a public transit system without paying will reduce crime, but the scale is very small. The potential scale of the effect of the earned income tax credit on crime is much greater, perhaps an order of magnitude greater
There are many policies that have positive externalities that extend well beyond their proximate goal. That list includes everything on Smithβs list: health care, behavioral interventions, housing, transit, and urbanism. And all of those policies and interventions affect crime. The problems that Smith describes, expensive health care, insufficient housing, inequality and poverty, bad transit, and poor urban planning, are the problems that are central to the lives of people who are at greatest risk of being victimized by disorder. And these are the kinds of problems that lead to disorder.
And they are all preventable.
Crime is a multi-final outcomeβcrime results from myriad causes. Addressing those causes has potentially big effects on crime. Limiting our choice set to interventions that affect only crime puts a very low ceiling on the potential outcome.
On crime policy:
I want to highlight an incredibly important point by @johnkroman.bsky.social
It is possible that "tough on crime" approaches have an impact on crime, but they will have NOWHERE NEAR THE IMPACT that more thoughtful interventions could have
johnkroman.substack.com/p/crime-diso...
03.03.2026 15:08
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214. The Court's (Selective) Impatience is a Vice
The only theme uniting Monday night's twin grants of emergency relief is the Republican appointees' willingness to upend long-settled limits on the Court's power when, but only when, they *want* to.
As I explain via the latest βOne First,β the only theme that unites the Supreme Courtβs (unrelated) grants of emergency relief Monday night in the California transgender student and New York redistricting cases is what might be called βselective judicial impatience.β
And thatβs *not* a good thing:
03.03.2026 02:57
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Texas AG Paxton Declares Therapists Affirming Trans Youth To Be Illegal And Child Abuse
The declaration echoes his 2022 efforts to target parents of trans youth with child abuse, and may force conversion therapy on trans youth in the state.
1. This morning, Texas AG Ken Paxton just released a chilling new declaration:
Mental health therapists, counselors, and psychologists must cease affirming trans youth - using their name and pronouns - or potentially face child abuse charges and loss of licensure.
Its a horrifying escalation.
02.03.2026 18:44
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Cleaning the scientific house: Rebuilding trust in science requires confronting the harms of ghostwriting
American science is under attack. Recent cuts to funding and staffing of federal agencies, layoffs of scientists, and rescission of billions of dollars in grants are unprecedented in US history and th...
As the US doubles down on glyphosate, a widely cited study asserting its safety has been retracted after it was discovered the paper was ghostwritten by Monsanto employees. This incident, and ghostwriting in general, harms scientific integrity, writes Naomi Oreskes.
03.03.2026 03:46
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whether war, vaccines, or critical infrastructure there is contingent of the right that seems to believe that their security from the worst things that happen is some kind of metaphysical principle rather than the result of specific historical processes that could've gone otherwise and still could
03.03.2026 03:37
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I would say one of the main right-wing projects of the past twenty years has been gaming every web 2.0 platform into thinking the right-wing is much bigger and more influential than it actually is. And the people who have been most taken in by this effort has been the right wing
27.02.2026 01:09
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Amplifiers of Epistemic Posture
Essays and writing on AI
I'm a cognitive scientist with an interest in epistemic vigilance, and this essay that's been going around gave me pause.
I don't think it's straightforward to apply the concept of epistemic vigilance to interactions with LLMs, as this essay does.
π§΅/
sbgeoaiphd.github.io/rotating_the...
26.02.2026 13:18
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Literally just watched this in a DS9 episode
27.02.2026 01:10
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I constantly hear people banging on about how bad almond milk is for the environment, but somehow I never hear anyone mention how dairy milk is many times worse for the environment across every possible metric
26.02.2026 05:56
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Polling results from PPIC of the CA GOV race
In California, the top two vote getters regardless of party advance to the general. Hilton and Blanco are Republicans. We are in mortal danger of a Rep-Rep runoff unless some Dems drop out to consolidate the Dem vote. Villaraigosa, Becerra, Thurmond and Yee must leave the race immediately.
26.02.2026 05:55
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Screenshot of a job ad with highlighted text that reads Once fully trained, at least 4 denial letters per hour and/or at least 6-7 approval letters per hour Remote specialists manage time and productivity without in-office oversight and combines technical expertise, compliance knowledge, and strong communication skills in a virtual setting.
United States Healthcare in a post.
(Job ad)
25.02.2026 18:29
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An official letter from the Kansas Division of Vehicles dated February 23, 2026, with a redacted recipient address. The letter notifies the recipient that due to the enactment of Senate Bill 244, all Kansas driver's licenses and IDs must reflect the holder's sex at birth. It states that the recipient's current credential will become invalid immediately upon the law's publication on February 26, 2026, with no grace period. The recipient is directed to surrender their current ID to receive a new one matching their sex assigned at birth. The document concludes with instructions on how to appeal the notice if received in error, along with contact information for the department.
Kansas is sending letters to trans people telling them that their licenses will be revoked as of tomorrow and that they risk arrest for driving on a suspended license.
This is pure cruelty.
www.erininthemorning.com/p/kansas-sen...
26.02.2026 01:10
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Bird Flu Strikes California Elephant Seals for the First Time
A lethal form of bird flu, which has already killed tens of thousands of elephant seals in the Southern Hemisphere, is now spreading in a colony of elephant seals in California.
w/ @emilyanthes.bsky.social
Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2026/02/25/s...
25.02.2026 22:36
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β.. Americaβs own citizens are leaving in record numbers, replanting themselves and their families in lands they find more affordable and safe.β
@wsj.com #ByeAmerica
www.wsj.com/us-news/amer...
26.02.2026 01:51
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They beat a blind refugee who speaks no English for failing to obey police commands he could not understand. Then instead of apologizing, they charged him with possession of a βweaponββHIS WALKING STICK. Then they dumped him miles from home without notifying anyone, after which he was found dead.
25.02.2026 20:48
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More details about the US registered vessel fired on by Cuban Border Guard Troops
25.02.2026 19:52
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