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Robert E Kelly

@asiansecurityblog.wordpress.com.web.brid.gy

Political Science, International Relations, East Asia, US Politics...and, yes, the BBC Dad [bridged from https://asiansecurityblog.wordpress.com/ on the web: https://fed.brid.gy/web/asiansecurityblog.wordpress.com ]

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Posts 21.02.2025
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Latest posts by Robert E Kelly @asiansecurityblog.wordpress.com.web.brid.gy

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The Trump Doctrine: Rogue State Elite Replacement in Venezuela, Iran, next Cuba I put up some thoughts on Trump ending the war in Iran at 1945 magazine. We’re moving toward putting a pro-US stooge in the place of now-deceased Iranian leader Khamenei so that we can withdraw quickly. It seems like this … Continue reading →
05.03.2026 05:52 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Iran War: Trump Goes Full Neocon in the Biggest Gamble of His Presidency I posted my first thoughts on the Iran war over at 1945; please go there. But my short take is that this thing is going to require a ground war to do right. And Trump seemed to admit that when … Continue reading →
02.03.2026 07:11 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Who Will Control North Korean Nuclear Weapons in a Conflict? North Korea is building tactical nuclear weapons – for use on the battlefield – and that raises tricky command-and-control problems for actually using them in combat. I put some thoughts on this at 1945 magazine. Basically, if Kim Jong Un … Continue reading →
26.02.2026 11:09 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Trump is Incentivizing Allied Nuclearization Trump’s threats against US allies and partners encourage them to consider nuclear weapons. This strikes me as painfully obvious, even though we keep saying we don’t want allies to nuke up. I just wrote about this at 1945 magazine. Please … Continue reading →
13.02.2026 14:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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A North Korean SSBN is an Advertent Escalation Risk What might bring us (the US, South Korea, Japan) to deliberately attack North Korea? Are there triggers for deliberate (advertent) escalation, on top of the traditional, nuclear age fears of accidental (inadvertent) escalation? The following is from my essay on &#8230; <a href="https://robertedwinkelly.com/2026/02/05/a-north-korean-ssbn-is-an-advertent-escalation-risk/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>
04.02.2026 18:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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My Latest for Foreign Policy, Un-Paywalled: Israel’s Air Campaign against Iran is Exactly why N Korea Built Nukes and won’t Give Them Up This is the un-paywalled version of an essay I wrote for Foreign Policy on Monday. Israel’s preventive disarming strike on Iran last month is a model of what the US and South Korea would do to North Korea – either … Continue reading →
11.07.2025 06:57 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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My Take in Foreign Affairs on S Korea’s Constitutional Crisis: A Super-Presidency + Deep Polarization = Temptation to Rule by Decree I wrote a short essay for Foreign Affairs this month on South Korea’s ongoing political turmoil. My co-author is Suh Jae-Kwon; we are both in the political science department here at Pusan National University. Here is the essay page at … Continue reading →
24.02.2025 02:18 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0