The difference between learning how a model works vs cursory tool use.
@holeyhan
Absentminded. Nonprofit-to-Nontrad. Chronically ill. Photos, food, history, global politics, healthcare, science, geopolitics, foreign policy, international relations, humanitarian. Master of my Fate, Captain of my Soul. He/His/他/仁. Ally. #BTSM #NYC
The difference between learning how a model works vs cursory tool use.
Breaking News: New video adds to evidence that a U.S. missile likely hit an Iranian school where 175 people, many of them children, were reportedly killed.
Not like the Trump admin will rake coercive action towards Russia about it.
They’ll just deny and deflect.
Germany did get a lot of ideas from the U.S.
I really hope these few more years will be a quick…
We know that Voltaire and Locke were both aware of Confucius.
Similar mechanisms: Mandate of Heaven & conditional sovereignty?
intellectualhistory.web.ox.ac.uk/article/the-...
Hobbes might have know about it (1600s) via Jesuit missionary accounts.
Comparable Chinese thoughts to Hobbes would be the legalism school (warring states period 5th - 3rd century BCE). They’re products of similar societal turmoil.
I want Hobbes take on the Analects.
They seem somewhat similar in nature but also divergent.
Proud of this brief drafted in the Citizenship Case before the Supreme Court, highlighting the connection between the Government's supposedly-originalist arguments and Reconstruction-era racists trying to relitigate the Citizenship Clause through Chinese hate.
www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/25...
Americans Are Leaving the U.S. in Record Numbers - WSJ
“The last time more people left the U.S.…it was 1935 and the destination of choice was the Soviet Union...by 1938 the Soviets started requiring U.S. visitors to show proof of return travel.”
Or gulf of Tonkin?
The killing of Mexico's most powerful cartel lord marks a risky but decisive shift by President Claudia Sheinbaum's government toward confronting organized crime head-on
my column for @opinion.bloomberg.com after a historic day in Mexico www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
The uneasy détente is broken again.
After four years of grinding conflict, Russia’s war on Ukraine is increasingly defined by adaptation, endurance, and exhaustion.
Senior Fellow @michaelkofman.bsky.social gives his latest assessment of battlefield dynamics in @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/ukrai...
Happy Year of the 🔥 🐴!
Ramadan Mubarak!
Have a blessed Lent!
Lunar calendar aficionados unite.
‘War is the continuation of policy with other means.’
- Carl von Clausewitz, Vom Kriege (On War), a notable general
“The U.S. no longer has emission standards of any meaning,” said Margo T. Oge, who served as the E.P.A.’s top vehicle emissions regulator under three presidents and has since advised both automakers and environmental groups…
“Nothing. Zero,” she added. “Not many countries have zero.”
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Nutella and Nutella toast…
I could just skip the toast part…
Indeed. State-level reform has proven to be poor strategy to gain power.
A federal effort is required for a level playing field.
Therefore, it effectively becomes a game theory exercise & only reciprocal actions to raise the costs & allow both sides to understand the perils.
Sucks for internationally-minded Americans & NY but I don’t want to see it follow the League of Nations nor become increasingly irrelevant.
Also consider suspending the voting rights of member states that are consistently late in dues without a valid reason (e.g. devastated economy due to wars).
I say the SG should consider a relocating the Secretariat to the highest bidder (total comp. package including funds, state resources, & support).
It would raise the stakes and costs for the U.S.
♦️ Employment protections removed from 50,000 senior civil servants.
♦️ Virginia won’t let police work as immigration-enforcement agents.
♦️ A plurality of Americans don’t care about Bad Bunny’s half-time gig.
Keep up with US politics
Mais non!
Go for momo, gyoza, or mandu?
The United States under Trump has become a predatory hegemon. It is a strategy that contains the seeds of its own destruction. I explain why in this forthcoming essay of mine in FOREIGN AFFAIRS (no paywall but you do have to register). www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...
The formal structural end of nuclear arms control.
It’s now a race between the most stalwart shields and the fastest spears again.
Pepperidge Farm remembers when Saylor was trolling Buffett for not putting cash in BTC…
The Washington Post is expected to announce mass layoffs this morning, dealing another big blow to a storied media company and a newsroom that has reached a breaking point. We'll be posting updates here: www.cnn.com/2026/02/04/m...
A screenshot of a foreign affairs magazine article: The predatory hegemon, how Trump wields American power by Stephen M Walt Feb 3, 2026
A insightful leading realist critique of U.S. foreign policy.
Past strategies balanced competing factions to form broader & more nuanced approaches, but today policy is unilateral and openly coercive.
In a multipolar world, states have far more options.
reader.foreignaffairs.com/2026/02/03/t...
The whole point of the United States was that people would not be subject to a ruler’s “psychological needs” or whims