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Bernard Hickey

@bernardchickey

Podcaster and newsletter writer about housing, climate and poverty in Aotearoa. Free and paid versions here: https://open.substack.com/pub/thekaka?r=akd4&utm_medium=ios

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18.11.2023
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Latest posts by Bernard Hickey @bernardchickey

Luxon can do The Country but not q+a

11.03.2026 01:45 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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(Reuters) - The U.S. Navy has refused near-daily requests from the shipping industry for military escorts through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the war on Iran, saying the risk of attacks is too high for now, according to sources familiar ..

www.marketscreener.com/news/us-navy...

10.03.2026 21:46 πŸ‘ 1853 πŸ” 691 πŸ’¬ 134 πŸ“Œ 120

5/ And on the Strait of Hormuz, they had NO PLAN. I can't go into more detail about how Iran gums up the Strait, but suffice it say, right now, they don't know how to get it safely back open.

Which is unforgiveable, because this part of the disaster was 100% foreseeable.

11.03.2026 01:03 πŸ‘ 10947 πŸ” 2327 πŸ’¬ 340 πŸ“Œ 410

Cook

11.03.2026 00:40 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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If you are after a very detailed understanding of the Labour Party reshuffle, this graphic has hover-overs that explain each portfolio move too - only on The Post.

www.thepost.co.nz/politics/360...

11.03.2026 00:22 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Oof

10.03.2026 23:42 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Newsday.com/matt

10.03.2026 21:44 πŸ‘ 86 πŸ” 31 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Quick graph, GDP growth and crude oil price

Quick graph, GDP growth and crude oil price

speed reading the methodology in appendix D of www.mbie.govt.nz/dmsdocument/..., at first glance I think it may not be capturing that may of the inputs are interconnected (the Middle East), so (while other things were going on at the time too) the 70s/80s suggests it may be worse.

10.03.2026 21:51 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Bizarre seeing the ghouls lambasting the apparently outrageous spending during the early 2020s. Turns out that it is not that easy to balance the books when you crash the economy. Austerity always backfires.

10.03.2026 06:10 πŸ‘ 73 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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Stablecoin = Fracturedcoin If stablecoins are the future of money, the BIS reckons the future looks a bit rubbish

🚨 Hyun Song Shin has a new paper out formally making the case that the economics of blockchain mean stablecoin will forever fracture.

Here's the @alphaville.ft.com version:

www.ft.com/content/4724...

10.03.2026 13:08 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 8

US energy dominance being restored, says Trump. Yeah….Naaah…

10.03.2026 21:44 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yep. I was surprised too.

10.03.2026 20:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran has begun laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most important energy chokepoint that carries about one-fifth of all crude oil, according to two people familiar with US intelligence reporting on the issue. https://cnn.it/4ljpiay

10.03.2026 19:54 πŸ‘ 209 πŸ” 121 πŸ’¬ 60 πŸ“Œ 77
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In today’s NZ Herald

10.03.2026 17:48 πŸ‘ 77 πŸ” 32 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0
Cartoon. Title: β€œEnergy Drink” Picture shows Methanex president and CEO Rich Sumner sucking the dregs out of a can labelled β€œNZ” and saying, β€œJust a minute - nearly done” On the can, in small print it says, β€œConsumes 45% of NZ’s Natural Gas. Pays $70m to Canadian Owner. Receives high ETS subsidies. Too broke to pay taxes”

Cartoon. Title: β€œEnergy Drink” Picture shows Methanex president and CEO Rich Sumner sucking the dregs out of a can labelled β€œNZ” and saying, β€œJust a minute - nearly done” On the can, in small print it says, β€œConsumes 45% of NZ’s Natural Gas. Pays $70m to Canadian Owner. Receives high ETS subsidies. Too broke to pay taxes”

Fuel shortages and rising prices. A proposal to import expensive and dirty LNG and impose a gas levy. And then there’s Methanex, sucking up 45% of our natural gas.
My #cartoon today #NZpol #Fuel #FossilFuel

10.03.2026 18:00 πŸ‘ 99 πŸ” 42 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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We're so smart....

10.03.2026 16:30 πŸ‘ 57 πŸ” 20 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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#OilAddict

10.03.2026 17:19 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Cartoon

10.03.2026 18:33 πŸ‘ 47 πŸ” 19 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
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Dawn Chorus: NZ's fuel fate in South Korea's hands South Korea, which provides 48% of NZ's fuel imports, may ban all refined fuel exports; Castalia report sees 1% GDP hit from 50% cut in fuel imports; Auckland intensification fight intensifies

Dawn Chorus out: South Korea, which provides 48% of NZ's fuel imports, may ban all refined fuel exports; Castalia report sees 1% GDP hit from 50% cut in fuel imports; Auckland intensification fight intensifies #nzpol open.substack.com/pub/thekaka/...

10.03.2026 19:14 πŸ‘ 25 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 4
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Iran says oil blockade will continue until attacks end, Trump threatens to hit harder Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps said it would not allow any oil to leave the region if attacks from the United States and Israel continue.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they would not allow β€˜one litre of oil’ to be shipped from the Middle East if US and Israeli attacks continue, prompting a warning from President Trump that the US would hit Iran much harder if it blocked exports from the vital energy-producing region reut.rs/4bwHKJw

10.03.2026 04:29 πŸ‘ 487 πŸ” 255 πŸ’¬ 61 πŸ“Œ 27

BREAKING: High Court has ruled that Mariameno Kapa-Kingi was unlawfully expelled from Te Pāti Māori. The Judge has ordered that the party write to the speaker to advise that she is once again an MP for the party.

10.03.2026 00:13 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 19 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 3
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Lockdown, vaccine decisions 'considered and appropriate' – Royal Commission The Covid-19 Royal Commission has broadly backed the decisions taken during the pandemic, while identifying areas for improvement.

The Covid-19 Royal Commission's second report has been published, I've read (almost) all of it and here are the key takeaways:
newsroom.co.nz/2026/03/10/l...

10.03.2026 00:04 πŸ‘ 116 πŸ” 52 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 7

Great chart. Yours?

10.03.2026 00:59 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Fighter pilot faces NZ spies over Chinese military training

New details of apparent NZ involvement in surveillance of foreign trainers has been unveiled as part of US court proceedings - Newsroom Pro - $ -

09.03.2026 18:13 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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WA β€˜millionaires tax’ gains ground as Ferguson pledges signature Gov. Bob Ferguson and legislative Democrats reached a deal on a proposed income tax on people earning more than $1 million, clearing the way for a final vote.

Washington State looks set to tax millionaires, as the governor says he’ll sign legislation creating a new state income tax of 9.9% on people earning of over $1 million a year.

Washington currently doesn’t have a personal income tax.

www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news...

09.03.2026 13:54 πŸ‘ 633 πŸ” 118 πŸ’¬ 21 πŸ“Œ 21
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This is the largest oil supply shock in history in mb/d
The enemy gets a vote. Iran is now delivering pain to Trump via multiple paths
(1) Gulf Kings
(2) Financial meltdown
(3) AI tech oligarchs
(4) Fuel, fertilizer, food disruptions
Read our Polycrisis Dispatch:
buttondown.com/polycrisisdi...

08.03.2026 20:05 πŸ‘ 378 πŸ” 164 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 29
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The redistribution of housing wealth caused by rent control This paper studies the effects of rent control on the housing wealth of renters, landlords, and homeowners. Following the passage of rent control in S…

Carefully designed paper finds that St Paul's rent control ordinance 1) led to significant declines in home values for Saint Paul home owners, 2) gave greater benefits to higher cf. lower income renters, 3) harmed small landlords as much as large ones
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

09.03.2026 19:14 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Here comes the TACO

09.03.2026 19:39 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Cartoon depicts National Party Prime Minister of New Zealand's 3 party coalition dressed as a clown wearing long shoes as he is tripping over the skull of smokers ( refers to plans to cancel the smokefree target and repeal legislation). Luxon's head has struck a bee's nest labelled 'Tiriti O Waitangi' from which angry bees fly to sting him on the ass. His top hat falls off labelled '7 Houses'. He is about to fall face first into budget custard while crying profuse clown tears "Why can't I get a break?" he whimpers plaintively.

Cartoon depicts National Party Prime Minister of New Zealand's 3 party coalition dressed as a clown wearing long shoes as he is tripping over the skull of smokers ( refers to plans to cancel the smokefree target and repeal legislation). Luxon's head has struck a bee's nest labelled 'Tiriti O Waitangi' from which angry bees fly to sting him on the ass. His top hat falls off labelled '7 Houses'. He is about to fall face first into budget custard while crying profuse clown tears "Why can't I get a break?" he whimpers plaintively.

Introducing Cluxo The Clown #nzpol cartoon (Dec 2023)

09.03.2026 05:37 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Mojtaba Khamenei ascends to the role of supreme leader.

09.03.2026 10:33 πŸ‘ 105 πŸ” 28 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3